Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
AQU-1   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $35.60 $31.60 790%
AQU-2   DD (6/2)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-1 $31.00 $25.00 417%
AQU-7   EXA (9/1/7/6/3)-(9/1/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-3 $42.00 $22.00 110%
AQU-8   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  7-2 $39.75 $30.75 342%
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/2/8)-(6/7/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-2-8 $69.25 $60.25 669%
    DD (9/1/7/6/3)-(6/7/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00  1-7 $19.40 $4.40 29%
AQU-9   DD (6/7/8)-(6/2/11/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $24.30 $12.30 103%
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:123     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALTERNATE REALITY 2 3 57½ 45½   12 12½ (englehar)DAVIS A 118 8.00 15% 5.80 16.80 W
  (by ALTERNATION out of PANCAKE by CORINTHIAN)
1  MAJESTIC MICHAEL 1 1 22½ 2½   22 22½ (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 6.10  
  (by JUSTIFY out of EMILY B by SMART STRIKE)
5  PHELPSY 5 6 69 67½   42½ 33 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 ★ 9.90 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SECRET SOMEONE by A.P. INDY)
6  D HOPPER 6 4 33 31   32 49½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 1.00 56% 0.80 0.45  
  (by KANTHAROS out of K J WARRIOR by TAPIT)
3  VENGE 3 5 45½ 56½   66 513 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 118 4.50 6.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
4  FINN'S MOMENT 4 2 12½ 1½   55½ 615 (jerkens jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00 9.60  
  (by UNCLE MO out of FINN'S GIRL by BERNARDINI)
 
AQU-2   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:244 :50 1:143 1:371   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  YUKATA (IRE) 5 5 42½ 42 3½ 31 11 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 0.60 41% 1.40 0.75 W
4  CANISY 4 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 21 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 2.60  
1  ARINA (GER) 2 4 53 52½ 52½ 53 31 (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 0.60 ★ 0.75 S
2  BRAMBLE BAY 1 2 31½ 31 41½ 42 42 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 5.00 18% 4.60 5.70  
5  WONKA 6 3 21 21 2½ 2½ 52¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 13% 6.60 5.10  
3  TONED UP 3 6 65½ 64 66 66 67 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 20.30  
SCR  DANCING SOPHIA               (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00    
SCR  HONEY MONEY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 120 1.80 ★    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 118 8.00 ★    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50    
 
AQU-3   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:22 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DOT'S DOLLAR 4 1 31½ 32   1½ 15¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 3.90  
6  ROTKNEE 5 3 1nk 11   2½ 25¼ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 1.60 40% 1.50 1.55 P
1  EXCELLENT TIMING 1 2 2nk 21   33½ 315½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.40 21% 3.70 0.95 S
2  PRESSURE 2 4 58 514½   512½ 416¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 21.50  
4  BEZOS 3 5 43 48½   49 521 (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 22.30  
SCR  KAZ'S BEACH               (synnefias p)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 4.50 16% 5.20    
 
AQU-4   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:133 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAGICAL WAYS 4 4 11 1nk 11½ 14 11¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.20 40% 1.50 0.95 W
7  SUCCEED 7 1 41½ 4¾ 32 24 21¾ (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 10.00 9% 10.80 7.10 P
6  STEADY PROGRESS 6 2 31 3.2 21½ 35 39¾ (chat)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 8.00 13.20  
5  FINANCIAL STRENGTH 5 5 52½ 51¾ 43 48½ 417½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00 8.90  
2  GLOBAL IMAGE 2 3 21 2nk 57½ 512 519 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 15% 5.70 2.70  
3  PEJA DU 3 6 64½ 62¾ 68 613 621¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 16% 5.40 9.00  
1  GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 75 74¾ 711½ 715 721¼ (jones eduardo )BROWN DALTON 126 30.00 49.75  
 
AQU-5   04/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:151 1:413   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPIKED 5 1 52½ 52½ 23 21 1nk (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.80 45% 1.20 1.95 W
3  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 3 3 1½ 11 13 11 2nk (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 19% 4.30 2.15 P
1  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 1 7 76 76½ 68¼ 33 32¼ (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5.70  
4  ANATOLIAN 4 6 64½ 65 58 43 44¾ (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 16.70  
2  LIAM'S KISS 2 2 41½ 41½ 33 57 520 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 122 5.00 10% 8.60 3.00  
7  VEGAS WEEKEND 7 5 3½ 31½ 78¾ 716 629¾ (kan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
6  INTO HAPPINESS 6 4 2½ 21 44 611 730½ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 24.25  
 
AQU-6   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123 1:26   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  REFUAH 8 1 2½ 3½ 11 11 11½ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 DQ↓2
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  INSPECTOR 6 2 31 41 42 31 21½ (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 8.60  
  (by FLATTER out of FENWICK HALL by FREUD)
5  METEORITE 5 3 1½ 1½ 31 43½ 33¼ (jerkens a)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 1.95  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LEAVEMINTHEDUST by DANZIG)
1  BATTLEOFLEXINGTON 1 6 84¼ 77½ 68 54½ 43¾ (dan)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 10.00 7% 12.90 26.75  
  (by WAR CORRESPONDENT out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  RULE BREAKER 4 4 41 2½ 21 21 54¾ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 42% 1.40 4.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARTEMIS AGROTERA by ROMAN RULER)
3  I'M JUST 3 8 52½ 53 57½ 76¾ 67¼ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★ 6.30  
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
7  WANNA WINNA 7 5 74 64 78½ 66½ 77¼ (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 8.00 13.50  
  (by BLAME out of PLEASED by BERNARDINI)
2  UNAFFECTED 2 7 63 87¾ 810 811¼ 818 (romero rafael)DAVIS KATIE 118 15.00 40.75  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOLDEN MISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
AQU-7   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:231 :49 1:143 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNION DOLLY 1 8 32 32 2½ 13 13¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 127 2.00 14% 6.40 0.80 W
3  FROM HELLO 3 7 76½ 74½ 73¼ 44½ 23¼ (brow)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 20.00 6% 17.10 21.60 P
4  UP HER SLEEVE 4 4 54 53 41½ 33 33¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 127 8.00 5.00  
8  LADY OF THOROTON 8 6 810 87 84¼ 54¾ 45 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 125 10.00 8.50  
6  BRISKY FROLIC 6 3 11 11½ 1½ 23 56¼ (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 127 10.00 10% 9.30 6.60  
2  GAME THEORY 2 2 43½ 63 52 65¼ 67½ (jones eduard)HARKIE K 125 30.00 46.50  
5  R GIRL FAITH 5 1 21 21½ 31½ 76¼ 78½ (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 127 30.00 38.25  
7  BELLA PRINCIPESSA 7 5 64 42½ 63 813¼ 818½ (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 8.00 10% 9.20 5.30  
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 127 1.40 36% 1.80    
SCR  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 127 1.80    
 
AQU-8   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KHALI MAGIC 6 2 11 1½   14 13 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 9% 10.50 6.70 W
2  SWEET MYSTERY 2 3 21 52   35 23 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.50 ★ 6.00 P
8  THINKING IT OVER 7 1 41½ 41½   24 34½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
5  AMITY ISLAND 4 5 73¼ 64   68¼ 47¼ (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 47.50  
6  STONE CREATOR 5 7 31 2½   55¼ 58¼ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.80 52% 0.90 1.60  
4  MIA BEA STAR 3 4 52½ 74½   79¼ 610¼ (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 5.30  
1  BAVARIAN CREME 1 6 62¾ 31½   45 711 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 3.20  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
 
AQU-9   04/21/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DON'T LET ME DOWN 2 6 63¾ 63½   2nk 16¼ (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 21% 3.90 1.95 W
7  NIEUWENDYK 6 1 1nk 11   1nk 26¼ (begg jame)VARGAS A 118 4.50 ★ 5.30 P
1  FATHER OF LIES 1 5 31½ 31   3.2 36¼ (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 5.00  
4  BRASS MONKEY 3 2 41¾ 53   51¾ 48¼ (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 9% 10.20 5.30  
5  LEO FONG 4 7 74 73¾   41¾ 58½ (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00 9.70  
9  SWAY'SINMYDNA 7 4 51¾ 21   62 612 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 15.00 11.50  
6  OLD POINT 5 8 811½ 810¾   89½ 714½ (rice)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 3.00 31% 2.30 4.40  
10  WEALLLIKEDHIM 8 3 2nk 41½   78 825½ (legall ricar)SAMUEL L 125 30.00 52.25  
SCR  ANOINTED SPIRIT               (chin pet)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  LITTLE SKIPPY               (brown r)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  PINE ALLEY               (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 10.00    
SCR  SHAKIN THE BELLE               (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.