Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(1/3)-(7/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/4/2/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/4/2/8)-(1/3/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/8/2)-(5/2/8/1/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/2)-(7/8/2/4)-(7/8/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/2)-(5/2/8/1/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2)-(5/2/8/1/6)-(7/6/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/8/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/1/6)-(5/2/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/1/6)-(5/2/8/1/6)-(5/2/8/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/2/8/1/6)-(7/6/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/8/1/6)-(7/6/9)-(6/5/1/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/6/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/9)-(7/6/9/2)-(7/6/9/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/6/9)-(6/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/6/9)-(6/5/1/2)-(3/8/4/2/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/2)-(6/5/1/2/4)-(6/5/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/1/2)-(3/8/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-7   WIN (3/8/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/4/2/6)-(3/8/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/4/2/6)-(3/8/4/2/6)-(3/8/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUCKS ARE MOVING Feb06 Jan17 Dec19 Nov29 Nov15 (arce josue)RAMOS C 115 10.00 ★    
2  ZILLION Feb06 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES Jan19 Dec21 Dec06 Oct22 Oct06 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
4  KEEPING IT COUNTRY Jan20 Dec20 Nov15 Oct14   (o'callahan )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
5  EGOT A POKER FACE Apr11 Feb08 Jan18     (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS Dec07 Oct21 Feb01     (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  SIR REX Jan13 Dec13 Nov15 Oct18 Sep16 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
8  SPOOKY ONE Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. STEVE Jan26 Jan10 Oct25 Sep29 Aug15 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 3.50 72% 0.40    
2  GRAB THE GOLD Jan11 Dec13 Nov25 Oct18 Sep16 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 5.00 ★    
3  COUSTEAU Jan27 Dec20 Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 5% 18.20    
4  STRIKING MOON Jan11 Oct24 Sep13 Aug23 Jul28 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 ★    
5  DYNAMITE KARMA Oct24 Oct04 Sep02 Jul24 Jul07 (mileni ni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
6  TOMMY THE TORCH Jan27 Jan11 Dec17 Dec06 Nov22 (albright am)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
7  KHAKI JACK Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 Oct07 Sep07 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
8  READY AND RICH Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct11 Sep15 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURELY SILVER Feb01 May20 Apr27 Apr01 Mar11 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
2  BEACH BANKER Apr07 Feb19       (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  DENALI RAE Feb01 Jan11 Dec30 Nov22 Oct26 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
4  UNION RALLY Feb01 Jan11 Jul01 Jun11 May20 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 ★    
SCR  PEYTON'S COLLEGE Jan30 Jan04 Dec14 Nov20 Mar10 (aristone p)SANCHEZ J 124 3.00 ★    
6  SNAPPY RIDE Jan26 Jan04 Dec20 Nov28 Nov02 (aristone ph)DE KEMICH 117 8.00    
7  MORE RANSOM Feb09 Dec30 Nov30 Oct17 Sep06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
8  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Jan16 Dec14 Nov28 Nov02 Oct04 (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 120 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-4   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P JS SILVER DUKE Dec28 Nov25 Nov02 Aug25 Jul29 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 12% 7.50    
2  MOON WARRIOR Jan18 Dec18 Dec06 Nov18 Oct13 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 19% 4.30    
3  COOL COMEDIAN Dec28 Nov25 Oct25 Aug23 Jul26 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
4  MY MAN POTS N PANS Jan27 Dec18 Nov11 Oct12 Sep29 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00    
5  BACK RING LUCK Feb05 Nov05 Sep09 Aug07 May15 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
6  YES SIR COLONEL Jan24 Jan09 Nov23 Oct11 Sep20 (flores-coba f)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  EAGLES CRY Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Oct18 Sep07 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 4.50    
8  MIDNIGHT ACT Jan20 Jun12 Jun02 May18 Apr29 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-5   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEAKY BLINKERS Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00    
2  LONG TOM Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 Nov15 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 15.00 ★    
3  JUMP FREE Feb01 Jan13 Dec30 Dec14 May21 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 124 6.00    
4  PRINCIPALITY Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 Oct21 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 120 50.00    
5  MR BOLDACIOUS Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 Nov05 Oct22 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00    
6  SOUPER EMPEROR Jan21 Dec18 Nov27 Nov04 Oct14 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 9% 10.60    
7  ONCE A GIANT Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 Oct14 Sep01 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 1.60 19% 4.40    
8  WINNERS WIN Jan20 Dec09 Dec02 Nov09 Oct26 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 120 50.00    
9  BOSSY CAT Jan18 Jan06 Dec20 Dec06 Nov18 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00 5% 18.30    
10  TUCKABUCKAWAY Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Aug29 Aug10 (grusmark ka)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  INSTANT CHAOS Jan31 Jan16 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 (perez flore)RAMOS C 115 8.00    
SCR  WHAT SAY YOU Jan21 Jan01 Dec11 Nov04 Oct19 (shuman mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
PEN-6   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO Feb01 Jan13 Dec14 Nov22 Sep14 (miller ma)VARGAS L 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
2  DUST BUNNY Feb01 Jan13 Dec27 Dec14 Nov22 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00 7% 13.40    
3  SGT RECKLESS USMC Dec27         (schoenthal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 124 6.00    
4  GOLDEN PHASE Feb01 Dec14 Nov23     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 ★    
5  ALWAJD Jan13 Dec15 Nov21 Aug01   (farro patrici)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 1.80 12% 7.70    
6  INTRO Jan11 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.00 49% 1.00    
 
PEN-7   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Dec27 Dec13 Oct28 Sep15 Aug24 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
2  HAY BUCK Dec16 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 May30 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.00 11% 8.30    
3  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Dec27 Dec07 Nov18 Mar22 Mar04 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
4  IMAGINE THE MOJO Jan08 Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 Sep02 (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 124 3.50 12% 7.60    
5  PRIDE IN THE BIZ Jan26 Dec27 Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 124 15.00    
6  SMOKIN CLASS Jan12 Oct25 Oct14 Sep14 Sep02 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  CANOOCHEE Jan25 Dec20 Dec05 Nov14 Nov02 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 124 5.00    
8  JUSTIN TIME Dec27 Dec07 Aug24 Aug03 May06 (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 6.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.