Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (3/2/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6/8)-(3/2/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6/8)-(3/2/7/6/8)-(3/2/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/7/6/8)-(6/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/6/8)-(6/4)-(6/5/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/2/3)-(6/4/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(6/5/8)-(3/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8/4)-(6/5/8/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/8)-(3/1/2)-(5/9/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2/4/5)-(3/1/2/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(5/9/4/2)-(2/7/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/9/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/2)-(5/9/4/2/3)-(5/9/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/4/2)-(2/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/9/4/2)-(2/7/4/1)-(1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/1)-(2/7/4/1/6)-(2/7/4/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/4/1)-(1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KHAKI JACK Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 Oct07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
2  BACKATYA Feb06 Dec29 Dec10 Nov27 Nov12 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  CONDITION ONE Feb10 Jan11 Dec07 Aug22 Aug05 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 31% 2.30    
4  BLUEBERRY MASH Feb01 Jan18 Dec16 Nov22 Oct25 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
5  C C'S KINGDOM Feb09 Jan18 Dec11 Nov18 Oct23 (chircop steven)TORRES JOMAR 124 4.00    
6  LINGFIELD PARK Feb10 Jan18 Dec13 Nov22 Oct19 (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 5.00 11% 8.50    
7  KAZ SUGAR BANK Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov23 Nov11 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 12% 7.10    
8  LAKE NAKURU Feb15 Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 Nov09 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 7% 14.10    
 
PEN-2   03/03/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRADERS LUCK Dec27 Nov30 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (houghton th)INIRIO J 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
2  UNCLE YUDI Feb10 Jan19 Dec13 Nov22 Oct28 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 ★    
3  WILL E SUTTON Feb14 Jan07 Dec11 Nov12 Oct23 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 122 1.80 ★    
4  CHARGING LION Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
5  A T M AWESOME Feb10 Jan19 Dec21 Nov30 Nov02 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
6  MEAN MACHINE Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 Nov18 Oct01 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-3   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EARLY FROST Feb24 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (ippolito ma)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
2  SAKARI Feb22 Feb09 Jan27 Jan12 Dec27 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
SCR  CHALK HILL Feb10 Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Oct05 (ramirez jose )TREJOS JOSEPH 120 5.00 ★    
4  KATY THE CAT Feb09 Jan25 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 4.50 ★    
5  SOUTH HOUSE Feb09 Jan25 Dec20 Dec02 Nov18 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
6  BARISTA VIXEN Feb22 Dec07 Oct14 Sep15 Aug24 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 1.60 40% 1.50    
7  FAVORITE DOLL Jan26 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
8  TERPEYE Feb09 Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 Nov04 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-4   03/03/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFRICAN ANGEL Feb10 Dec14 Oct14     (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 121 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Feb07 Jan10 Dec10 Oct22 Oct06 (crowell )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
3  DIVISIBILITY Jan20 Dec31 Dec06 Nov02 Oct13 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00 30% 2.30    
4  ROWSIE EXPRESS Jan07 Dec03 Nov07 Oct26 Jul23 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 121 2.50 ★    
5  WARRIOR'S RANSOM Feb10 Jan24 Dec12 Oct24 Sep29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00 ★    
6  DOCTOR ABBIE Feb10 Jan20 Dec27     (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 121 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUTILE Feb08 Jan27 Jan11 Nov02 Oct08 (sells rac)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00    
2  COAST TO COAST Feb02 Jan12 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 5% 17.30    
3  BERHANU Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 Dec27 Dec09 (albright r)FLORES E 122 8.00 ★    
4  LONGTAIL Dec30 Dec14 Sep26 Sep14 Sep05 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 5.00 15% 5.50    
5  KEEPING THE PEACE Feb08 Jan19 Jan09 Dec12 Aug04 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
6  AGAINST THE ODDS Feb02 Jan20 Dec13 Nov15 Oct19 (zalalas m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 8.00    
7  BIG BAD BUD Feb08 Dec30 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  JETTIN OUT Dec02 Nov11 Oct26 Oct07 Sep03 (brooks gera)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
9  I SEE THE STARS Feb15 Jan20 Jan07 Nov15 Oct19 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
10  SCREEN STAR Feb02 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 Nov08 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 122 15.00    
11  KIKKERLAND Feb02 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Oct12 (bravo-estrada jai)LLOYD W 122 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILITARY HOP Feb06 Jan11 Dec21 Mar25 Mar05 (ness jamie)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 2.50 10% 8.60    
2  SAN ANTONE Feb02 Jan12 Dec18 Dec08 Nov12 (graci kimberly)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
3  RAPID RESPONSE Feb08 Jan18 Oct22 Sep16 Jul29 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50    
4  BEYOND THE BEND Jan09 Oct18 Jul21 May26 May05 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
5  MINE TO HOLD Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 Dec04 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
6  MR. PETE Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 Nov02 Sep08 (taylor jo)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★    
7  FLAT OUT FLASHY Feb08 Jan27 Dec30 Nov30 Oct18 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
PEN-7   03/03/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTY HEIR Feb16 Feb01 Jan19 Dec01 Nov11 (allen f)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  MR. REDOLFO Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Sep06 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 5.00    
SCR  COMMANDING Feb02 Dec13 Nov09     (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  JEALOUS RED Jan19 Dec13       (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
5  SMOOZER Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 Dec09 Nov05 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00 ★    
6  ENANO Jun07 May17 Apr13 Mar21 Jan18 (penaloza mig)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  FIRE D'ROCKET Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov05 Sep18 (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.