Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - April 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
AQU-2   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (1/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-4   Win (1/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-5   Win (8/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-6   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (8/1/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-8   Win (6/3/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-9   Win (8/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECT THE BROCKS Mar03 Jan08 Dec10 Nov02   (barrow p)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 6.00    
POT OF GOLD         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
BOYS CODE Mar18 Feb18 Feb09 Jan07 Sep21 (miceli mic)DAVIS A 118 4.00    
IMPULSIVE SPENDING Apr07 Mar11       (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
BEAR'S CORRECT Mar26 Mar03 Feb12 Jan19 Dec29 (jones e)BROWN DALTON 118 20.00    
WEST STAR Mar18 Mar03 Jan29 Jan21 Dec30 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 118 4.50    
SCR  MAKART Mar11 Feb12 Jan21 Jan08 Dec01 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 23% 3.30    
 
AQU-2   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M BUZZY Mar11 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec02 (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 120 8.00    
MOVIE MOXY Mar25 Mar17 Feb10 Jan29 Dec30 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50    
PHAROAH'S HEART Mar17 Feb24 Dec09 Jun02 Apr02 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  HALO CITY Apr03 Nov11 Oct27 Oct01 Sep04 (lynch natal)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
HONEY MONEY Mar17 Feb12 Dec29 Dec11 Nov20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00    
HOT FUDGE Mar18 Jan29       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
AQU-3   04/16/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Plenty Purse ($100K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALAVATH (IRE) Nov05         (clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 0.60 35% 1.90    
EVVIE JETS Nov20 Oct22 Sep24 Jul27 Jul10 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 5.00 20% 3.90    
SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE) Feb04 Dec26 Nov13 Oct15 Sep06 (falcone rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00 11% 8.00    
RUNAWAY RUMOUR Oct30 Sep30 Sep03 Jul12 May30 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 7% 12.50    
SCR  TONED UP Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Dec30 Dec01 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
WHITEBEAM (GB)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE DONNA Mar12 Feb24 Dec04 Sep02 Aug06 (levine bruce)RIDER TBA 118 1.80    
 
AQU-4   04/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($72K) 3 F PT- 2:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'MHAVINGAMOMENT Mar17 Feb19 Dec30     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.60 32% 2.10    
MAJESTIC RETURN Mar11 Feb11       (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 6% 14.50    
STARRY MIDNIGHT Feb19 Jan22 Nov27     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 6% 15.80    
LADY MINE Mar24 Sep23 Aug26 Jul15 Jun25 (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
FANCY JOKE Jul01         (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
JOEYBIGNOSE Apr02 Feb26 Jan20 Dec16   (lynch natalia)TORRES A 115 30.00    
SECURITY CODE Mar24 Feb17 Jan22 Dec04 Nov20 (serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00    
 
AQU-5   04/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUNT BERRA Mar03 Jan12 Dec18     (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BABY SOX Mar19 Jan13 Nov27     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 118 15.00    
YUKON         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.00 26% 2.80    
2B  SHARP PIPPA         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
RUM RUNNER READY Feb15 Dec29 Nov30 Sep16 Aug19 (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
SOLEVO SPRITZ         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
BECAUSEOFTHEBRAVE Mar17 Jan26 Jul18 Feb12 Jan14 (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 125 30.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL Mar17 Jan13 Jan07 Oct16 Jul31 (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00    
BELLA COSA Mar17 Feb12 Aug05     (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
LIANA B Mar02 Feb02 Dec14 Jun05   (kimmel c)ORTIZ L 125 3.50 46% 1.20    
TAP IT UP Mar20 Mar01 Feb17 Nov27 Nov04 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
10  WONDER GIRL Mar10 Feb17 Jan29     (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 6.00    
11  HERECOMES SCARLETT Mar17 Jan29 Dec04     (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 10.00    
SCR  LA GROTTE Mar17 Feb19 Jan15 Dec04 Oct23 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
AQU-6   04/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($88K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOOLHAUS Jan27 Dec17 Jun17 May12 Mar24 (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 5% 18.50    
MARKET ALERT Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan08 Dec17 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
STAGE RAIDER Jul23 May28 Apr13 Mar05   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
CHESTERTOWN Feb20 Jan01 May22 Mar20 Feb03 (asmussen stev)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00    
UNBRIDLED BOMBER Jan07 Nov12 Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
CURLIN'S WISDOM Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 Jan06 Dec18 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
AQU-7   04/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRICCO Nov05 Jul22 Jun23     (bond ja)TORRES A 120 3.50 12% 7.60    
MO REWARDS Feb11 Jan27 Dec18 Nov13 Oct21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50    
MACH ONE Jan26 Dec29 Sep16 Aug21 Aug14 (persaud eddie)CANCEL ERIC 125 12.00 11% 8.30    
SMOKE AND HEAT Apr01 Mar24 Feb18 Feb02 Dec15 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 127 6.00    
LORD GATLING Mar26 Feb02 Jan14 Dec16 Nov12 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 127 20.00    
SELL SOMETHING Nov26 Oct29 Oct07 Aug18 Jul29 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 125 12.00    
STRONG LIGHT Mar30 Jan27 Jan08 Dec15 Dec09 (younghans will)HARKIE K 127 30.00    
ROYAL SPIRIT Mar17 Dec11 Oct29 Oct07 Aug25 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 125 3.00 20% 4.10    
BIG VENEZUELA Mar26 Feb18 Feb02 Jan20 Dec18 (tessor)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 15.00 6% 15.30    
10  KINGFISH STEVENS Apr02 Mar11 Dec03 Sep24   (martin carlos )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 Dec02 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 6.00    
SCR  NORGAY Apr01 Mar17 Feb19 Feb02 Jan19 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 122 4.00    
SCR  SALTO DE TIGRE Apr01 Mar25 Feb03 Dec30 Dec16 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 127 2.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES Mar18 Feb19 Dec29 Nov13 Oct07 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 127 8.00    
 
AQU-8   04/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($82K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RESPECTFULLY Mar25 Dec16 Oct16 Sep17 Jul31 (jacobson d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 126 20.00    
WINGS LIKE EAGLES Feb24 Jan15 Dec18 Nov17 Sep10 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 5.00 9% 9.90    
HEY THERE Feb18 Jan21 Jul20 Jun24 May21 (cox h)VARGAS A 126 6.00 15% 5.60    
ANNA KARENINE (FR) Mar04         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
LADY MILAGRO Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 Dec09 (martin carlos )TORRES A 119 12.00    
GAL IN A RUSH Nov17 Oct14 Aug12 Jul09 May19 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 37% 1.70    
FONTANAFREDDA Nov17 Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 Jul29 (bond j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 12.00    
KITTEN'S APPEAL Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 Sep29 Jul30 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 126 12.00    
RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Dec09 Nov17 Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
10  PALACE GOSSIP Nov10 Oct20 Aug14 Jul22 Jun11 (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 126 5.00 13% 7.00    
11  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE)         (johnson clevel)SAMUEL L 126 20.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Mar19 Feb05 Jan08 Dec29 Dec11 (rodriguez gusta)FRANCO MANUEL 126 6.00    
SCR  TO A T Mar22 Feb17 Jan19 Dec09 Nov27 (noda orlando)ORTIZ L 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE POETRY Feb24 Jan29 May28 Apr02 Feb06 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 126 15.00    
SCR  CHASING CARA Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Dec09 Nov13 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 126 10.00    
 
AQU-9   04/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTINROXY Mar24 Mar03 Jan14     (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00    
TUMBLES         (iorio jr)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 19% 4.40    
GRACE IN MOTION Sep03 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 125 20.00    
MADAME ROSE Feb17 Dec08 Oct13 Sep04 Aug06 (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00    
LA CHANCE Mar12 Feb18 Oct23 Sep23 Sep01 (romero)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 15.00    
STORMY'S IN STYLE Mar24 Aug22       (baker charlton)SAMUEL L 125 15.00    
MRS BELL Mar24 Mar03 Feb17 Jan27 Dec27 (lucas bonnie)TORRES A 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
EVER GRACEFUL         (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
GEORGIE'S LADIES Mar24 Mar12 Jan08     (barker edward)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00    
SCR  MY MALIBU HONEY Mar18         (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 2.50 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.