Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Wednesday - April 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(12/16/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(12/16/5/2)-(2/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-2   WIN (12/16/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/16/5/2)-(12/16/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/16/5/2)-(12/16/5/2)-(12/16/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (12/16/5/2)-(2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (12/16/5/2)-(2/6/5)-(7/8/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
KEE-3   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5)-(7/8/3/2)-(2/11/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
KEE-4   WIN (7/8/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/2)-(7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
KEE-5   WIN (2/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/11/4)-(2/11/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/11/4)-(2/11/4/1/5)-(2/11/4/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/11/4)-(9/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/11/4)-(9/4/7)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
KEE-6   WIN (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/7)-(9/4/7/5)-(9/4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/7)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7)-(5/6)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
KEE-7   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(7/5/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
KEE-8   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOY POR UNO Apr13         (decker anna)MOJICA JR 119 20.00    
  (by MASTERY out of EMILY by CONFIDENTIAL TALK)
2  BLUE EYED SOUL (IRE)         (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 111 1.40 37% 1.70    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  KORE KINETIC         (mendez luis)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by NYQUIST out of CONNECTED FITNESS by CONGRATS)
4  COMMISSIONER DAN         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 119 30.00 ★    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS LIVONA by DIXIE UNION)
5  SADDLE UP Apr13         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MORE THAN MOST by MORE THAN READY)
6  DUNPHY         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of ENCHANTED SUNRISE by VERRAZANO)
7  IMPERIAL THUNDER         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of NEVER SOBER by SILENT NAME (JPN))
8  GEWURZTRAMINER         (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 119 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SKY MIRAGE by SKY MESA)
9  EXPRESS CRUISER         (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of APPEALING STELLA by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
SCR  NURCAN Apr07         (mendez luis)LEZCANO ABEL 119 8.00 ★    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of TRICIA'S TRAMA by ARTICLE OF FAITH)
 
KEE-2   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE FOR MY BROTHER         (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 30.00    
  (by ALPHA out of HATTA'S APPEAL by MIRACLE MAN)
2  EV'S SHERMAN Mar25 Jan13 Dec17 Nov27 Apr30 (villafranco )BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 50.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of AMANDA'S ICE BOX by ICE BOX)
3  ALIBI IKE Feb03 Jul22 Apr13     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of DRAGIC by BROKEN VOW)
4  DEVILS RED Jan05 Oct21 Sep29     (o'neill dou)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ELUSIVE DIVA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  MONET NEVER (IRE) Mar19 Feb19       (antonacci philip)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 12% 7.60    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LAST JEWEL by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
SCR  ETERNAL BLISS Mar19         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 4.50 11% 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANANDI by ANABAA)
7  LITTLE MAN CAN Mar19 Jan14       (lovell mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of CHEYENNE AUTUMN by FOUR SEASONS (GB))
8  SAY IT LOUD May29 Apr23       (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 125 12.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of FREEDOM COME by LIT DE JUSTICE)
9  MCGOLDEN Mar01 May13 Mar26 Mar03   (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 125 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MCTAPIT by TAPIT)
SCR  HOME RUN HANK Apr08         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 20.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KEPI by STRATEGIC MISSION)
11  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE) Mar25         (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of TOMOOHAT by DANZIG)
12  CHARGING Mar26 Feb05       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  BRAZILIAN FURY         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
  (by BAL A BALI (BRZ) out of WINGED FURY by WAR CHANT)
SCR  SATURDAY LONG LEGS         (frazier ma)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  FORCIBLE ENTRY Feb26 Dec18       (foley greg)LANERIE J 125 15.00    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of SNAKEINTHEGRASS by BERNARDINI)
16  BEER RUN         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 15% 5.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-3   04/26/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEPUTY CONNECT Mar02 Jan27 May03 Mar13 Feb12 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Mar12 Jan29 Dec18 Nov23 Oct23 (hartman chris)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
3  WOLFE COUNTY Mar31 Jul30 Jun24 Jun09 Mar12 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 125 2.00    
4  MADISON LUVS DUKE Mar01 Jan29 Nov23 Nov02 May30 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00    
5  HIGH HEATER Apr12 Mar04 Jan29 Jan06 Dec17 (hess b)TALAMO JOSEPH 125 15.00 5% 17.40    
6  MIACOMET Feb11 Jan08 Dec16 Nov24 Nov06 (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 4.50 12% 7.60    
7  LEMONADEATTHELATCH Mar17 Jan25 May21 Mar19 Feb16 (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 118 20.00    
 
KEE-4   04/26/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARABIAN PRINCE Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
2  GAMER Mar25 Mar02 Feb11     (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  REWARD NIGHT Oct12 Sep08 Aug06 Jul09   (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 6.00 16% 5.10    
4  JUULSTONE Apr01 Feb18 Feb11 Jul15 Jun16 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
SCR  BAJ Oct12 Sep10 Jul24 Jan22   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 ★    
6  RALLY SQUIRREL Mar16 Jan19 Dec08 Oct07 Jul16 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00    
7  EXACT ESTIMATE Mar17 Jun10 Apr24     (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 1.40 26% 2.90    
8  POLICY OPTION Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 Jan06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.10    
9  CATNIP Oct26 Sep06 Aug09 Feb19   (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
SCR  O P FIRECRACKER Nov19 Oct01 Jul02 Jun09 May17 (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   04/26/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIGHTWORK         (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00 ★    
  (by OUTWORK out of CLARENDON FANCY by MALIBU MOON)
2  BARBTOURAGE         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 0.80 37% 1.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
3  ARGAN         (gutierrez f)PETERSON FERRIN 119 20.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of AUDREY'S DOUBLE by PULPIT)
4  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Apr12         (cash l)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 19% 4.30    
  (by CONGRATS out of BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH by PAYNTER)
5  UNMATCHED         (colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of YAHILWA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  BANDIT QUEEN         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of FIGRARE by PURGE)
7  CRIMSON ADVOCATE         (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of CITIZEN ADVOCATE by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  TITANIA'S DREAM         (mccutchen )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
SCR  BOYNE VALLEY         (ennis john)GRAHAM J 119 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of READY FOR FORTUNE by MORE THAN READY)
10  WHATTA WORLD         (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 30.00    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of LOTTA ATTITUDE by RAMBO (IRE))
11  JUST AN OPINION         (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50 19% 4.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of GRETCHEN by CONVEYANCE)
12  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN         (sims p)NAVAS YOEL 109 30.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
SCR  GREEN CHILE Apr13         (hancock jo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 30.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of PERSEVERANTE by STUKA)
14  LITTLE MUSIC         (holsapple hutc)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of FROZEN MUSIC by LANGFUHR)
 
KEE-6   04/26/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE LEADER Apr16 Feb17 Feb09 Dec30 Nov12 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
2  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Apr08 Feb17 Jan01 Dec01 Oct07 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
3  FRIAR LAURENCE Mar23 Jan18 Nov21 Oct22 Sep24 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
4  OUR SHOT Mar03 Jan19 May20 Mar29 Feb03 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  PURPLE DREAM Mar18 Jan14 Dec16 Jun20 May14 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 ★    
6  NERO Jan29 Nov20 Sep04 Aug05 Apr30 (drysdale )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
7  INFINITE (ARG) Jan27 Sep05 Apr09     (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  GALLANT GUY Mar23 Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
9  BOUND FOR NOWHERE Oct08 Jul02 Mar19     (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 123 0.40 62% 0.60    
SCR  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Mar18 Feb11 Jan06 Nov23 Sep23 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 3.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN FLAT Jun30 May26 Apr07 Jan29   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 4.00    
2  GOLD LUCK Mar09 Feb10 Dec28 Nov26 Oct08 (wong jonathan)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
3  VASSAR'S BOY Jan27 Dec16 Sep29 Aug17 Jul22 (lyster step)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 10.00 ★    
4  LIBERTANGO Apr08 Feb17 Jan13 Nov19   (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
5  ONE GIANT LEAP Mar15 Oct28       (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.20 55% 0.80    
6  DOG RED Feb03 Dec28 Nov23     (medina rob)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
KEE-8   04/26/2023 7920ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEDERALIST PAPERS Oct07 Sep01 Jun05 Apr27 Feb10 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★    
2  MISS YEARWOOD Apr01 Mar04 Sep17 Aug07 Jun18 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 4.50    
3  BRAVO KITTEN Mar05 Feb12 Jan05 Sep03 Aug12 (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
4  LADY ARSINOE Apr01 Feb25 Sep14 Aug06 Jul16 (mott william )ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
5  LIGHT STARS (FR) Oct07 Aug25 Jul03     (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  SHAD NATION Sep03 Aug05 Jul02 Apr28 Apr02 (clement c)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 14% 6.30    
7  BROADWAY BOOGIE Mar04 Jan05 Oct23 Sep07 Jul23 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 118 1.80 28% 2.50    
SCR  YA BEAUTY (GB) Mar15 Dec04 Oct27 Aug20 Apr21 (reed eric )CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00    
9  FLATTER ME SILLY Mar10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov20 May19 (pessin neil )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.