Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
PEN-2   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 5.00
PEN-3   Win (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-4   Win (5/2/8/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
PEN-5   Win (12/7/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
PEN-6   Win (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-7   Win (3/8/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :454 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZILLION 1 5 5 3   22 1 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.70 1.30 W
LILTONYTWOPHONES 2 3 1 13   12 2 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.00 P
SPOOKY ONE 5 1 3 23   34 37 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 11.70  
EGOT A POKER FACE 4 4 4 46   48 411¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5.70  
KEEPING IT COUNTRY 3 2 2 5   5 511¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 12.60  
SCR  BUCKS ARE MOVING               (arce josue)RAMOS C 115 10.00    
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 6.00    
SCR  SIR REX               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
 
PEN-2   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. STEVE 1 2 1 1   1 15 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 72% 0.40 3.50 W
GRAB THE GOLD 2 1 32 2   2 25 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 5.00 10.30 P
STRIKING MOON 4 4 43 6   37 3 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 23.30 S
DYNAMITE KARMA 5 6 53 4   48 49 (mileni nick)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 12.20  
READY AND RICH 8 5 7 5   69 512 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 17.30  
KHAKI JACK 7 3 2 3   58 614¼ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 6.90  
TOMMY THE TORCH 6 7 8 710¼   714 716¾ (albright amy)INIRIO J 120 8.00 13.50  
COUSTEAU 3 8 6 810½   815½ 820¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 5% 18.20 0.80  
 
PEN-3   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :47 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR UPTOWN GIRL 7 6 53 21   12 1 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 120 2.50 22% 3.50 1.20 W
BEACH BANKER 2 1 1 11   22 2 (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 17% 4.90 2.80 P
MORE RANSOM 6 5 64 6   48 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 35% 1.90 2.60 S
DENALI RAE 3 3 3 32   37 411¼ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 15.00 58.20  
SNAPPY RIDE 5 7 7 7   510½ 511½ (aristone phil)DE KEMICH 117 8.00 7.70  
UNION RALLY 4 4 42 5   610½ 616 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 62.70  
PURELY SILVER 1 2 2 4   713½ 728¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 10.80  
SCR  PEYTON'S COLLEGE               (aristone phi)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00    
 
PEN-4   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:132 1:401   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BACK RING LUCK 5 5 3.2 3.2 2nk 1½ 1 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.70 W
MIDNIGHT ACT 7 4 5 4 42 32 2 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 14% 6.10 6.20 P
MOON WARRIOR 2 3 4 5 5 42 3 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.30 5.90 S
MY MAN POTS N PANS 4 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 4 (rubley kelly)INIRIO J 120 6.00 8.20  
P JS SILVER DUKE 1 6 7 7 7 56 5 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 12% 7.50 6.00  
YES SIR COLONEL 6 7 6 6 6 7 69 (flores-coba fel)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00 11% 8.10 2.60  
COOL COMEDIAN 3 2 1nk 2nk 31 6 7 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 25.00  
SCR  EAGLES CRY               (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 4.50    
 
PEN-5   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:153 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONCE A GIANT 7 5 77 7 5 42 1½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 1.60 19% 4.40 1.40 W
BOSSY CAT 9 3 5 4 1nk 1½ 2½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 18.30 14.00 P
LONG TOM 2 7 65 5 4 3 3 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 39.30 S
SOUPER EMPEROR 6 4 31 3½ 2nk 2½ 4 (trombetta m)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 9% 10.60 1.20  
MR BOLDACIOUS 5 8 9 6 8 55 53 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 11.50  
JUMP FREE 3 2 2½ 2nk 31 6 6 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00 12.40  
10  TUCKABUCKAWAY 10 10 10 8 6 7 712¼ (grusmark karl)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 32.10  
WINNERS WIN 8 9 8 10 9 811½ 813 (bobadilla f)RODRIGUEZ E 120 50.00 80.40  
PEAKY BLINKERS 1 6 1½ 1nk 72 913½ 914¼ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 21.00  
PRINCIPALITY 4 1 4 9 105 1014½ 1014½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00 64.50  
SCR  INSTANT CHAOS               (perez flores )RAMOS C 115 8.00    
SCR  WHAT SAY YOU               (shuman mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:153 1:29   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAJD 5 1 42 3½ 12 1 1 (farro patricia)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 1.80 12% 7.70 1.20 W
INTRO 6 6 6 64 33 2 2 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.00 49% 1.00 1.20 P
DUST BUNNY 2 3 3½ 4 22 34 310¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 12.00 7% 13.40 10.60 S
LET'S GO MO 1 5 5 5 56 413 416¼ (miller marl)VARGAS L 124 12.00 10% 8.60 11.70  
GOLDEN PHASE 4 2 2½ 2nk 45 521 539¾ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 22.60  
SGT RECKLESS USMC 3 4 1½ 1nk 616 637 651¾ (schoenthal )RODRIGUEZ R 124 6.00 7.50  
 
PEN-7   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:243 :494 1:162 1:294   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANOOCHEE 6 3 76 5 11 15 1 (farro patricia)RIVERA D 124 5.00 4.30  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 2 1 32 4 43 25 2 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 28% 2.60 3.60 P
IMAGINE THE MOJO 3 7 64 7 55 4 313 (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 3.50 12% 7.60 2.10 S
SMOKIN CLASS 5 2 2½ 3 6 58 414¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
JUSTIN TIME 7 4 4 21 21 37 515½ (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 6.00 20% 3.90 7.40  
HAY BUCK 1 5 1½ 11 33 611 621¾ (rathman elish)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 11% 8.30 2.30  
PRIDE IN THE BIZ 4 6 54 6 710¼ 716 728 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00 37.40  
SCR  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS               (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.