Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-6   WIN (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.56 $2.56 43%
KEE-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $5.42 $1.42 36%
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  5-6 $7.14 $3.14 79%
    DD (9/4/7)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-5 $10.87 $4.87 81%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:223 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER DAN 4 3 2½     2½ 1 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 11.24  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS LIVONA by DIXIE UNION)
BLUE EYED SOUL (IRE) 2 2 1½     1½ 2 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 111 1.40 37% 1.70 0.83 P
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
GEWURZTRAMINER 8 4 3     3 3 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00 18.20  
  (by COLLECTED out of SKY MIRAGE by SKY MESA)
KORE KINETIC 3 8 78     5 4 (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 23% 3.40 3.69  
  (by NYQUIST out of CONNECTED FITNESS by CONGRATS)
IMPERIAL THUNDER 7 1 5     6 59 (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 26.91  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of NEVER SOBER by SILENT NAME (JPN))
DUNPHY 6 5 43     4 6 (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 24.39  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ENCHANTED SUNRISE by VERRAZANO)
EXPRESS CRUISER 9 7 68     710½ 714¼ (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 24.92  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of APPEALING STELLA by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SADDLE UP 5 6 8     811 816½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 20% 4.10 5.03  
  (by MUNNINGS out of MORE THAN MOST by MORE THAN READY)
BOY POR UNO 1 9 911     912 916¾ (decker anna)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 20.00 47.66  
  (by MASTERY out of EMILY by CONFIDENTIAL TALK)
SCR  NURCAN               (mendez luis)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
KEE-2   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:213 :444 :561     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CHARGING 10 1 11 11   13 16 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 36% 1.80 2.74 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
SAY IT LOUD 7 8 42 53   54 26 (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00 7.18  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of FREEDOM COME by LIT DE JUSTICE)
16  BEER RUN 11 4 31 21   3 36 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 15% 5.60 9.70 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
11  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) 9 2 5 4   4 4 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 3.03  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TOMOOHAT by DANZIG)
ALIBI IKE 3 5 8 86   8 5 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 11.23  
  (by MUNNINGS out of DRAGIC by BROKEN VOW)
EV'S SHERMAN 2 7 7 75   7 6 (villafranco )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 50.00 5% 19.00 47.39  
  (by DA STOOPS out of AMANDA'S ICE BOX by ICE BOX)
MONET NEVER (IRE) 5 6 21 31   23 7 (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 12% 7.60 3.38  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LAST JEWEL by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
DEVILS RED 4 3 6 6   6 8 (o'neill dou)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00 46.74  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
MCGOLDEN 8 10 118 108   9 912¼ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00 13.86  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
LITTLE MAN CAN 6 9 96 9   10 1014 (lovell mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 30.00 41.74  
  (by CONGRATS out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
ONE FOR MY BROTHER 1 11 10 11   1112¼ 1118¾ (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00 55.82  
  (by ALPHA out of HATTA'S APPEAL by MIRACLE MAN)
SCR  BRAZILIAN FURY               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of WINGED FURY by WAR CHANT)
SCR  ETERNAL BLISS               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
SCR  FORCIBLE ENTRY               (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SNAKEINTHEGRASS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  HOME RUN HANK               (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KEPI by STRATEGIC MISSION)
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS               (frazier ma)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
KEE-3   04/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:121 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIACOMET 5 2 21 11 12 13 1 (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 12% 7.60 2.58 W
IDRATHERBEBLESSED 1 3 43 3 33 33 2 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.20 3.37 P
MADISON LUVS DUKE 3 4 32 21 22 23 3 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 8.07  
HIGH HEATER 4 5 55 4 48 47 411½ (hess b)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 5% 17.40 8.51  
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 6 6 65 5 512 515 550¾ (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 118 20.00 34.39  
WOLFE COUNTY 2 1 11 6100 6100 6100 6100 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00 1.27  
SCR  DEPUTY CONNECT               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
KEE-4   04/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:121 1:234   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATNIP 8 8 6 5 5 1½ 1¼ (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 3.87  
EXACT ESTIMATE 6 7 7 7 7 4 2¼ (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.40 26% 2.90 1.37 P
POLICY OPTION 7 6 8 8 8 8 3¾ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.10 10.80 S
REWARD NIGHT 3 2 5 6 64 7 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 16% 5.10 6.09  
JUULSTONE 4 5 31 31 3 5 53 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 12.18  
ARABIAN PRINCE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 2½ 6 (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 32.65  
RALLY SQUIRREL 5 3 2nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 7 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00 33.82  
GAMER 2 4 4 4 42 6 8 (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 12% 7.30 3.89  
SCR  BAJ               (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER               (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:223 :461       :522   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIGHTWORK 1 9 2½     2nk 13 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 4.03  
  (by OUTWORK out of CLARENDON FANCY by MALIBU MOON)
BARBTOURAGE 2 4 1½     1nk 23 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 0.80 37% 1.70 0.80 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
CRIMSON ADVOCATE 7 3 53     4 3 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 8.69  
  (by NYQUIST out of CITIZEN ADVOCATE by PROUD CITIZEN)
TITANIA'S DREAM 8 12 4     32 47 (mccutchen )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 37.56  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
ARGAN 3 2 3     5 58 (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00 41.90  
  (by NYQUIST out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
11  JUST AN OPINION 10 5 10     9 6 (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 19% 4.10 9.11  
  (by KANTHAROS out of GRETCHEN by CONVEYANCE)
BOOTSY'S MERLOT 4 10 8     6 7 (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 19% 4.30 24.84  
  (by CONGRATS out of BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH by PAYNTER)
UNMATCHED 5 7 9     7 811 (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 14.35  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  WHATTA WORLD 9 8 1110¾     1110¾ 911¾ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 30.00 79.02  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOTTA ATTITUDE by RAMBO (IRE))
12  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN 11 11 7     10 1014½ (sims p)NAVAS YOEL 109 30.00 37.53  
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
14  LITTLE MUSIC 12 1 6     89 1115 (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 36.76  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
BANDIT QUEEN 6 6 1210¾     1212¼ 1215¼ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 60.57  
  (by FIRING LINE out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY               (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of READY FOR FORTUNE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GREEN CHILE               (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PERSEVERANTE by STUKA)
 
KEE-6   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:212 :441 :552     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR SHOT 4 4 11 1   1 13 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.00 3.28 W
BOUND FOR NOWHERE 9 3 54 5   2 23 (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 0.40 62% 0.60 0.82 P
FRIAR LAURENCE 3 1 6 7   56 37 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 45.08  
DIVINE LEADER 1 7 32 32   34 47 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 7.48  
PURPLE DREAM 5 9 9 97   6 5 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 14.18  
INFINITE (ARG) 7 2 21 2   44 6 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 19.00 13.60  
GALLANT GUY 8 8 87 87   8 7 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 65.22  
JOHNNY UNLEASHED 2 6 4 43   7 810¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00 12.98  
NERO 6 5 7 65   9 911 (drysdale )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 20.18  
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 3.00    
 
KEE-7   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:221 :453 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE GIANT LEAP 5 5 44 3   1nk 1 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.20 55% 0.80 1.71 W
DOG RED 6 1 22 2   2nk 2 (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 21% 3.80 3.64 P
GOLD LUCK 2 3 3 4   4 3 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 1.59  
SEVEN FLAT 1 6 56 5   5 4 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.00 9.22  
LIBERTANGO 4 2 12 1   3.2 5 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 23.50  
VASSAR'S BOY 3 4 6 612½   613¾ 643 (lyster step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 11.05  
 
KEE-8   04/26/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:503 1:16 1:411 2:054 2:294   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS YEARWOOD 1 77 76 7 7 3 1 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50 5.81  
SHAD NATION 5 1 1 11 1 11 2 (clement c)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 14% 6.30 10.55 P
BRAVO KITTEN 2 32 3 32 2 21 3 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 13% 6.90 4.58 S
FLATTER ME SILLY 7 2 2 21 3 42 4 (pessin neil )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 13.88  
BROADWAY BOOGIE 6 54 64 6 4 52 5 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 28% 2.50 1.28  
LADY ARSINOE 3 65 54 5 53 6 6 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 8.37  
LIGHT STARS (FR) 4 43 43 43 6 7 7 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.97  
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  YA BEAUTY (GB)               (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.