Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/3/6)-(5/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/9/5/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/9/5/1)-(2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1)-(6/9/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/5/1)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/9/5/1)-(2/7)-(2/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/1/5)-(2/7/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(2/6/4)-(4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4)-(4/9)-(6/4/1/2/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/9)-(4/9/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9)-(4/9/2/6)-(4/9/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/9)-(6/4/1/2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/9)-(6/4/1/2/3)-(1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/4/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/2/3)-(6/4/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/2/3)-(6/4/1/2/3)-(6/4/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/2/3)-(1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  RECKLESS JONES Feb10 Jan25       (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of QUEEN OFTHE CASTLE by DONERAILE COURT)
SCR  SPORTING THE GOLD Feb08         (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 10.00 ★    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of MISSILED by GOLDEN MISSILE)
3  FIERCE AND STRONG Feb10 Jan02 Oct18 Sep22   (farrior ant)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 5.00 ★    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
4  SHY DA RUNNER Feb02         (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 30% 2.30    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of UNIMAGINEABLE by TWIRLING CANDY)
5  MOBEER Feb15 Jan12       (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 1.60 46% 1.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of RESTLESS ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  SPINNING MUSICIAN Dec10 Nov12       (beattie m)AGUILAR M 123 2.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PERFECT NOTE by NOTEBOOK)
 
PEN-2   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S GOLDEN DUDE Jan27 Jan02 Nov28 Nov02 Sep20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 8.00 6% 14.80    
2  NAUTICAL NATURE Dec21 Nov15 Oct21 Sep23 Sep09 (ippolito ma)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
3  PERUVIAN BOY Feb08 Jan27 Dec21 Nov23 Oct04 (sells rache)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
SCR  JAYJAYDEE Mar01 Feb08 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
5  ECONOMIC POWER Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 Oct11 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 12% 7.40    
6  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Feb08 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Sep08 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
7  BAILEY Feb20 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec16 (simone michae)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 6.00    
8  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Feb01 Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Aug31 (shuchman alla)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
9  VOUCH Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Nov29 Oct14 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
 
PEN-3   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIRENETTA Feb08 Jan27 Jan16 Dec14 Dec02 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 123 12.00 ★    
2  BABKA Feb15 Dec29 Oct30 Sep18 Aug07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 123 1.60 14% 6.10    
3  Z KITTY Feb10 Jan20 Dec27     (mick r)LLOYD W 123 12.00    
4  CANDY FLASH Feb15 Jan16 Dec12     (chacon gustav)RIVERA D 123 8.00    
5  APRILS LUCK Feb09 Jan27 Dec27 Dec02 Nov15 (lucas bonni)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 8.00 ★    
SCR  LEAPING FOR CANDY Feb15 Jan20 Dec20 Nov16 Oct12 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.00 55% 0.80    
7  SCARLET WARRIOR Feb10 Jan20       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 9% 10.60    
 
PEN-4   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOONSAFE Feb17 Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
2  SEEKING THE DREAM Feb07 Jan02 Nov29 Oct21 Sep15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  JACKIE THE JOKER Jan13 Dec12 Nov23 Oct28 Oct04 (mosco robert)OCASIO M 120 3.50    
4  TIMELY TRADITION Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 Oct21 Oct07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Sep16 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 3.00 21% 3.70    
6  MIDTOWN ROSE Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 Sep06 Aug20 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 6.00 10% 8.60    
 
PEN-5   03/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEAKY BLINKERS Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
2  INNUENDO (IRE) Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct10 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 ★    
3  JUMP FREE Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 Dec30 Dec14 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
4  FACTOTUM Feb09 Jan11 Dec20 Dec08 Oct30 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 63% 0.60    
5  JACK GAVE BACK Feb15 Jan08 Dec13 Nov21 Nov02 (bentley fennek)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
6  INSTANT CHAOS Jan31 Jan16 Dec05 Nov14 Oct12 (perez flore)RAMOS C 115 6.00 ★    
7  LONG TOM Feb17 Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
SCR  EASY STRIDE Feb09 Dec06 Jan26     (gonzale)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 15.00 6% 15.70    
9  BOSSY CAT Feb17 Jan18 Jan06 Dec20 Dec06 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 6.00 7% 14.10    
10  MR BOLDACIOUS Feb17 Jan26 Dec28 Dec02 Nov05 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
SCR  DOHKO Feb15 Jan11 Nov11 Sep14 Sep07 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 12.00    
 
PEN-6   03/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOT IN THE MOOD Dec20 Oct31 Jun06 May13 Mar21 (pattershall m)REQUENA PEDRO 124 4.00 8% 11.00    
2  SMOKIN CLASS Feb17 Jan12 Oct25 Oct14 Sep14 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARCTICA Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 Aug26 (flores l)FLORES E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  HAY BUCK Feb17 Dec16 Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 10% 8.60    
5  JUSTIN TIME Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 Aug24 Aug03 (moreno tito)LLOYD W 124 6.00    
6  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 Nov18 Mar22 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 1.50 49% 1.10    
 
PEN-7   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR GREENTHUMB Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 Nov06 Oct18 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  SLINGSHOT BOY Feb17 Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 (allard ed)RODRIGUEZ R 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  WHISKIED UP Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Oct27   (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
4  RIVERBOAT BANDIT Feb16 Dec07 Nov23     (houghton th)INIRIO J 123 6.00 ★    
5  TAKING WHAT'S MINE Feb17 Feb01 Jan06 Dec10   (brooks gera)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BEFRIENDTHEENEMY Jan31 Jan23 Jan01 Oct29 Oct22 (flores-coba)RAMOS C 118 12.00 5% 17.90    
7  DON'T QUESTION ME Feb02 Jan25 Dec21     (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.