The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - March 03, 2023

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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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PEN-1   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
:233 :48 1:131 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 6 1 31 3½ 3.2 11(synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 12% 7.10 7.70 W
LAKE NAKURU 7 7 711 7 77 45 2(ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 7% 14.10 11.00 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 6 65 6 62 23(stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 14.80  
LINGFIELD PARK 5 4 5 5 4 34(schoenthal phil)CEDENO CAROL 115 5.00 11% 8.50 9.80  
C C'S KINGDOM 4 5 42 42 5 56 58 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 3.90  
CONDITION ONE 2 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 6612¼ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 31% 2.30 1.30  
BACKATYA 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 79 715¾ (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 15% 5.50 3.20  
SCR  KHAKI JACK               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming  ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
:234 :473 1:13 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE YUDI 1 5 5 5 45 21(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.40  
WILL E SUTTON 2 2 31 3 3 32(jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 1.70 P
MEAN MACHINE 5 3 2½ 2nk 1 13(kreiser timot)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20 S
A T M AWESOME 4 1 1½ 1nk 2 47 412½ (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 6.30  
CHARGING LION 3 4 4 4 511 520 534¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.60 8.50  
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-3   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance  ( Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
:242 :483 1:142 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN 4 4 3 32 1 14 1(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 40% 1.50 0.40 W
TERPEYE 6 5 6 65 33 24 2(moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 16% 5.20 6.30 P
SOUTH HOUSE 3 3 1½ 1 2 34 314½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.20 7.60 S
KATY THE CAT 2 6 4 4 58 511 415½ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 4.70  
FAVORITE DOLL 5 1 5 5 4 410 519¼ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 13.20  
SAKARI 1 2 2½ 2 6 615 627¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 27.80  
SCR  CHALK HILL               (ramirez a)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 5.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming  ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 7:28
:242 :482 1:133 1:27   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR ABBIE 6 5 1 12 1 17 110 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00 5.10  
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 5 6 6 22 2 27 210 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 2.20 P
ROWSIE EXPRESS 4 1 43 3 36 3314 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 3.90 S
AFRICAN ANGEL 1 4 2 5 4 513½ 419½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 20% 4.10 3.60  
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO 2 3 5 4 5 413½ 521¾ (crowell l)TORRES JOMAR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 19.10  
DIVISIBILITY 3 2 3 6 619½ 631½ 646¼ (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00 30% 2.30 2.70  
 
PEN-5   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming  ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
:222 :46 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS 8 1 3½ 1nk   12 1(graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
KEEPING THE PEACE 5 7 6 4   43 2(velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.50 31% 2.20 4.90 P
LONGTAIL 4 5 2½ 2nk   32 34 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 15% 5.50 8.80 S
BERHANU 3 3 1½ 3.2   22 4(albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00 9.40  
COAST TO COAST 2 4 5 6   54 5(sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 5% 17.30 12.70  
FUTILE 1 10 10 8   66(sells rache)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 9.40  
BIG BAD BUD 7 9 9 9   98 7(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 25.80  
11  KIKKERLAND 10 2 41 5   888 (bravo-estrada)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 4.20  
10  SCREEN STAR 9 8 8 7   7910¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 23.30  
AGAINST THE ODDS 6 6 75 10   1010 1015¾ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 13.90  
SCR  JETTIN OUT               (brooks gerald)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming  ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
:223 :461 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPID RESPONSE 3 3 4¾ 2½   2nk 1¼ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 6.00  
MR. PETE 6 1 2½ 3½   1nk 2¼ (taylor jose)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5.80 P
FLAT OUT FLASHY 7 4 3½ 4   43(beattie cod)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.30 6.10 S
MINE TO HOLD 5 6 6 7   748 (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 38.20  
MILITARY HOP 1 7 7 6   55(ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 10% 8.60 1.70  
SAN ANTONE 2 5 5 5   6610½ (graci a)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
BEYOND THE BEND 4 2 1½ 1½   3716¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.20  
 
PEN-7   03/03/2023 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer  ($10 Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
:243 :492 1:152 1:432   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY HEIR 1 2 1 12 14 119 (allen fer)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.40 W
MR. REDOLFO 2 1 35 310 3 229 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 5.00 8.10  
ENANO 4 4 48 412½ 413½ 316½ 327 (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 18% 4.60 3.60 S
SMOOZER 3 3 2 22 24 417½ 441¾ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 3.60  
SCR  COMMANDING               (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET               (colgan kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 3.50    
SCR  JEALOUS RED               (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.