Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $7.70  
AQU-2   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
AQU-3   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
AQU-4   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $11.00  
AQU-5   Win (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $14.80  
AQU-6   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.60  
AQU-7   Win (13/8/1/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $53.00  
AQU-8   Win (6/3/10/2/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $28.80  
AQU-9   Win (10/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $19.40 $19.40 11.40

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:144 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOYS CODE 3 6 6 6 21 2½ 1½ (miceli mic)DAVIS A 118 4.00 2.85  
WEST STAR 6 2 2½ 2nk 11 1½ 2½ (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 118 4.50 4.10 P
CONNECT THE BROCKS 1 4 4 5 4 410½ 311¼ (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00 3.30  
POT OF GOLD 2 5 5 4 3 3 411¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 49% 1.00 1.45  
IMPULSIVE SPENDING 4 1 3½ 31 511 518½ 526 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00 12.00  
BEAR'S CORRECT 5 3 1½ 1nk 615 621½ 628¾ (jones e)BROWN DALTON 118 20.00 36.25  
SCR  MAKART               (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-2   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:52
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:121     1:26   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE 5 1 11 1½   1½ 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 31% 2.20 1.60 W
PHAROAH'S HEART 3 5 3 2½   2½ 2 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60 1.90 P
HONEY MONEY 4 2 21 3   3 33 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 3.75  
MOVIE MOXY 2 3 43 44   4 4 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 5.70  
I'M BUZZY 1 4 56 510   510 59 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00 7.70  
SCR  HALO CITY               (lynch natal)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
 
AQU-3   04/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Plenty Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:131 1:242   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVVIE JETS 2 1 1 11 11 11 1¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 20% 3.90 4.90 W
WHITEBEAM (GB) 5 5 43 42 32 21 2¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 3.40  
RUNAWAY RUMOUR 4 2 2 21 21 3 32 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 12.50 8.90 S
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) 3 4 54 53 4 4 43 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 11% 8.00 26.50  
MALAVATH (IRE) 1 3 32 3 54 510½ 512¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 0.60 35% 1.90 0.50  
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA               (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
SCR  TONED UP               (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
 
AQU-4   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:13     1:27   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECURITY CODE 7 5 42 3   1nk 13 (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 4.50  
FANCY JOKE 5 3 2½ 2½   2nk 23 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 30% 2.40 2.40 P
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 1 1 3 42   4 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 32% 2.10 1.05 S
MAJESTIC RETURN 2 2 1½ 1½   31 4 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 6% 14.50 9.20  
STARRY MIDNIGHT 3 4 53 65   59 517 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6% 15.80 14.60  
LADY MINE 4 7 6 5   611½ 619½ (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 23.90  
JOEYBIGNOSE 6 6 76 711   714 722 (lynch natalia)TORRES A 115 30.00 25.25  
 
AQU-5   04/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:22 :443 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUM RUNNER READY 1 6 4 3   3 1nk (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 6.40  
10  WONDER GIRL 9 3 2 21   2 2nk (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 6.00 9.30  
LIANA B 6 2 1 11   1 3 (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 46% 1.20 2.75 S
TAP IT UP 8 10 9 6   4 4 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 25.00  
SOLEVO SPRITZ 2 7 53 4   55 5 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 6.30  
11  HERECOMES SCARLETT 11 1 6 97   8 6 (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00 20.80  
AUNT BERRA 5 4 3 54   66 7 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00 33.00 DH
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE 3 9 7 75   77 7 (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00 55.50 DH
YUKON 7 5 8 87   9 99 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 26% 2.80 1.75  
2B  SHARP PIPPA 10 8 1011¾ 10   1010¼ 10 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 1.75  
BELLA COSA 4 11 1112¼ 1110½   1113¼ 1113½ (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 10.00 13.40  
SCR  BABY SOX               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL               (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
SCR  LA GROTTE               (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
AQU-6   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNBRIDLED BOMBER 5 6 4¾ 1nk 1 15 19 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 4.30  
CURLIN'S WISDOM 6 4 2nk 4 3 37 29 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 29% 2.50 3.00 P
CHESTERTOWN 4 5 6 6 4 48 3 (asmussen stev)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 22.90  
STAGE RAIDER 3 3 3.2 2nk 2 25 410½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 36% 1.80 1.05  
KOOLHAUS 1 1 5 5 56 510 517 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5% 18.50 10.40  
MARKET ALERT 2 2 1nk 31 6 610½ 617 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 6.20  
 
AQU-7   04/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:364   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELL SOMETHING 6 5 4 410 4 4¾ 1 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00 25.50  
10  KINGFISH STEVENS 10 4 32 3 3 3.2 2 (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 4.30  
ROYAL SPIRIT 8 8 6 511½ 6 6 3 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 20% 4.10 2.10 S
BRICCO 1 7 89 813 88 5 4 (bond ja)TORRES A 120 3.50 12% 7.60 8.40  
SMOKE AND HEAT 4 9 910½ 1015¼ 9 8 5 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 6.00 5.90  
BIG VENEZUELA 9 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 6 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 15.00 6% 15.30 15.60  
LORD GATLING 5 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2nk 7 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 127 20.00 17.70  
MO REWARDS 2 1 5 611½ 56 7 8 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 3.70  
STRONG LIGHT 7 10 1010¾ 712½ 7 9 9 (younghans will)HARKIE K 127 30.00 61.50  
MACH ONE 3 6 7 913¼ 1010 1012¼ 1016¾ (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00 11% 8.30 17.60  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES               (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 127 8.00    
SCR  NORGAY               (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 122 4.00    
SCR  SALTO DE TIGRE               (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
AQU-8   04/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
See original race card.
:213 :434 :553     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MILAGRO 5 2 15 1   1 1hd (martin carlos )TORRES A 119 12.00 13.40  
GAL IN A RUSH 6 7 8 6   3 2hd (clement christop)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 37% 1.70 4.40 P
ANNA KARENINE (FR) 4 6 3 2   2 31 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 2.45  
10  PALACE GOSSIP 10 3 25 34   4 4 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 126 5.00 13% 7.00 6.90  
WINGS LIKE EAGLES 2 10 9 7   7 55 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 5.00 9% 9.90 5.40  
FONTANAFREDDA 7 5 4 5   55 6 (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 12.00 12.10  
RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 9 4 5 4   6 7 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00 10.80  
11  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) 11 9 7 89   8 810½ (johnson clevel)SAMUEL L 126 20.00 43.25  
RESPECTFULLY 1 1 67 9   911¼ 911½ (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00 26.25  
KITTEN'S APPEAL 8 11 11 1014   1013¼ 1018¼ (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 126 12.00 15.30  
HEY THERE 3 8 10 1118   1119¼ 1124¼ (cox h)VARGAS A 126 6.00 15% 5.60 9.90  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE POETRY               (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 126 10.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
SCR  TO A T               (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-9   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:224 :473 1:012     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVER GRACEFUL 8 6 55 57   33 1½ (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 22% 3.50 8.70 W
LA CHANCE 5 5 77 69   64 2½ (romero)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00 33.00  
TUMBLES 2 7 6 711½   77 3 (iorio jr)CARMOUCHE K 118 8.00 19% 4.40 4.40 S
STORMY'S IN STYLE 6 3 31 2   22 4 (baker charlton)SAMUEL L 125 15.00 18.00  
MRS BELL 7 4 45 4   4 5 (lucas bonnie)TORRES A 120 6.00 10% 9.20 9.50  
GEORGIE'S LADIES 9 1 2½ 1   12 6 (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 4.40  
BUSTINROXY 1 2 1½ 34   5 7 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 1.10  
GRACE IN MOTION 3 8 810½ 816½   8 8 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 125 20.00 22.20  
MADAME ROSE 4 9 911 926½   929½ 959¾ (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00 30.75  
SCR  MY MALIBU HONEY               (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.