The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belmont Park
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (2/9/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
    Exacta (2/9/10)-(2/9/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-9 2 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Trifecta (2/9/10)-(2/9/10)-(2/9/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 10-9-2 3 1 $2.80 $2.80 -0.20
BEL-2   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
    Exacta (5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-1 2 1 $8.20 $8.20 2.20
    Trifecta (5/7)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 5-1-3 3 1 $29.50 $29.50 23.50
    Daily Double (2/9/10)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-5 2 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
BEL-3   Win (2/6/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $2.50 $2.50 -3.50
    Exacta (2/6/10)-(2/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-6 2 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Trifecta (2/6/10)-(2/6/10)-(2/6/10) 6 $0.50 $3.00 10-6-2 3 1 $1.75 $1.75 -1.25
    Daily Double (5/7)-(2/6/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-10 2 1 $3.55 $3.55 -2.45
    Pick Three (2/9/10)-(5/7)-(2/6/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 10-5-10 3 1 $7.50 $7.50 -10.50
BEL-4   Win (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 0.80
    Exacta (1/9)-(1/9/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 1-11 2 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
    Daily Double (2/6/10)-(1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 10-1 2 1 $3.35 $3.35 -2.65
    Pick Three (5/7)-(2/6/10)-(1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-10-1 3 1 $6.50 $6.50 -5.50
BEL-5   Win (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 -2.90
    Exacta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-6 2 0 $10.50 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-6-7 3 0 $16.37 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/9)-(1/2/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 1-3 2 1 $5.90 $5.90 -2.10
    Pick Three (2/6/10)-(1/9)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 10-1-3 3 1 $8.40 $8.40 -15.60
BEL-6   Win (6/12) 2 $2.00 $4.00 11 1 0 $6.60 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (6/12)-(4/5/6/11/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 11-8 2 0 $114.25 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (6/12)-(4/5/6/11/12)-(4/5/6/11/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 11-8-4 3 0 $262.50 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/7)-(6/12) 3-11 2 0 $9.40 $0.00 0.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/7)-(6/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00 3-13 2 0 $2.65 $0.00 -8.00
    Pick Three (1/9)-(1/2/3/7)-(6/12) 1-3-11 3 0 $24.70 $0.00 0.00
    Pick Three (1/9)-(1/2/3/7)-(6/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-3-13 3 0 $5.60 $0.00 -16.00
BEL-7   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
    Exacta (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-1 2 0 $47.75 $0.00 -9.00
    Trifecta (2/3/7)-(2/3/7/9)-(2/3/7/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 2-1-3 3 0 $89.12 $0.00 -9.00
    Daily Double (6/12)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 11-2 2 0 $20.00 $0.00 -6.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/7)-(6/12)-(2/3/7) 3-11-2 3 0 $69.00 $0.00 0.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/7)-(6/12)-(2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-13-2 3 0 $15.20 $0.00 -24.00
BEL-8   Win (7/10/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
    Exacta (7/10/13)-(7/10/13) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-13 2 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
    Trifecta (7/10/13)-(7/10/13)-(7/10/13) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-13-10 3 1 $10.05 $10.05 7.05
    Daily Double (2/3/7)-(7/10/13) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-7 2 1 $11.40 $11.40 2.40
    Pick Three (6/12)-(2/3/7)-(7/10/13) 18 $1.00 $18.00 11-2-7 3 0 $50.00 $0.00 -18.00
BEL-9   Win (2/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.90 $3.90 -4.10
    Exacta (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 1 $46.25 $46.25 34.25
    Trifecta (2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7)-(2/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-7-3 3 1 $82.00 $82.00 70.00
    Daily Double (7/10/13)-(2/3/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 1 $4.90 $4.90 -7.10
    Pick Three (2/3/7)-(7/10/13)-(2/3/5/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 2-7-2 3 1 $23.80 $23.80 -12.20

Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:241 :484 1:14 1:39   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CENTAVO 5 4 31 3½ 3 11(chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 126 2.50 25% 3.00 1.45 W
NORGAY 4 2 1½ 2nk 1½ 22(barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 40% 1.50 0.80 P
PRINCE OF JOY 2 1 2½ 1nk 2½ 36 315½ (legall ric)DAVIS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00 8.30 S
VOLIERO 3 3 4 5 5 412½ 422 (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 124 10.00 19.80  
PRAYER BOOK 1 5 52 41 4 514 525¾ (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 124 10.00 10.70  
SCR  ARRIO               (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50    
SCR  HILLIARD               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
SCR  INVECTIVE               (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MEISTER               (rawles alcin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 15.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
 
BEL-2   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
:233 :472 :591     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY THERE 5 5 4 3   117 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00 48% 1.10 2.40 W
JET SET JULIET 1 2 6 42   45 27 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 4.70 P
AERON WARRIOR 3 1 1nk 2½   23(donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 6.10 S
OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS 6 4 2nk 1½   34 4(nevin michelle)TORRES A 115 6.00 9.00  
SAVE GRACE 7 3 31 53   610 514½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 28% 2.50 1.25  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 2 6 7 74   510 615¼ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00 27.25  
RICELLE 4 7 5 6   713½ 721 (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00 61.00  
 
BEL-3   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
:231 :47 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  DARK VECTOR 5 3 31 1nk   18 110 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 53% 0.90 0.25 W
VENGE 2 5 42 2nk   28 210 (ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 15.90 8.10 P
AMERICAN KNOW HOW 1 1 2nk 3.2   310½ 313¾ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 21% 3.90 3.10 S
GOLDEN PURCHASE 3 4 5 5   414½ 417¾ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 50.00 35.25  
SOMAMA BEACH 4 2 1nk 4   539½ 552¼ (jerkens stev)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 36.25  
SCR  PAXSATIONAL               (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE               (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
SCR  BALTHAZAR               (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  ROYAL VELVET               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
SCR  ARROW OF TIME               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
 
BEL-4   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
:232 :473 1:121     1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 1 4 3 31 3½ 1nk 1nk (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 30% 2.30 1.40 W
11  FILM STAR 4 3 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 2nk (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 1.10 P
10  COMPLETE AGENDA 3 5 5 5 5 32 3(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00 8.60  
LUNI SIMA 2 1 4 4 4¾ 4413¼ (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 126 2.50 43% 1.30 3.75  
1A  OGLETHORPE 5 2 1 1nk 2nk 510½ 519¾ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 1.40  
SCR  SHUTTERS               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE)               (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
SCR  SOULMATE               (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
SCR  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
 
BEL-5   05/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
:232 :472 1:12 1:241   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSINESS MODEL 3 3 7 7 5 21hd (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 32% 2.10 1.55 W
BACK RING LUCK 6 6 3½ 3.2 11 12hd (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 5.00 5.70  
MILTON THE MONSTER 7 7 5 4 4 33(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80 2.85 S
LAFITTE'S FLEET 5 5 2½ 1nk 21 54(rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 10.20  
TWO THIRTY FIVE 1 1 6 5 6 43 55 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 9.10 11.00  
THINKABOUTIT 4 4 1½ 2nk 31 65 615½ (brown r)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 22.00  
BLACK BELT 2 2 4 6 7 7719 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 12% 7.30 4.40  
 
BEL-6   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:224 :462 1:103     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BE THE BOSS 8 1 4¾ 2nk   11(maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 2.30  
WINNING CONNECTION 5 10 10 1010¼   47 2(reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00 35.00  
KING JAMES 2 6 5 4   34 3(summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 3.75 S
NOLO CONTESTO 4 3 1nk 1nk   24(jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
12  MORE THAN WORK 9 5 7 5   57 56 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 63% 0.60 8.00  
15  HATCH 10 7 6 6   69 6(martin f)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 12.70  
10  DON'T LET ME DOWN 7 9 8 8   712½ 711¾ (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 17.70  
MACH ONE 1 8 9 9   813 812¼ (persaud eddie)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00 60.50  
BOBBY THE TANK 3 4 2nk 7   923 932 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 3.65  
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 6 2 3.2 3.2   1027 1053¼ (hemingway mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00 21.20  
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
SCR  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50    
SCR  KING MOONRACER               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING               (pringle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  PREDICTED               (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 20.00    
 
BEL-7   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
:224 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY JOKE 2 3 1½ 1   13 1(rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 35% 1.90 3.65 W
CLOVER STREET 1 7 54 4   32(hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 21.20  
MISS STONES 3 2 2½ 2   23 32 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 34% 1.90 2.25 S
RED MOON 6 4 7 713   610 4(morey e)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 8% 11.80 4.10  
REIGNING CHICK 5 6 6 611   710¼ 5(walder r)ORTIZ L 125 10.00 12.60  
10  FANCY FELINE 8 8 813 815½   813¾ 6(bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 5.30  
TRY IT AGAIN 7 1 43 56   4720½ (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 9.30  
SONG PARODY 4 5 3 3   510 820¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 8.70  
SCR  HONEST BANKER               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  LUNA'S SONG               (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:224 :454 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE 1 6 6 46   32 1½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.50 51% 0.90 0.80 W
13  BREW PUB 6 2 32 56   42 2½ (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 10% 9.00 4.50 P
10  BIG ENGINE 4 3 21 2   21 3(rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 14% 6.20 3.90 S
12  FOOLISH GHOST 5 1 11 1   11 44 (barrera oscar )TORRES A 116 8.00 7.30  
BAR FOURTEEN 2 5 54 67   658 (sells rachel)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 15.90  
HORN OF PLENTY 3 4 4 35   54 68 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 10.40  
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS               (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  SAINT SELBY               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
SCR  ROUGH DRAFT               (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE               (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP               (donk david)TORRES A 116 20.00    
SCR  GHOST GIANT               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  YARROW               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  FRANK'S ART               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50    
 
BEL-9   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
:23 :464 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANSEUR D'ORO 2 2 21 1nk   110 1(morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 38% 1.60 0.95 W
KRYSTALHEIR 7 8 6 6   311 2(coffey mar)DAVIS A 118 12.00 6% 16.50 31.00 P
FOXY CARA 3 7 5 5   511¼ 3(friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 14% 6.00 4.40 S
UNHOLY 8 5 7 7   613¼ 412¾ (asmussen stev)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00 15.50  
JESSICA'S RIDE 5 4 4 4   210 512¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 21% 3.70 8.00  
SPLASHY 6 3 33 34   411 612¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 14.10  
SHE'S A NINE 1 1 11 2nk   716¾ 731 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 6.70  
NORTH END LADY 4 6 8 811¾   825¾ 840 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.