Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-2   Win (9/7/8/5/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
PEN-3   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
PEN-4   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.60  
PEN-5   Win (1/10/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 3.80
PEN-6   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $17.80  
PEN-7   Win (1/9/5/10/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $78.40  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:142 1:421   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUSIN BOB 1 4 44 32 2½ 12 1 (linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 20% 4.10 1.40 W
THE MAN TO SEE 2 1 1 1 1½ 32 2 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00 10.90  
JACK SLYE 4 2 2 2 3½ 22 3 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 5.70 S
LUCA AT THE SPA 5 3 33 4 44 4 47 (englehart j)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 6.30  
COMBATING 3 5 611 6 6 58 5 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 21% 3.70 4.90  
BALTIMORE BULLEIT 6 6 5 5 5 69 612½ (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 2.70  
SCR  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS               (buckley r)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHATTER ME 6 1 1 11   1 1 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 21% 3.80 2.40 W
HELLO GRACIE 3 2 2 21   2 2 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 0.90  
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 8 8 45 57   49 3 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 22% 3.60 8.30 S
FAIR LASSIE 4 6 3 35   3 4 (graci kimbe)VARGAS L 120 6.00 11% 8.30 6.90  
GOLDEN ACCOUNT 2 4 55 47   59 57 (cash l)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00 19.50  
GLOSSY MADRINA 1 5 6 69   613 611 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00 53.90  
WHAT A BEAUT 5 7 7 7   714 711½ (linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 12.10  
LIMONATA 7 3 8 811½   818 820½ (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 15% 5.90 31.80  
SCR  SEA FRET               (perez a)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00 7% 12.80    
 
PEN-3   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:132 1:41   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKE NAKURU 1 7 714 710¾ 6 2 1 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 13% 6.80 3.60 W
CORT'N ASONG 4 2 2 2½ 1½ 1 2 (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 47% 1.10 2.80 P
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 2 1 1 1½ 2½ 38 315¼ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 27.90 S
PURPLE SHIRT 3 6 612 610½ 711¾ 513 418½ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 1.60  
MINE TO HOLD 6 3 4 5 4 413 525½ (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 8.00  
BAVARIA 7 5 56 4 5 724¾ 645¾ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00 8.80  
SPIN CYCLE 5 4 3 35 3 624½ 760¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.60 8.30  
 
PEN-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAZARENO 1 6 68 711 36 32 1¾ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 6.80  
FED CHAIR 7 1 12 13 1 12 2¾ (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 24% 3.10 1.60 P
KAZ MUNNINGS 4 3 32 23 2 22 3 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 21% 3.90 2.50 S
JUMP FOR THE WIN 5 5 7 5 49 4 47 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 5.60  
RISEN SAVIOR 3 2 4 6 512 5 513 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 29% 2.40 4.20  
FREEDOM'S START 6 7 56 4 614 616½ 622¼ (albright geor)INIRIO J 122 15.00 45.20  
BAILEY COFFEE 2 4 22 3 722 737½ 748¾ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 18.10  
SCR  WONDER WATER               (sillaman rich)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50    
 
PEN-5   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :454 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH HEAT 4 3 2½ 1nk   1½ 1 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 13% 6.70 5.90 W
I SEE THE STARS 8 4 42 4   3½ 2 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 6% 15.30 7.20 P
SCARY LARRY 7 5 5 5   5 3 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10% 8.60 12.30 S
CALCULATED THINKIN 1 7 8 8   6 4 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60 5.00  
10  DEVIOUS MO 10 1 3½ 3.2   2½ 5 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 16% 5.40 0.80  
DEVIOUS BANKER 9 6 6 6   7 6 (grusmark k)DAVIS A 120 15.00 16.90  
BERHANU 3 2 1½ 2nk   42 76 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00 24.10  
MIDDLE EARTH 2 8 7 7   8 810 (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 24.60  
TOMASCO 6 9 10 1011   1011¾ 914½ (farley philli)DE KEMICH 120 30.00 84.00  
COMMISSIONER BIGGS 5 10 9 99   911¼ 1018 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 41.50  
SCR  SCREEN STAR               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:222 :47 1:004     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACH BE WITH Q 6 1 12 11   11 1 (kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 7.90  
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 7 4 55 69   57 2 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 14.00 P
ONE LAST FLING 3 8 4 21   21 3 (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.90 S
FINE ALEIGH 8 5 6 4   34 4 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 1.70  
NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE 5 6 7 79   67 54 (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 113 15.00 13.80  
ROSE OF SHANAKILL 4 2 22 3   4 6 (albright r)FLORES E 120 3.50 8% 11.00 12.20  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 7 810½ 810½   710 7 (mileni nick)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 11.70  
IOANNA 1 3 33 56   822 830¼ (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 56% 0.80 1.80  
 
PEN-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:281   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POCOPSON STATION 6 6 8 9 8 7 1hd (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00 38.20  
WAGON BOSS 1 4 32 4 44 3 2hd (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 27% 2.70 3.20 P
11  ROLLING PALISADES 9 3 2½ 2½ 11 12 3½ (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 12.00 37.10  
SON OF A SAINT 5 9 911½ 8 7 8 4¾ (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 6.00 13% 6.60 5.40  
PAL CAL 3 8 6 5 54 45 5 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 12.00 12.90  
VISHNU 7 2 42 6 6 5 6 (beattie cody)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00 9.00  
DIGGERS DIAMOND 2 7 7 7 9 9 7 (geist w)BAKER J 124 15.00 54.30  
JOJOMAR 4 1 1½ 1½ 21 22 8 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 7% 13.20 2.30  
10  KRACHENWAGEN 8 5 5 3 3 6 9 (mcmahon demelza)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.40 2.60  
SCR  SAILOR AGAIN               (brown howard )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 20.00    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR               (pattershal)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.