Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - February 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (2/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/1)-(8/5/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/1)-(8/5/1/6/7)-(2/3/7/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PEN-2   WIN (8/5/1/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/1/6/7)-(8/5/1/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/1/6/7)-(8/5/1/6/7)-(8/5/1/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/1/6/7)-(2/3/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1/6/7)-(2/3/7/4)-(3/6/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/4)-(2/3/7/4/1)-(2/3/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/7/4)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/4)-(3/6/2)-(10/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2/7/4)-(3/6/2/7/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(10/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(10/1/7)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-5   WIN (10/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/1/7)-(10/1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/1/7)-(10/1/7/4)-(10/1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/1/7)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (10/1/7)-(1/5)-(8/10/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/5)-(8/10/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/10/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/10/4)-(8/10/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/10/4)-(8/10/4/7)-(8/10/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISQUE'S JEWEL Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 Dec07 Nov25 (bouchard leslye)RUIZ ELISEO 110 15.00 5% 17.30    
2  FIVE DAYS IN MAY Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SENSON Feb08 Dec03 Nov19 Oct27 Oct01 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
4  CHEROKEE PARTY Jan25 Dec28 Nov08 Oct07 Sep03 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
5  FOLK HERO Jan27 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.60    
6  HAY NINETEEN Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 Nov04 Sep14 (ferreira fernan)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-2   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC POINT Jan20 Dec30 Nov11 Nov04 Oct14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
2  FRANK N DUCKY Feb07 Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 Oct26 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 110 20.00    
SCR  SUTTON VALLEY Feb12 Jan12 Dec02 Oct13 Oct01 (rodriguez)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 3.00    
4  THE LITTLE SPROUT Feb09 Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
5  DIXIE CANNONBALL Feb02 Jan13 Sep19 Aug04 May26 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  DREAMERS REWARD Feb09 Jan20 Dec02 Sep08 Aug18 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.00 8% 11.10    
7  BOOM BOOM KABOOM Feb07 Jan17 Jan11 Jan04 Dec20 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 120 30.00 6% 14.50    
8  SASSY LAD Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov15 Oct26 (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
9  CALLYOURIGHTBACK Feb09 Oct14 Sep23 Sep17 Sep05 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 20.00    
 
PEN-3   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BORN HAPPY Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Sep11 Aug13 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 8.00 ★    
2  JUST GOT STARTED Feb08 Dec21 Jul08 Jun04   (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
3  NICHOLAS JAMES Jan29 Dec31 Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 (maroun dougla)TUNON JORDANO 122 5.00 12% 7.10    
4  RED DEVOLUTION Jan04 Dec16 Nov20 Jul30   (albright amy)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BRODIX Jan31         (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
6  FREEDOM'S START Feb15 Dec30 Dec09 Nov02 Oct18 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 30.00    
7  ON THE RIM Jan19 Dec30 Dec09 Oct26 Aug04 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 9% 10.20    
8  JUMP FOR THE WIN Feb15 Dec19 Dec09 Feb23 Jan25 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
9  PERSISTENT DANGER Feb05 Jan13 Dec29 Dec11 Nov23 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50    
 
PEN-4   02/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMINGOFROYALTY         (agnew naois)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of QUEEN AMIRA (GB) by FORESTRY)
2  NEWSDLEY         (sinnefia paul)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by HERE'S ZEALOUS out of NICE MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
3  MORGANS COVE Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct26 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
4  FREYDIS Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Sep24 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 4.00 ★    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
5  OUT OF AMMO         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
6  ATHENA BEACH         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
7  I'M HEADING EAST Jan20         (beattie tod)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 ★    
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
8  WEST ABBOTT         (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00    
  (by HIGHLAND REEL out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
PEN-5   02/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAILEY COFFEE Feb15 Dec09 Nov08 Oct14 Oct05 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 16% 5.20    
2  ABHAR Jan20 Dec14 Jun18 May27 May05 (bobadilla j)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
3  SCYNTZ Feb02 Dec30 Nov29 Nov02 Oct19 (martinez joseph)RODRIGUEZ E 122 50.00    
4  DANCIN IN DUBAI Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 Nov17 (brown kelto)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  ADY'S MUNNY Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
6  BAR ON THE BEACH Jan16 Nov29 Oct26 Sep28 Sep05 (flores-coba)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 112 4.00    
7  LIONESQUE Jan20 Dec13 Oct23 Oct13 Sep22 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NOTORIOUS REY Jan13 Dec07 Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 (ippolito mark)BEATO INOEL 122 20.00    
9  KNOCKDOWN KID Feb01 Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 30.00    
10  BORN FOR VICTORY Feb10 Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  MANUKA BOBBY Jan31 Jan16 Jan04 Oct25 Sep27 (soto- martin)ORTIZ JONATHAN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRANCIS X. Feb02 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 May13 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
 
PEN-6   02/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUSHEMUP Feb08 Jan25 Jan15 Dec09 Nov24 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.40 31% 2.20    
2  MS KAYS COWGIRL Feb08 Jan25 Nov30 Nov18 Nov04 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 ★    
SCR  BABY BLUE Feb01 Jan13 Oct01 Sep11   (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 29% 2.40    
4  SKIPOVER Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 Dec27 Nov05 (cooper stac)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 ★    
5  SANTAFE EXPRESS Jan26 Jan11 Dec07 Oct26 Oct10 (fields kevi)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00 5% 17.30    
6  KRONE Feb10 Jan26 Dec11 Nov26 Nov02 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
 
PEN-7   02/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POINTER Jan18 Jan02 Dec07 Nov22 Nov15 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 114 4.50    
SCR  TORAZO Jan19 Dec27 Dec09 Oct28 Oct05 (martinez jose)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00 11% 8.10    
3  MR. SKITTLES Feb08 Dec21 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
4  TOWN JAK Jan19 Jan04 Nov22 Nov14 Oct31 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 14% 6.40    
5  WHO YOU SAY I AM Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Aug04 Jul21 (smith r)AGUILAR M 124 20.00    
6  BOX OF JOE Feb02 Jan25 Nov20 Oct27 Oct01 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 124 30.00    
7  E T'S CANDY MAN Feb06 Jan23 Jan03 Nov30 Jul11 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 124 6.00 ★    
8  SPEEDY MOONLITE Feb08 Sep21 Aug31 Aug18 Jul21 (albright amy)FLORES E 124 4.00 33% 2.10    
9  EQUAL JUSTICE Nov04 Oct18 Sep23 Sep08 Jul29 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50    
10  CALCULATED THINKIN Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Oct18 Oct04 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  TIZANOXBOW Jan09 Nov28 Nov07     (mccaslin john)BOWMAN ADAM 124 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.