Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Sunday - May 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-3   EXA (2/5)-(2/5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-4 $26.34 $14.34 120%
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/4/1)-(2/5/4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00  2-4-5 $15.18 $9.18 153%
CD-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.56 $3.56 59%
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/6/11) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $33.86 $9.86 41%
    DD (2/5)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $11.96 $5.96 99%
CD-7   WIN (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.62 $1.62 20%
CD-10   WIN (1/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $36.86 $30.86 514%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  A REAL JEWEL 4 1 21 1nk   12 12¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 3.00 2.59  
8  RACETOTHEFINISH 8 4 32 31   22 22¾ (becker sc)TORRES A 118 4.50 14% 6.40 4.47 P
2  RELIANT 2 7 76 79   57½ 37 (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 17.34  
1  LADY GOLDSTART 1 5 11 2nk   35 411¼ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 39% 1.60 2.82  
3  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA 3 8 55 65   78¼ 513½ (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 14.53  
5  DOCS SEVEN 5 2 44½ 54   67¾ 614½ (manley st)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 15% 5.80 6.93  
6  HIGH SPEED 6 6 65 43½   47½ 715 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 111 5.00 7.39  
7  TILTINGATWINDMILLS 7 3 88 810½   813¼ 829¾ (gerteisen adam)PARKER L 118 10.00 6% 16.40 6.94  
 
CD-2   05/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COMMANDER CARL 2 4 2½ 2½   11 14 (ortiz alexan)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.50 ★ 4.06  
1  COLOR FIELD 1 2 1½ 1½   21 24 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 29% 2.50 3.75 P
3  RIGHT OF RUSH 3 5 53 54   33 36¼ (brenklin emory)NAVAS YOEL 118 8.00 10.72  
6  BIG BOSS BEN 6 1 32½ 44   47 414 (garcia ge)HERNANDEZ J 123 10.00 17% 4.80 7.85  
8  HASKELLED 7 6 43 33   57½ 516 (diodoro r)TORRES A 125 2.50 1.88  
4  MAJOR CONTENDER 4 3 64½ 66   611 624¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 4.00 26% 2.90 4.77  
5  RILEY BEE 5 7 76½ 79½   714 727 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 15.00 10.52  
SCR  RIVER BOY               (claire alexis)LANERIE J 118 10.00    
 
CD-3   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:214 :453 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISREAD 2 3 31½ 31½   13½ 19¼ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 124 2.00 44% 1.30 1.19 W
4  ROYAL BLOOD 4 4 11½ 11   23½ 29¼ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 ★ 7.65 P
5  THE PRINCESS SAYS 5 1 21½ 21   35 311½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 2.50 24% 3.20 2.82 S
6  GOLDYS LOCK 6 5 66¼ 67   58 411½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 9.21  
7  CRIMALDI 7 2 43½ 43½   47½ 513½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 7.66  
1  HURRY UP HANNAH 1 6 53¾ 56   68½ 614¾ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 ★ 7.15  
3  MY BLUE VALENTINE 3 7 79¼ 712   715 725¼ (hill f)MIRANDA ROGELIO 124 20.00 22.17  
 
CD-4   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113 1:242   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MY UNCLE LEON 2 2 1nk 1½ 13 14½ 13¾ (lukas w)TORRES A 118 5.00 10% 8.60 3.78 W
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of MORSE CODE MAMA by MACHO UNO)
7  NOISES OFF 5 4 51¾ 64 33½ 24½ 23¾ (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 3.50 54% 0.90 2.18 P
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
10  PEEK 8 8 83¾ 76 76 38 38 (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 16.44  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of WE USE TO SING by MINESHAFT)
11  EARL OF DASSEL 9 9 96¾ 108½ 87½ 69½ 49¼ (pessin l)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 ★ 16.25  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DR. MELFI by FREUD)
8  PATROLMAN 6 10 107 97½ 65½ 59 510½ (esquivel jesus)BEJARANO R 125 15.00 19.74  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SUPER SHARP by SUPER SAVER)
6  DREAM FORCE 4 5 61¾ 42½ 55 711 618 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 ★ 20.21  
  (by TAPIT out of TO DREAM ABOUT by MONARCHOS)
9  FIREBALL FUN 7 6 3.2 32½ 43½ 48½ 718 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 4.43  
  (by HARD SPUN out of BARBECCA by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
4  SIX MISSIONS 3 3 2nk 2½ 23 811½ 825½ (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 15% 5.70 4.40  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of UNCOMPLICATED by HALF OURS)
13  SATURDAY LONG LEGS 10 7 72¾ 87 911½ 921½ 942¾ (frazier matt)LANERIE J 118 20.00 30.15  
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of CRYING ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
1  GOLD FRANC (IRE) 1 1 41¼ 53½ 1013 1022½ 1044½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 11.89  
  (by UNKNOWN out of ARMURE BLEUE by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
SCR  COAL BOSS               (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FASHION SHOW by STREET CRY)
SCR  FIXITWITHFORWARD               (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HERE COMES CHLOE by BELLAMY ROAD)
SCR  HARRY HOOD               (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DESTINY UNBOUND by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  PITAGORE               (engler jeff)LANERIE J 125 10.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of PITAMAKAN by DANZIG)
SCR  STORMIN ARMY               (vance dav)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of DREAM SEQUENCE by SMILE)
SCR  TAKING CANDY               (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAKING AIM by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
CD-5   05/14/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 6 5 3½ 1nk   12 15¾ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 ★ 3.22  
4  CRAZY LEGS HIRSCH 4 6 61¾ 65¾   46 25¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 33% 2.00 2.39 P
5  HOT PASTRAMI 5 4 2nk 2nk   22 36 (amoss m)RIQUELME J 118 6.00 ★ 7.71 S
8  SANTA CRUISER 8 9 97¼ 99¼   57½ 47 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 10.01  
2  DARK HEDGES 2 1 1nk 3½   32½ 57¾ (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 42% 1.40 4.57  
9  BLACK STORM 9 2 72¼ 44½   78 610¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 17.83  
7  BRAVO BRAVO 7 3 82¼ 76¾   89 712¼ (vance tho)TORRES A 118 20.00 23.92  
3  FIRERY TALE 3 7 51½ 55½   68 816½ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 ★ 5.79  
1  MALIBU TIME 1 8 41 87¼   913 921 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 16.99  
 
CD-6   05/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:14 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DUAL MONARCHY 8 11 1010 912 94 4¾ 1nk (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 ★ 3.07  
1  GLEN AIRY 1 8 77½ 79 62½ 1½ 2nk (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 23.31  
6  MARTY'S MAGIC 6 3 43 42½ 52 51¼ 31 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 12.00 9.86  
12  FUJIN 11 7 65½ 65½ 41 2½ 41¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 5.00 8% 11.60 6.98  
4  MAD HUSTLE 4 2 55 54½ 83½ 74¼ 54¾ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 8.39  
11  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 10 5 32 32½ 3½ 3½ 65¾ (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.50 19% 4.20 3.38  
5  WASHINGTON'S UNION 5 1 88½ 1012½ 107 106¾ 76 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 118 10.00 ★ 13.87  
7  COACH PETRO 7 6 1½ 1½ 1nk 62¼ 87 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 51% 1.00 4.86  
2  REMASTERED 2 9 99½ 810 73 95¾ 911¾ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 21.45  
10  RIO MOON 9 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 85¾ 1013¾ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 14.26  
3  SCHMEAR 3 10 1132½ 1115 1112 1113¾ 1121¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 20.00 37.81  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 10.00    
 
CD-7   05/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:11     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ENCHANTED NILE 2 1 21 11   13 13½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 14% 5.90 3.81 W
3  MIRTH 'N MERRIMENT 3 4 52½ 31½   23 23½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 4.91  
6  DONYA KNOW IT 6 2 42 42½   36 38¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 22% 3.60 8.71 S
1  MUSIC AMORE 1 8 31 52½   46½ 410½ (vasquez sr)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 7.21  
7  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN 7 3 11 21   56½ 512¾ (shirer mat)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 32% 2.20 2.61  
4  PISTOL 4 7 74¾ 66   69½ 613 (van berg )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 11% 7.90 2.74  
8  KIMBERLEY DREAM 8 5 64½ 76½   713½ 719 (winston d)CASTANON L 118 20.00 31.45  
5  GIN N SIN 5 6 85¾ 810½   814½ 819½ (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 108 30.00 26.65  
 
CD-8   05/14/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:121 1:38   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SALUTE THE STARS 3 4 1nk 31½ 32 11 1¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 12.00 ★ 1.97  
6  ESCAPOLOGIST 5 1 52¾ 53 44 31½ 2¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 14.53  
13  REDEEMER 10 9 63¾ 64 54 21 31 (brisset ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 7% 12.60 5.69 S
9  BASELINE BEATER 6 10 1012¼ 1014 1013½ 65½ 47½ (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00 9.50  
5  REALLY GOOD 4 2 3½ 42 21½ 41½ 511½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 21% 3.80 4.93  
2  BABY BILLY 1 6 84¾ 75 76½ 54½ 612½ (sisterson jac)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 50% 1.00 5.20  
3  OUR DREAM RYE'D 2 7 97¾ 98 87½ 76½ 713¼ (wilkes i)SANTANA JR 118 8.00 15.51  
12  BLACK APPLE 9 8 74¾ 86 98½ 87½ 820½ (ortiz joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 40.83  
11  CLEAR THE AIR 8 5 2nk 11 11½ 911 933½ (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 118 15.00 ★ 8.03  
10  TIGER PAW (IRE) 7 3 4¾ 21 64½ 1014 1034¾ (meah m)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 22.56  
SCR  COALMINER'S KITTEN               (demeritte lar)MCENTEE GRACE 118 30.00    
SCR  SAM STORMY               (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
SCR  SANTORINI               (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.60    
 
CD-9   05/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :453 :571     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 4 3 1nk 1½   12 11 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 5.00 8.82  
5  HAPPY JACK 5 10 95 87   56½ 21 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 121 6.00 6.92  
7  BRON AND BROW 7 2 31½ 2½   22 31 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 24% 3.20 6.88 S
2  BOURBON HEIST 2 7 64¼ 53½   35 41¾ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.50 29% 2.50 4.57  
11  MINNESOTA READY 10 1 74¼ 75   67½ 53¼ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 6.00 ★ 4.63  
3  UNDER OATH 3 8 41¾ 32   45½ 66 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.00 24% 3.20 1.82  
9  TEXAS RED HOT 9 4 106 97½   710 79¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 20.00 39.06  
6  UNPREDICTABLE BAY 6 5 53¼ 64   811 813 (hammond k)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 15.00 33.84  
1  TOP OF THE CHARTS 1 6 2nk 42½   913½ 920 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 12.00 14.17  
8  DRIVE FOR FUN 8 9 84½ 1010   1017½ 1027½ (delacruz m)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 ★ 36.35  
SCR  BROKEN RIB               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
 
CD-10   05/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:111 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MOREAU 2 2 61¼ 51¼ 32 2½ 12½ (mckeever andr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 10.00 17% 4.90 17.43 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ART DIRECTOR by TAPIT)
6  CHIRON 5 4 3½ 3.2 11 1½ 22½ (bush s)ELLIOTT JANE 125 20.00 38.09  
  (by PROTONICO out of DEEDS NOT WORDS by STREET SENSE)
10  SMILE MON 9 8 82¾ 83¾ 75½ 34 34½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00 23.01  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TENSAS PUNCH by WAR FRONT)
8  TIZ WICKED STRONG 7 10 95¼ 94¾ 85½ 65¼ 47 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 39.86  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
5  REDEMPTION TIME 4 5 71¾ 61¾ 42½ 55 57¼ (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 8.00 6.57  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of A JEALOUS WOMAN by MUQTARIB)
1  TRUMPTASTIC 1 1 2nk 1nk 21 44 613¼ (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 125 3.50 39% 1.50 3.08  
  (by RACE DAY out of TWENTY IN ONE by INVASOR (ARG))
7  SHERIFF RONNIE 6 9 108¾ 105¾ 107 79¼ 715½ (sanchez-salomo)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00 ★ 35.22  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of HEART LAKE by UNBRIDLED)
9  BRIGADE COMMANDER 8 6 4¾ 41¼ 53 811¾ 821¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.00 21% 3.80 3.11  
  (by HARD SPUN out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
12  PURSUIT OF POWER 10 7 5¾ 72¾ 64 911¾ 923¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 ★ 3.65  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DISTORTED LIES by SMART STRIKE)
4  GILDED CRAKEN 3 3 1nk 2nk 96½ 1015¾ 1033¾ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 3.90  
  (by MCCRAKEN out of ORMOLU by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 20.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOMPING by DIXIELAND BAND)
SCR  ZAPHOD               (catalano w)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ANNA by CUVEE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.