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Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

PEN-3			WIN	(4/5/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$9.20			$3.20				53%
			EXA	(4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	1-4		$42.40			$18.40				77%
			TRI	(4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3)						36	$1.00	$36.00	1-4-2		$214.60			$178.60				496%
			SFT	(4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3)						72	$0.10	$7.20	1-4-2-3		$62.49			$55.29				768%
			DD	(9/7/8/5/4)-(4/5/1)						15	$2.00	$30.00	7-1		$37.40			$7.40				25%
			PK3	(1/5/2)-(9/7/8/5/4)-(4/5/1)						45	$0.50	$22.50	1/2/4-7-1		$43.50			$21.00				93%
PEN-5			WIN	(1/10/4/7/8)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$13.80			$3.80				38%
			EXA	(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-8		$101.60			$61.60				154%
			TRI	(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)						60	$1.00	$60.00	4-8-7		$222.10			$162.10				270%
			SFT	(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)						120	$0.10	$12.00	4-8-7-1		$97.02			$85.02				709%

Simulator Race results


PEN-1			02/15/2023		5490ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($14.4K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 6:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	COUSIN BOB									(linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122						4.00		20%		4.10		1.40	W
3	THE MAN TO SEE									(dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122						10.00						10.90
6	JACK SLYE									(graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124						5.00		★				5.70	S
7	LUCA AT THE SPA									(englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122						8.00						6.30
5	COMBATING									(moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122						6.00		21%		3.70		4.90
8	BALTIMORE BULLEIT									(gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122						3.00						2.70
SCR	MISCHIEVIOUSBUD									(o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122						4.50		35%		1.90
SCR	TRANSFER THE FUNDS									(buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122						8.00		★

PEN-2			02/15/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($11.8K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 6:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SHATTER ME									(beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124						2.50		21%		3.80		2.40	W
3	HELLO GRACIE									(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120						3.00						0.90
9	SCHOOL OF THOUGHT									(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120						4.50		22%		3.60		8.30	S
5	FAIR LASSIE									(graci kim)VARGAS L 120						6.00		11%		8.30		6.90
2	GOLDEN ACCOUNT									(cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 114						8.00						19.50
1	GLOSSY MADRINA									(ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120						30.00						53.90
6	WHAT A BEAUT									(linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120						8.00						12.10
8	LIMONATA									(boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 120						10.00		15%		5.90		31.80
SCR	SEA FRET									(perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 120						12.00		7%		12.80

PEN-3			02/15/2023		5610ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($6.25K)					Purse ($13.1K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 6:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LAKE NAKURU									(ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122						8.00		13%		6.80		3.60	W
4	CORT'N ASONG									(johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120						3.00		47%		1.10		2.80	P
2	FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY									(salinas jose)FLORES E 122						12.00		★				27.90	S
3	PURPLE SHIRT									(graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122						2.50		★				1.60
6	MINE TO HOLD									(synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122						5.00						8.00
7	BAVARIA									(rozell ron)LLOYD W 122						6.00						8.80
5	SPIN CYCLE									(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122						3.50		18%		4.60		8.30

PEN-4			02/15/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC6	FAST	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($18K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 7:28
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	NAZARENO									(carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122						15.00						6.80
8	FED CHAIR									(kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122						3.00		24%		3.10		1.60	P
4	KAZ MUNNINGS									(synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124						3.50		21%		3.90		2.50	S
6	JUMP FOR THE WIN									(kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122						12.00		★				5.60
3	RISEN SAVIOR									(kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122						4.50		29%		2.40		4.20
7	FREEDOM'S START									(albright ge)INIRIO J 122						15.00						45.20
2	BAILEY COFFEE									(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122						6.00						18.10
SCR	WONDER WATER									(sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122						2.50		★

PEN-5			02/15/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($5K)					Purse ($11.8K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 7:57
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	HIGH HEAT									(sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122						6.00		13%		6.70		5.90	W
8	I SEE THE STARS									(graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						5.00		6%		15.30		7.20	P
7	SCARY LARRY									(kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120						6.00		10%		8.60		12.30	S
1	CALCULATED THINKIN									(graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120						4.00		28%		2.60		5.00
10	DEVIOUS MO									(kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124						3.00		16%		5.40		0.80
9	DEVIOUS BANKER									(grusmark)DAVIS A 120						15.00						16.90
3	BERHANU									(albright r)FLORES E 122						8.00						24.10
2	MIDDLE EARTH									(rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120						10.00						24.60
6	TOMASCO									(farley phil)DE KEMICH 120						30.00						84.00
5	COMMISSIONER BIGGS									(moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120						10.00						41.50
SCR	SCREEN STAR									(houghton th)INIRIO J 120						15.00

PEN-6			02/15/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($10K)					Purse ($14.4K)			3		F		PT- 8:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	PEACH BE WITH Q									(kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120						5.00		★				7.90
7	BUSTIN WIDE OPEN									(lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						10.00		★				14.00	P
3	ONE LAST FLING									(mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120						4.50		5%		19.00		9.90	S
8	FINE ALEIGH									(shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 120						6.00						1.70
5	NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE									(aristone ph)DE KEMICH 113						15.00						13.80
4	ROSE OF SHANAKILL									(albright r)FLORES E 120						3.50		8%		11.00		12.20
2	SAMETIMENEXTYEAR									(mileni nick)BEATO INOEL 122						6.00						11.70
1	IOANNA									(sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120						3.00		56%		0.80		1.80

PEN-7			02/15/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($4K)					Purse ($10K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 8:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	POCOPSON STATION									(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124						30.00						38.20
1	WAGON BOSS									(lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124						6.00		27%		2.70		3.20	P
11	ROLLING PALISADES									(moreno tito)INIRIO J 124						12.00						37.10
5	SON OF A SAINT									(taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124						6.00		13%		6.60		5.40
3	PAL CAL									(moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124						12.00						12.90
7	VISHNU									(beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124						6.00						9.00
2	DIGGERS DIAMOND									(geist w)BAKER J 124						15.00						54.30
4	JOJOMAR									(graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124						2.50		7%		13.20		2.30
10	KRACHENWAGEN									(mcmahon demelz)CONNER TYLER 124						4.00		11%		8.40		2.60
SCR	SAILOR AGAIN									(brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124						20.00
SCR	SEAT OF HONOR									(pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124						5.00		19%		4.30



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.