The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Friday - April 21, 2023

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AQU-1   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
:23 :464 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTERNATE REALITY 2 3 5 4   12 1(englehart )DAVIS A 118 8.00 15% 5.80 16.80 W
MAJESTIC MICHAEL 1 1 2 2½   22 2(dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 6.10  
PHELPSY 5 6 69 6   433 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 9.90 S
D HOPPER 6 4 33 31   32 4(brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.00 56% 0.80 0.45  
VENGE 3 5 4 5   66 513 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 6.40  
FINN'S MOMENT 4 2 1 1½   5615 (jerkens james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 9.60  
 
AQU-2   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:52
:244 :50 1:143 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  YUKATA (IRE) 5 5 4 42 3½ 31 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.60 41% 1.40 0.75 W
CANISY 4 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 21 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 2.60  
ARINA (GER) 2 4 53 5 5 53 31 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 0.60 0.75 S
BRAMBLE BAY 1 2 3 31 4 42 42 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 18% 4.60 5.70  
WONKA 6 3 21 21 2½ 2½ 5(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 13% 6.60 5.10  
TONED UP 3 6 6 64 66 66 67 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 20.30  
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
SCR  HONEY MONEY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 120 1.80    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
AQU-3   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
:22 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOT'S DOLLAR 4 1 3 32   1½ 1(rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 3.90  
ROTKNEE 5 3 1nk 11   2½ 2(maker j)ORTIZ L 122 1.60 40% 1.50 1.55 P
EXCELLENT TIMING 1 2 2nk 21   3315½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 21% 3.70 0.95 S
PRESSURE 2 4 58 514½   512½ 416¾ (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 21.50  
BEZOS 3 5 43 4   49 521 (goberdha)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 22.30  
SCR  KAZ'S BEACH               (synnefias pan)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-4   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
:24 :481 1:133 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS 4 4 11 1nk 1 14 1(mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.20 40% 1.50 0.95 W
SUCCEED 7 1 4 4¾ 32 24 2(cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 10.00 9% 10.80 7.10 P
STEADY PROGRESS 6 2 31 3.2 2 35 3(chatte)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 13.20  
FINANCIAL STRENGTH 5 5 5 5 43 4417½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 8.90  
GLOBAL IMAGE 2 3 21 2nk 5 512 519 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 15% 5.70 2.70  
PEJA DU 3 6 6 6 68 613 621¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 16% 5.40 9.00  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 75 7 711½ 715 721¼ (jones e)BROWN DALTON 126 30.00 49.75  
 
AQU-5   04/21/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
:25 :501 1:151 1:413   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIKED 5 1 5 5 23 21 1nk (terranova john )FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 45% 1.20 1.95 W
KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 3 1½ 11 13 11 2nk (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.30 2.15 P
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 1 7 76 7 6 33 3(rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5.70  
ANATOLIAN 4 6 6 65 58 43 4(maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 16.70  
LIAM'S KISS 2 2 4 4 33 57 520 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 10% 8.60 3.00  
VEGAS WEEKEND 7 5 3½ 3 7 716 629¾ (kanta)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
INTO HAPPINESS 6 4 2½ 21 44 611 730½ (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 24.25  
 
AQU-6   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:233 :473 1:123 1:26   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REFUAH 8 1 2½ 3½ 11 11 1(walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 DQ↓2
INSPECTOR 6 2 31 41 42 31 2(asmussen steven )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8.60  
METEORITE 5 3 1½ 1½ 31 43(jerkens a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 1.95  
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 1 6 8 7 68 54(danne)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 7% 12.90 26.75  
RULE BREAKER 4 4 41 2½ 21 21 5(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 4.90  
I'M JUST 3 8 5 53 5 76(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 6.30  
WANNA WINNA 7 5 74 64 7 67(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 13.50  
UNAFFECTED 2 7 63 8 810 811¼ 818 (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 40.75  
 
AQU-7   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
:231 :49 1:143 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNION DOLLY 1 8 32 32 2½ 13 1(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 127 2.00 14% 6.40 0.80 W
FROM HELLO 3 7 7 7 7 42(brown )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 6% 17.10 21.60 P
UP HER SLEEVE 4 4 54 53 4 33 3(levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 127 8.00 5.00  
LADY OF THOROTON 8 6 810 87 8 545 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 125 10.00 8.50  
BRISKY FROLIC 6 3 11 1 1½ 23 5(maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 10.00 10% 9.30 6.60  
GAME THEORY 2 2 4 63 52 66(jones eduardo )HARKIE K 125 30.00 46.50  
R GIRL FAITH 5 1 21 2 3 77(thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 127 30.00 38.25  
BELLA PRINCIPESSA 7 5 64 4 63 813¼ 818½ (klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 10% 9.20 5.30  
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.40 36% 1.80    
SCR  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.80    
 
AQU-8   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
:241 :481 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHALI MAGIC 6 2 11 1½   14 13 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9% 10.50 6.70 W
SWEET MYSTERY 2 3 21 52   35 23 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 6.00 P
THINKING IT OVER 7 1 4 4   24 3(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
AMITY ISLAND 4 5 7 64   64(goberdha)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 47.50  
STONE CREATOR 5 7 31 2½   55(baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 52% 0.90 1.60  
MIA BEA STAR 3 4 5 7   7610¼ (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5.30  
BAVARIAN CREME 1 6 6 3   45 711 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.20  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   04/21/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
:222 :453 :573     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T LET ME DOWN 2 6 6 6   2nk 1(englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 21% 3.90 1.95 W
NIEUWENDYK 6 1 1nk 11   1nk 2(begg james )VARGAS A 118 4.50 5.30 P
FATHER OF LIES 1 5 3 31   3.2 3(noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.00  
BRASS MONKEY 3 2 4 53   54(klesaris robe)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9% 10.20 5.30  
LEO FONG 4 7 74 7   45(summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 9.70  
SWAY'SINMYDNA 7 4 5 21   62 612 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 15.00 11.50  
OLD POINT 5 8 811½ 810¾   8714½ (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 3.00 31% 2.30 4.40  
10  WEALLLIKEDHIM 8 3 2nk 4   78 825½ (legall ricardo)SAMUEL L 125 30.00 52.25  
SCR  ANOINTED SPIRIT               (chin peter)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  LITTLE SKIPPY               (brown r)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  PINE ALLEY               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  SHAKIN THE BELLE               (rodriguez rudy )FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.