Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-4 $42.40 $18.40 77%
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  1-4-2 $214.60 $178.60 496%
    SFT (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3) 72 $0.10 $7.20  1-4-2-3 $62.49 $55.29 768%
    DD (9/7/8/5/4)-(4/5/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  7-1 $37.40 $7.40 25%
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(9/7/8/5/4)-(4/5/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1/2/4-7-1 $43.50 $21.00 93%
PEN-5   WIN (1/10/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $13.80 $3.80 38%
    EXA (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  4-8 $101.60 $61.60 154%
    TRI (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00  4-8-7 $222.10 $162.10 270%
    SFT (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-8-7-1 $97.02 $85.02 709%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   02/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COUSIN BOB 1 4 44 32 2½ 12 16¼ (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 20% 4.10 1.40 W
3  THE MAN TO SEE 2 1 11½ 11½ 1½ 32 26¼ (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 10.90  
6  JACK SLYE 4 2 21½ 21½ 3½ 22 36½ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 ★ 5.70 S
7  LUCA AT THE SPA 5 3 33 43½ 44 45½ 47 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 6.30  
5  COMBATING 3 5 611 68½ 68½ 58 59½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 21% 3.70 4.90  
8  BALTIMORE BULLEIT 6 6 56½ 54½ 56½ 69 612½ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 2.70  
SCR  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD               (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS               (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-2   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHATTER ME 6 1 11½ 11   12½ 12¼ (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 21% 3.80 2.40 W
3  HELLO GRACIE 3 2 21½ 21   22½ 22¼ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.90  
9  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 8 8 45 57   49 36¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 22% 3.60 8.30 S
5  FAIR LASSIE 4 6 33½ 35   38½ 46¾ (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 6.00 11% 8.30 6.90  
2  GOLDEN ACCOUNT 2 4 55 47   59 57 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00 19.50  
1  GLOSSY MADRINA 1 5 65½ 69   613 611 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 53.90  
6  WHAT A BEAUT 5 7 75¾ 79½   714 711½ (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 12.10  
8  LIMONATA 7 3 88¾ 811½   818 820½ (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 15% 5.90 31.80  
SCR  SEA FRET               (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00 7% 12.80    
 
PEN-3   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE NAKURU 1 7 714 710¾ 68¾ 21½ 15½ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 13% 6.80 3.60 W
4  CORT'N ASONG 4 2 21½ 2½ 1½ 11½ 25½ (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 47% 1.10 2.80 P
2  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 2 1 11½ 1½ 2½ 38 315¼ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 ★ 27.90 S
3  PURPLE SHIRT 3 6 612 610½ 711¾ 513 418½ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 ★ 1.60  
6  MINE TO HOLD 6 3 45½ 55½ 46½ 413 525½ (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 8.00  
7  BAVARIA 7 5 56 45½ 56¾ 724¾ 645¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00 8.80  
5  SPIN CYCLE 5 4 33½ 35 36½ 624½ 760¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.60 8.30  
 
PEN-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAZARENO 1 6 68 711 36 32 1¾ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 6.80  
8  FED CHAIR 7 1 12 13 12½ 12 2¾ (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 24% 3.10 1.60 P
4  KAZ MUNNINGS 4 3 32 23 22½ 22 34¼ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 21% 3.90 2.50 S
6  JUMP FOR THE WIN 5 5 78½ 59½ 49 45½ 47 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 ★ 5.60  
3  RISEN SAVIOR 3 2 45½ 69½ 512 58½ 513 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 29% 2.40 4.20  
7  FREEDOM'S START 6 7 56 47½ 614 616½ 622¼ (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 15.00 45.20  
2  BAILEY COFFEE 2 4 22 34½ 722 737½ 748¾ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 18.10  
SCR  WONDER WATER               (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-5   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGH HEAT 4 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 11½ (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 13% 6.70 5.90 W
8  I SEE THE STARS 8 4 42 41¾   3½ 21½ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 6% 15.30 7.20 P
7  SCARY LARRY 7 5 53½ 56¾   54½ 33¼ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10% 8.60 12.30 S
1  CALCULATED THINKIN 1 7 85¾ 88¾   64¾ 43¼ (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
10  DEVIOUS MO 10 1 3½ 3.2   2½ 53¾ (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 16% 5.40 0.80  
9  DEVIOUS BANKER 9 6 65½ 66¾   75¼ 65¼ (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 15.00 16.90  
3  BERHANU 3 2 1½ 2nk   42 76 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00 24.10  
2  MIDDLE EARTH 2 8 75¾ 77¾   88¼ 810 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 24.60  
6  TOMASCO 6 9 108¼ 1011   1011¾ 914½ (farley phil)DE KEMICH 120 30.00 84.00  
5  COMMISSIONER BIGGS 5 10 97¼ 99   911¼ 1018 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 41.50  
SCR  SCREEN STAR               (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PEACH BE WITH Q 6 1 12 11   11 12¼ (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 ★ 7.90  
7  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 7 4 55 69   57 22¼ (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 ★ 14.00 P
3  ONE LAST FLING 3 8 43½ 21   21 32½ (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.90 S
8  FINE ALEIGH 8 5 65½ 44½   34 42¾ (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 1.70  
5  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 5 6 78½ 79   67 54 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 113 15.00 13.80  
4  ROSE OF SHANAKILL 4 2 22 33½   45½ 65¼ (albright r)FLORES E 120 3.50 8% 11.00 12.20  
2  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 7 810½ 810½   710 76¾ (mileni nick)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 11.70  
1  IOANNA 1 3 33 56   822 830¼ (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 56% 0.80 1.80  
 
PEN-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:281   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POCOPSON STATION 6 6 89½ 97¼ 85¾ 75¾ 1hd (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 38.20  
1  WAGON BOSS 1 4 32 41½ 44 34½ 2hd (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 27% 2.70 3.20 P
11  ROLLING PALISADES 9 3 2½ 2½ 11 12 3½ (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 12.00 37.10  
5  SON OF A SAINT 5 9 911½ 86¾ 75½ 85¾ 4¾ (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 6.00 13% 6.60 5.40  
3  PAL CAL 3 8 64½ 52½ 54 45 51¾ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 12.90  
7  VISHNU 7 2 42 62¾ 64½ 55½ 61¾ (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 9.00  
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND 2 7 76½ 75¾ 96¾ 96¼ 72½ (geist w)BAKER J 124 15.00 54.30  
4  JOJOMAR 4 1 1½ 1½ 21 22 84¾ (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 7% 13.20 2.30  
10  KRACHENWAGEN 8 5 52½ 31½ 33½ 65½ 95¾ (mcmahon demelz)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.40 2.60  
SCR  SAILOR AGAIN               (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 20.00    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR               (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.