Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (3/2/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $17.40 $7.40 74%
    EXA (3/2/7/6/8)-(3/2/7/6/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-8 $142.40 $102.40 256%
PEN-3   TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4/3)-(6/5/8/4/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00  6-8-5 $40.50 $4.50 13%
PEN-5   TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2/3)-(5/9/4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00  9-5-4 $70.40 $22.40 47%
    SFT (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2/3)-(5/9/4/2/3)-(5/9/4/2/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  9-5-4-3 $61.08 $51.48 536%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:131 1:40   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK 6 1 31 3½ 3.2 1 1 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 12% 7.10 7.70 W
LAKE NAKURU 7 7 711 7 77 45 2 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 7% 14.10 11.00 P
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 6 65 6 62 2 3 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 14.80  
LINGFIELD PARK 5 4 5 5 4 3 4 (schoenthal phi)CEDENO CAROL 115 5.00 11% 8.50 9.80  
C C'S KINGDOM 4 5 42 42 5 56 58 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00 3.90  
CONDITION ONE 2 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 6 612¼ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 31% 2.30 1.30  
BACKATYA 1 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 79 715¾ (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 15% 5.50 3.20  
SCR  KHAKI JACK               (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:402   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE YUDI 1 5 5 5 45 2 1 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 5.40  
WILL E SUTTON 2 2 31 3 3 3 2 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 1.70 P
MEAN MACHINE 5 3 2½ 2nk 1 1 3 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20 S
A T M AWESOME 4 1 1½ 1nk 2 47 412½ (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 6.30  
CHARGING LION 3 4 4 4 511 520 534¼ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.60 8.50  
SCR  TRADERS LUCK               (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-3   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:142 1:273   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN 4 4 3 32 1 14 1 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 40% 1.50 0.40 W
TERPEYE 6 5 6 65 33 24 2 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 16% 5.20 6.30 P
SOUTH HOUSE 3 3 1½ 1 2 34 314½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.20 7.60 S
KATY THE CAT 2 6 4 4 58 511 415½ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 4.70  
FAVORITE DOLL 5 1 5 5 4 410 519¼ (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 13.20  
SAKARI 1 2 2½ 2 6 615 627¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 27.80  
SCR  CHALK HILL               (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 120 5.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito ma)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:133 1:27   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR ABBIE 6 5 1 12 1 17 110 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00 5.10  
WARRIOR'S RANSOM 5 6 6 22 2 27 210 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 2.20 P
ROWSIE EXPRESS 4 1 43 3 36 3 314 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 3.90 S
AFRICAN ANGEL 1 4 2 5 4 513½ 419½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 20% 4.10 3.60  
POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO 2 3 5 4 5 413½ 521¾ (crowell susan )TORRES JOMAR 119 6.00 19% 4.20 19.10  
DIVISIBILITY 3 2 3 6 619½ 631½ 646¼ (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00 30% 2.30 2.70  
 
PEN-5   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :46 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I SEE THE STARS 8 1 3½ 1nk   12 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 17% 4.90 1.90 W
KEEPING THE PEACE 5 7 6 4   43 2 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.50 31% 2.20 4.90 P
LONGTAIL 4 5 2½ 2nk   32 34 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 15% 5.50 8.80 S
BERHANU 3 3 1½ 3.2   22 4 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00 9.40  
COAST TO COAST 2 4 5 6   54 5 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 5% 17.30 12.70  
FUTILE 1 10 10 8   6 6 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 9.40  
BIG BAD BUD 7 9 9 9   98 7 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 25.80  
11  KIKKERLAND 10 2 41 5   8 88 (bravo-estra)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 6.00 4.20  
10  SCREEN STAR 9 8 8 7   7 910¼ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00 23.30  
AGAINST THE ODDS 6 6 75 10   1010 1015¾ (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00 13.90  
SCR  JETTIN OUT               (brooks gera)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :461 :593     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPID RESPONSE 3 3 4¾ 2½   2nk 1¼ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 6.00  
MR. PETE 6 1 2½ 3½   1nk 2¼ (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 5.80 P
FLAT OUT FLASHY 7 4 3½ 4   4 3 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.30 6.10 S
MINE TO HOLD 5 6 6 7   7 48 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 38.20  
MILITARY HOP 1 7 7 6   5 5 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 10% 8.60 1.70  
SAN ANTONE 2 5 5 5   6 610½ (graci kimberly)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 35% 1.80 5.70  
BEYOND THE BEND 4 2 1½ 1½   3 716¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.20  
 
PEN-7   03/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:152 1:432   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY HEIR 1 2 1 12 14 1 19 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.40 W
MR. REDOLFO 2 1 35 310 3 2 29 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 5.00 8.10  
ENANO 4 4 48 412½ 413½ 316½ 327 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 18% 4.60 3.60 S
SMOOZER 3 3 2 22 24 417½ 441¾ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 3.60  
SCR  COMMANDING               (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET               (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 3.50    
SCR  JEALOUS RED               (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.