Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - February 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(9/7/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(9/7/8/5)-(4/5/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (9/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5)-(9/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/7/8/5)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/7/8/5)-(4/5/1)-(3/8/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1/2/3)-(4/5/1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/8/4)-(1/10/4/7/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/4)-(3/8/4/6)-(3/8/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/4)-(1/10/4/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/8/4)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/4/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/10/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8)-(1/10/4/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/4/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/10/4/7/8)-(1/4/3)-(1/5/10/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3/7/6)-(1/4/3/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(1/5/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/10/4)-(1/5/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/10/4)-(1/5/10/4)-(1/5/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISCHIEVIOUSBUD Jan13 Dec09 Nov03 Oct24 Sep22 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.50 35% 1.90    
2  COUSIN BOB Jan09 Dec21 Oct30 Sep23 Sep02 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
3  THE MAN TO SEE Feb01 Dec03 Oct23 Oct15 Jul15 (dowling w)HERNANDEZ A 122 10.00    
SCR  TRANSFER THE FUNDS Jan16 Dec02 Oct12 Sep11 Aug30 (buckley)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 8.00 ★    
5  COMBATING Dec16 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Jan07 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  JACK SLYE Feb01 Dec28 Oct23 Sep30   (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 5.00 ★    
7  LUCA AT THE SPA Dec31 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 Aug03 (englehart)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
8  BALTIMORE BULLEIT Jan06 Dec29 Nov14 Apr16 Mar13 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00    
 
PEN-2   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOSSY MADRINA Jan25 Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 Nov02 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
2  GOLDEN ACCOUNT Jan27 Jan18 Dec31 Dec10 Dec03 (cash norman)PAREDES JHOVANY 114 8.00    
3  HELLO GRACIE Jan25 Nov29 Nov08 Oct29 Oct09 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  SEA FRET Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 (perez ruperto)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 12.00 7% 12.80    
5  FAIR LASSIE Jan18 Nov16 Oct31 Oct19 Aug29 (graci kim)VARGAS L 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
6  WHAT A BEAUT Jan11 Dec12 Nov29 Sep09 Aug25 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00    
7  SHATTER ME Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Sep07 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
8  LIMONATA Dec16 Nov18 Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 (boyer jr)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 15% 5.90    
9  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 Oct19 Sep02 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-3   02/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAKE NAKURU Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 Nov09 Oct04 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 13% 6.80    
2  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Jan13 Dec20 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 12.00 ★    
3  PURPLE SHIRT Jan07 Dec14 Nov15 Oct20 Sep26 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 ★    
4  CORT'N ASONG Dec13 Nov29 Nov04 Oct21 Aug05 (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
5  SPIN CYCLE Jan25 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
6  MINE TO HOLD Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 Dec04 Nov16 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
7  BAVARIA Jan12 Dec30 Dec09 Nov30 Nov18 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00    
 
PEN-4   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAZARENO Dec13 Nov23 Oct26 Oct04 Apr29 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
2  BAILEY COFFEE Dec09 Nov08 Oct14 Oct05 Aug31 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
3  RISEN SAVIOR Jan19 Jul01 Jun01 May11 Feb16 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  KAZ MUNNINGS Jan19 Dec21 Oct18 Jun01   (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 124 3.50 21% 3.90    
SCR  WONDER WATER Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 Nov04 Oct15 (sillaman ri)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 2.50 ★    
6  JUMP FOR THE WIN Dec19 Dec09 Feb23 Jan25   (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 12.00 ★    
7  FREEDOM'S START Dec30 Dec09 Nov02 Oct18 Oct04 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
8  FED CHAIR Jan13 Dec07 Oct04 Aug18 Jul01 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-5   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALCULATED THINKIN Jan20 Dec21 Oct18 Oct04 Sep07 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 4.00 28% 2.60    
2  MIDDLE EARTH Jan13 Nov25 Nov04 Aug28 Jul07 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
3  BERHANU Jan20 Jan12 Dec27 Dec09 Nov04 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00    
4  HIGH HEAT Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 Nov11 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
5  COMMISSIONER BIGGS Nov23 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 Aug24 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
6  TOMASCO Jan18 Dec09 Aug25 Jul20 Jul07 (farley philli)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
7  SCARY LARRY Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 Sep02 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
8  I SEE THE STARS Jan20 Jan07 Nov15 Oct19 Sep23 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 5.00 6% 15.30    
9  DEVIOUS BANKER Feb02 Jan13 Nov21 Oct31 Oct19 (grusmark)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
10  DEVIOUS MO Jan19 Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 Oct05 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  SCREEN STAR Feb02 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   02/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IOANNA Dec28 Nov22 Oct14 Sep21 Sep01 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 56% 0.80    
2  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR Jan20 Dec27 Oct22 Oct06 Sep16 (mileni nick)BEATO INOEL 122 6.00    
3  ONE LAST FLING Nov16 Oct07 Sep16 Aug27 Jul30 (mileni nick)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  ROSE OF SHANAKILL Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 Oct05 Sep21 (albright r)FLORES E 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
5  NOWYOUSCAN'TLEAVE Jan20 Dec28 Nov15 Oct12   (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 113 15.00    
6  PEACH BE WITH Q Dec28 Dec14 Oct26     (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 ★    
7  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Jan29 Nov07 Oct12 Aug22   (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 ★    
8  FINE ALEIGH Jan08 Dec16 Oct29 Oct12   (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
 
PEN-7   02/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAGON BOSS Feb01 Jan03 Nov23 Nov01 Oct17 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Jan12 Dec14 Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 (geist w)BAKER J 124 15.00    
3  PAL CAL Nov18 Oct21 Jul27 Jul15 May07 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 12.00    
4  JOJOMAR Jan27 Dec30 Nov22 Oct19 Oct04 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 7% 13.20    
5  SON OF A SAINT Jan23 Jan18 Jan03 Nov23 Oct17 (taylor joseph)BOWMAN ADAM 124 6.00 13% 6.60    
6  POCOPSON STATION Aug11 Jul28 May26 Mar11 Mar01 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 30.00    
7  VISHNU Jan12 Dec30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct05 (beattie cod)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 6.00    
SCR  SAILOR AGAIN Jan09 Nov22 Nov07 Sep26 Sep05 (brown howar)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 20.00    
SCR  SEAT OF HONOR Feb01 Dec21 Nov23 Jul28 Apr04 (pattersh)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
10  KRACHENWAGEN Jan22 Nov29 Oct28 Oct09 Sep23 (mcmahon demelz)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.40    
11  ROLLING PALISADES Jan20 Dec30 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 (moreno tito)INIRIO J 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.