Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont Park
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BEL-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $6.80 $2.80 70%
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-1 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-1-3 $29.50 $23.50 392%
    DD (9/10/2)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  10-5 $7.40 $1.40 23%
BEL-4   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $4.80 $0.80 20%
    EXA (9/1)-(1/9/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00  1-11 $5.60 $1.60 40%
BEL-7   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.30 $3.30 55%
BEL-8   EXA (7/10/13)-(7/10/13) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-13 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    TRI (7/10/13)-(7/10/13)-(7/10/13) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-13-10 $10.05 $7.05 235%
    DD (2/3/7)-(7/10/13) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-7 $11.40 $2.40 27%
BEL-9   EXA (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $46.25 $34.25 285%
    TRI (2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7)-(2/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-7-3 $82.00 $70.00 583%

Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:14 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CENTAVO 5 4 31 3½ 3 1 1 (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 2.50 25% 3.00 1.45 W
NORGAY 4 2 1½ 2nk 1½ 2 2 (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 40% 1.50 0.80 P
PRINCE OF JOY 2 1 2½ 1nk 2½ 36 315½ (legall r)DAVIS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
VOLIERO 3 3 4 5 5 412½ 422 (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00 19.80  
PRAYER BOOK 1 5 52 41 4 514 525¾ (chichakly amir)RICHARDS G 124 10.00 10.70  
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
SCR  INVECTIVE               (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MEISTER               (rawles alc)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 15.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
 
BEL-2   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:233 :472 :591     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY THERE 5 5 4 3   1 17 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00 48% 1.10 2.40 W
JET SET JULIET 1 2 6 42   45 27 (rodriguez gusta)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 4.70 P
AERON WARRIOR 3 1 1nk 2½   2 3 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 6.10 S
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 6 4 2nk 1½   34 4 (nevin michel)TORRES A 115 6.00 9.00  
SAVE GRACE 7 3 31 53   610 514½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 28% 2.50 1.25  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 2 6 7 74   510 615¼ (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 27.25  
RICELLE 4 7 5 6   713½ 721 (legall ric)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00 61.00  
 
BEL-3   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DARK VECTOR 5 3 31 1nk   18 110 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 53% 0.90 0.25 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JUST LOUISE by FIVE STAR DAY)
VENGE 2 5 42 2nk   28 210 (ribaudo robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 15.90 8.10 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
AMERICAN KNOW HOW 1 1 2nk 3.2   310½ 313¾ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 21% 3.90 3.10 S
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KIMBERLEA K by INDIAN EVENING)
GOLDEN PURCHASE 3 4 5 5   414½ 417¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 50.00 35.25  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
SOMAMA BEACH 4 2 1nk 4   539½ 552¼ (jerkens st)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 36.25  
  (by MINESHAFT out of BOURBON'S RAHFEE by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  PAXSATIONAL               (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BROWSE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE               (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
SCR  BALTHAZAR               (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ROYAL VELVET               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MOONSHINE MAGIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  ARROW OF TIME               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOOD SWING by J. O. TOBIN)
 
BEL-4   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 1 4 3 31 3½ 1nk 1nk (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
11  FILM STAR 4 3 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 1.10 P
10  COMPLETE AGENDA 3 5 5 5 5 32 3 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00 8.60  
LUNI SIMA 2 1 4 4 4¾ 4 413¼ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 126 2.50 43% 1.30 3.75  
1A  OGLETHORPE 5 2 1 1nk 2nk 510½ 519¾ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 1.40  
SCR  SHUTTERS               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE)               (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
SCR  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
 
BEL-5   05/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSINESS MODEL 3 3 7 7 5 2 1hd (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 32% 2.10 1.55 W
BACK RING LUCK 6 6 3½ 3.2 11 1 2hd (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 5.70  
MILTON THE MONSTER 7 7 5 4 4 3 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.85 S
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 5 2½ 1nk 21 5 4 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 10.20  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 1 1 6 5 6 43 55 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 9.10 11.00  
THINKABOUTIT 4 4 1½ 2nk 31 65 615½ (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 22.00  
BLACK BELT 2 2 4 6 7 7 719 (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 12% 7.30 4.40  
 
BEL-6   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BE THE BOSS 8 1 4¾ 2nk   1 1 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 2.30  
WINNING CONNECTION 5 10 10 1010¼   47 2 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 35.00  
KING JAMES (IRE) 2 6 5 4   34 3 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 3.75 S
NOLO CONTESTO 4 3 1nk 1nk   2 4 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
12  MORE THAN WORK 9 5 7 5   57 56 (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 63% 0.60 8.00  
15  HATCH (GB) 10 7 6 6   69 6 (martin carlos )PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12.70  
10  DON'T LET ME DOWN 7 9 8 8   712½ 711¾ (englehart chri)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 17.70  
MACH ONE 1 8 9 9   813 812¼ (persaud edd)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00 60.50  
BOBBY THE TANK 3 4 2nk 7   923 932 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 3.65  
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 6 2 3.2 3.2   1027 1053¼ (hemingway m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00 21.20  
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
SCR  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING               (pring)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  PREDICTED               (dutrow anthony)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 20.00    
 
BEL-7   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY JOKE 2 3 1½ 1   13 1 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 35% 1.90 3.65 W
CLOVER STREET 1 7 54 4   3 2 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 21.20  
MISS STONES 3 2 2½ 2   23 32 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 34% 1.90 2.25 S
RED MOON 6 4 7 713   610 4 (morey william)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 8% 11.80 4.10  
REIGNING CHICK 5 6 6 611   710¼ 5 (walder r)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 12.60  
10  FANCY FELINE 8 8 813 815½   813¾ 6 (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 5.30  
TRY IT AGAIN 7 1 43 56   4 720½ (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 9.30  
SONG PARODY 4 5 3 3   510 820¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8.70  
SCR  HONEST BANKER               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  LUNA'S SONG               (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:224 :454 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE 1 6 6 46   32 1½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 51% 0.90 0.80 W
13  BREW PUB 6 2 32 56   42 2½ (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 10% 9.00 4.50 P
10  BIG ENGINE 4 3 21 2   21 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 14% 6.20 3.90 S
12  FOOLISH GHOST 5 1 11 1   11 44 (barrera osca)TORRES A 116 8.00 7.30  
BAR FOURTEEN 2 5 54 67   6 58 (sells rachel)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 15.90  
HORN OF PLENTY 3 4 4 35   54 68 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 10.40  
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (duggan david )FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  SAINT SELBY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  ROUGH DRAFT               (duggan davi)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP               (donk david)TORRES A 116 20.00    
SCR  GHOST GIANT               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  YARROW               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  FRANK'S ART               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50    
 
BEL-9   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANSEUR D'ORO 2 2 21 1nk   110 1 (morey william )PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 38% 1.60 0.95 W
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of MISS CENTERFOLD by TIZNOW)
KRYSTALHEIR 7 8 6 6   311 2 (coffey m)DAVIS A 118 12.00 6% 16.50 31.00 P
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
FOXY CARA 3 7 5 5   511¼ 3 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 14% 6.00 4.40 S
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
UNHOLY 8 5 7 7   613¼ 412¾ (asmussen st)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 15.50  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
JESSICA'S RIDE 5 4 4 4   210 512¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 21% 3.70 8.00  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of FLATTERYWILLGETYOU by FLATTER)
SPLASHY 6 3 33 34   411 612¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 14.10  
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
SHE'S A NINE 1 1 11 2nk   716¾ 731 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 6.70  
  (by MAJESTIC CITY out of TO THE NINES by SUPER SAVER)
NORTH END LADY 4 6 8 811¾   825¾ 840 (tagg barcla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TURNING TIDE by MULA GULA)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.