Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
PEN-2   Win (6/4/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $9.40 $9.40  
PEN-3   Win (6/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $31.40  
PEN-4   Win (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $8.00  
PEN-5   Win (4/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
PEN-6   Win (6/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.60 $7.60  
PEN-7   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $5.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBEER 3 1 11 12   1 1 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 1.60 46% 1.20 1.90 W
SHY DA RUNNER 2 2 21 22   2 2 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 30% 2.30 4.40 P
SPINNING MUSICIAN 4 4 44 4   35 3 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 123 2.00 1.20 S
FIERCE AND STRONG 1 3 3 34   46 412½ (farrior antho)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00 3.20  
SCR  RECKLESS JONES               (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00    
SCR  SPORTING THE GOLD               (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE 1 4 21 2½   1 14 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 6% 14.80 3.70 W
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 5 1 11 1½   2 24 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 24% 3.20 5.00 P
ECONOMIC POWER 4 5 4 3   36 3 (ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 12% 7.40 2.80 S
BAILEY 6 7 7 46   4 4 (simone michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00 1.90  
PERUVIAN BOY 3 8 6 6   511 511½ (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 15.00 52.00  
VOUCH 8 6 8 7   713 614¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 13% 6.60 5.30  
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 7 2 5 56   613 715¼ (shuchman allan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 36.80  
NAUTICAL NATURE 2 3 3 8   817 821¼ (ippolito mark)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 41.90  
SCR  JAYJAYDEE               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-3   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:162 1:301   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIRENETTA 1 1 54 5 2nk 12 1 (gallimore trevo)PEREZ M 123 12.00 14.70  
BABKA 2 5 21 2nk 1nk 22 2 (ness jamie)CONNER TYLER 123 1.60 14% 6.10 0.60 P
APRILS LUCK 5 4 44 43 53 37 38 (lucas bonnie)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 8.00 2.30 S
Z KITTY 3 3 3 3½ 3½ 48 414¾ (mick r)LLOYD W 123 12.00 22.60  
CANDY FLASH 4 6 611 6 69 614½ 519¾ (chacon gustavo)RIVERA D 123 8.00 21.20  
SCARLET WARRIOR 6 2 11 1nk 4 513 620 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 9% 10.60 5.00  
SCR  LEAPING FOR CANDY               (kirby john )HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
PEN-4   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONSAFE 1 3 3 4   2½ 1 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 3.00  
MIDTOWN ROSE 5 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 2 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 10% 8.60 2.30 P
SEEKING THE DREAM 2 2 1nk 2nk   3½ 34 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.00 S
TIMELY TRADITION 4 4 42 31   4 4 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 5% 19.00 15.20  
JACKIE THE JOKER 3 5 54 5   55 58 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 3.50 8.40  
SCR  ECLIPTICALS SARAH               (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-5   03/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:14 1:40   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FACTOTUM 3 1 1 1½ 1 13 14 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 63% 0.60 0.80 W
INSTANT CHAOS 5 5 6 5 3 23 24 (perez flores )RAMOS C 115 6.00 5.00 P
INNUENDO (IRE) 1 3 54 6 5 36 3 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 5.90 S
10  MR BOLDACIOUS 8 8 32 3½ 2 4 410¾ (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 8.60  
LONG TOM 6 6 7 7 6 5 516 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 20.70  
JUMP FREE 2 2 42 42 7 611½ 620½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00 27.40  
BOSSY CAT 7 4 2 2½ 4 712½ 725¾ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 6.00 7% 14.10 16.00  
JACK GAVE BACK 4 7 8 810¾ 830¾ 852½ 880¾ (bentley fenneka)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 7.20  
SCR  DOHKO               (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
SCR  EASY STRIDE               (gonzalez )ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00 6% 15.70    
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   03/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:144 1:424   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY BUCK 4 1 13 14 15 1 1 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.60 2.80 W
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 6 6 3 45 3 2 2 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 1.50 49% 1.10 1.40 P
NOT IN THE MOOD 1 2 68 6 4 3 3 (pattershall mar)REQUENA PEDRO 124 4.00 8% 11.00 4.10 S
ARCTICA 3 5 5 56 5 4 4 (flores l)FLORES E 124 6.00 5% 19.00 19.70  
SMOKIN CLASS 2 4 4 3 6 69 5 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
JUSTIN TIME 5 3 23 24 25 5 611½ (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 6.00 3.70  
 
PEN-7   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:144 1:291   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLINGSHOT BOY 2 3 3 3 3 1nk 1 (allard edwa)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 1.80  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 3 5 4 48 55 4 2 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 123 6.00 9.90 P
DON'T QUESTION ME 5 4 58 5 4 5 3 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 6.00 14.10  
TAKING WHAT'S MINE 4 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 46 (brooks gerald)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 23% 3.30 1.50  
DR GREENTHUMB 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 3.2 510 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 44% 1.30 2.30  
SCR  BEFRIENDTHEENEMY               (flores-coba f)RAMOS C 118 12.00 5% 17.90    
SCR  WHISKIED UP               (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.