Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
AQU-2   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.70 $7.70 1.70
AQU-3   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $39.40  
AQU-4   Win (4/10/3/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $9.30 $9.30  
AQU-5   Win (5/9/3/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $19.20  
AQU-6   Win (5/9/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
AQU-7   Win (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 1.70
AQU-8   Win (2/5/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  

Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:114     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLCE SERA 3 6 6 4   11 1 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10 W
MOONEY MOONEY 5 4 4¾ 31   21 2 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 14% 6.10 8.50 P
GRACEFUL 4 7 5 64   43 33 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 7.50  
NOBLEANDGREENOUGH 1 3 3½ 21   5 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 32% 2.10 3.30  
BALENTINA 2 1 1½ 11   3 5 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 1.80 2.85  
HERECOMES SCARLETT 7 5 7 7   610½ 617¼ (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 6.10  
GERMANY JAYVO 6 2 2½ 53   710½ 720¾ (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00 47.25  
 
AQU-2   04/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:53
See original race card.
:231 :454 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DERRYNANE 2 4 52 2½   2½ 1¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.85 W
PATRIA 7 1 11 1½   1½ 2¾ (salazar marco)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 7.40  
STARSHIP LAOBAN 5 6 64 7   65 3 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 16% 5.10 13.70 S
MOONAGE DAYDREAM 3 5 21 31   3 4 (abreu r)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 1.00  
SHINFULL 4 7 78 6   44 5 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 126 8.00 23.30  
TEMPERMENTAL 1 3 42 42   5 63 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 10.00 19.50  
ROAD TO REMEMBER 6 2 3 53   76 7 (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00 24% 3.10 5.00  
SCR  BACKED BY GOLD               (quick j)OLVER MADISON 117 3.50    
SCR  DIVA BANKER               (noda orlando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 5.00    
 
AQU-3   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3 F PT- 2:26
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 4 3 54 7   2 13 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 18.70  
MAGGIE T 3 2 2½ 1½   1 23 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 122 2.00 35% 1.80 1.20 P
PERFECT SENORITA 1 7 42 4   4 3 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 120 12.00 15.80  
LUNA LOCA 7 4 3 3½   32 4 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 3.00  
BLOWTHRUYELOWLITES 2 1 1½ 2½   53 5 (russell brittany )CANCEL ERIC 120 4.50 13% 6.50 7.20  
AERON WARRIOR 5 6 7 58   66 612¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 18.00  
ATTACHED 6 5 65 6   7 719 (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 29% 2.40 3.65  
 
AQU-4   04/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:23 :481 1:131 1:374   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS LAUGHING 6 6 8 75 9 31 1¾ (morey william)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 6% 16.10 3.65 W
ANILEATE 5 9 9 8 42 11 2¾ (russell brittany )DAVIS KATIE 127 4.50 8.30  
HEARTBURN 1 1 11 1 11 42 3 (sanchez-salomon )CEDENO CAROL 125 12.00 26.50  
SNOW LOVES A FIGHT 3 2 21 2 21 21 4 (noda orlando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.50 17% 4.80 3.00  
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 4 4 53 54 6 6 56 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 125 2.00 34% 1.90 1.70  
ROSEMARY POTATOES 7 3 4 43 53 54 6 (arenas)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 8.00 9.40  
CROSS ISLAND 8 8 7 9 8 8 77 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
RICELLE 2 5 3 32 32 7 8 (legall ricardo )OLVER MADISON 118 30.00 50.75  
CRYSTAL ORB 9 7 64 64 75 912¾ 921¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 50.00 57.25  
SCR  BONANA FANNA FOE               (englehart )DAVIS A 125 4.00 18% 4.40    
 
AQU-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  DONTBELATE 5 2 31 2½ 11 11 1¼ (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 5.00 8.60  
COOL QUARTET 2 7 8 74 85 42 2¼ (noda orlando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00 18.80  
NO MORE TALK 3 6 6 4 3 21 3 (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.50 17% 4.90 2.10 S
PERCEIVED 8 5 7 9 64 63 45 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.50  
ROYAL REALM 4 8 5 52 74 8 5 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 17.70  
MUSICAL HEART 6 3 2½ 31 42 32 6 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 12% 7.20 3.60  
VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 7 4 4 6 53 7 7 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 6.30  
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY 1 9 9 84 97 9 8 (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 3.50 15% 5.90 4.70  
BOURBON BAY 9 1 1½ 1½ 21 5 910½ (arria)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 10.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  ICY STORM               (arriaga antonio)DAVIS KATIE 123 10.00    
SCR  JUMPSTER               (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
 
AQU-6   04/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:232 :461 :572     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CADENCIA 6 2 21 2nk   1 1 (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 W
BUSTIN BULLET 9 1 11 1nk   2 2 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 120 5.00 2.20  
LA AGUILILLA 8 7 5 52   34 3 (jacobson david)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 3.90  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 1 4 6 6   6 4 (jones e)OLVER MADISON 115 20.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
TRUE EMPRESS 3 8 8 74   45 58 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 13.30  
STELLA MARS 5 9 9 8   8 6 (handal raym)VARGAS A 120 3.50 5% 18.80 6.50  
DEVILLY 4 5 42 31   55 7 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 8.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
NO PAYNE 7 6 32 4   7 811½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 6.00 9.70  
1A  GAME THEORY 2 3 7 97   9 913 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 18.50  
SCR  CARBON               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  ICY REPLY               (ferraro james )CASTELLANO J 122 2.50    
 
AQU-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($84K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:38
See original race card.
:22 :451 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOVA RAGS 7 4 52 52   1 1 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 2.50 12% 7.20 1.85 W
DOT'S DOLLAR 6 6 6 65   42 2 (rice linda)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 2.30 P
CEES GET DEGREES 8 2 1nk 1½   2 3 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 15.80  
RIVER DOG 3 5 4 3   3 47 (breen kelly)VARGAS A 118 15.00 19.60  
BIG ENGINE 5 7 8 710   7 58 (rice l)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 6.00 7.80  
SWOT ANALYSIS 1 1 31 42   5 612 (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 60% 0.70 4.10  
NO SABE NADA 2 8 79 810½   810 714¼ (allard t)PENNINGTON F 118 15.00 35.00  
SAINT SELBY 4 3 2nk 2½   6 815¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 8.70  
 
AQU-8   04/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:102     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRINK THE WIND 1 5 2 1nk   1 14 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.00 49% 1.00 1.25 W
DOCTOR LOVE 6 1 4 4   2 24 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 5% 19.00 1.80 P
PRINCE OF JOY 4 4 510 59   410 3 (legall r)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 15.00 25.25  
EL MAYOR 3 2 3 31   39 411½ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 7.20  
R BOY CHEEKUM 2 6 613½ 614   518 524¼ (thompson m)DAVIS A 120 50.00 37.00  
1A  SUPER QUALITY 5 3 1 2nk   619½ 638 (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 122 4.50 5% 19.00 3.55  
SCR  CATCHING CUPID               (arriaga ant)VARGAS A 122 4.50    
SCR  HOLEY MATRIMONY               (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 115 12.00    
SCR  MAJOR SPIN               (noda orlando)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  TOP OF THE MINT               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.