Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont Park
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BEL-1   Win (9/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-2   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-3   Win (10/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-4   Win (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-5   Win (3/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-6   Win (12/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BEL-7   Win (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-8   Win (7/10/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-9   Win (2/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BEL-1   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRAYER BOOK Oct27 Oct07 Jul22 Jun18 May20 (chichakly amira)RICHARDS G 124 10.00    
2  PRINCE OF JOY Apr28 Apr15 Mar05 Feb10 Jan26 (legall ric)DAVIS A 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARRIO Nov12 Oct09 Sep24     (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 124 4.50    
SCR  MIGHTY MEISTER Oct09 Sep24 Sep04 Jul23 May12 (rawles alcin)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 15.00    
SCR  HILLIARD Mar30 Feb22 Nov20 Nov05 Oct21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
6  VOLIERO May05 Apr13 Mar05 Feb10 Jan14 (persaud randi)SAMUEL L 124 10.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Dec16 Oct29 Oct09 Sep24 Aug20 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
SCR  INVECTIVE Mar19 Feb25 Jan05 Oct14 Sep11 (cibelli jane)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
9  NORGAY May13 Apr20 Apr01 Mar17 Feb19 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 126 2.00 40% 1.50    
10  CENTAVO May13 Apr23 Apr13 Mar25 Mar05 (chatterpaul naipaul)RIDER TBA 126 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
BEL-2   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET SET JULIET Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 Oct22 Sep25 (rodriguez gustavo)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.00 ★    
2  HANDLE THE TRUTH Apr27 Mar26 Jan21 Dec29 Dec01 (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 10.00    
3  AERON WARRIOR Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Feb11 Jan12 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 ★    
4  RICELLE Apr28 Apr07 Mar26 Feb19 Jan20 (legall ricar)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 20.00    
5  HEY THERE Apr16 Feb18 Jan21 Jul20 Jun24 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  OUR ROSIE DIAMONDS Apr29 Mar05 Jan26 Jan06 Dec02 (nevin michelle)TORRES A 115 6.00    
7  SAVE GRACE Mar18 Feb24 Nov23 Oct19 Jul30 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
 
BEL-3   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARROW OF TIME         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
2  AMERICAN KNOW HOW May05         (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 21% 3.90    
SCR  BALTHAZAR Apr20 Mar25 Mar04 Jan21   (drysdale neil)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE May05 Apr13 Feb11 Jan21 Dec16 (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
SCR  CUMBERLAND Mar17 Jan26       (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50    
6  VENGE Apr21 Jan14 Dec16     (ribaudo j)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 6% 15.90    
7  GOLDEN PURCHASE May06 Apr21 Apr02 Mar24 Feb25 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 50.00    
SCR  ROYAL VELVET Oct16 Jul01       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
9  SOMAMA BEACH Mar18 Feb11 Jan08 Dec17 Sep22 (jerkens stev)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
10  DARK VECTOR Apr28 Mar30 Feb25 Jan28   (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  PAXSATIONAL Jan06 Dec16       (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
 
BEL-4   05/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Apr07 Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 Aug13 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 126 6.00 30% 2.30    
1A  OGLETHORPE Apr15 Mar17 Jul22 Jun03   (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 6.00 ★    
SCR  SOULMATE May13 Nov20 Sep23 Jul31 Jul09 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 126 10.00    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE Oct21 Sep02 Jul24 Jun18 May20 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00    
SCR  SHUTTERS Apr07 Sep15 Jul16     (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 126 3.50    
SCR  ACTIVIST INVESTING (GB) Oct16 Aug20 Jul23     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE) Apr07 Oct22 Sep24 Aug28 Aug17 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE) Oct08 Aug28 Jul30 Jun03 May06 (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 126 6.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 (schettino dom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
9  LUNI SIMA Apr14 Mar25 Mar11 Jan29 Dec18 (walder r)CANCEL ERIC 126 2.50 43% 1.30    
10  COMPLETE AGENDA Apr23 Mar31 Feb17 Jan14 Jan07 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 126 6.00    
11  FILM STAR May06 Apr19 Feb24 Dec16 Oct22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.50 ★    
 
BEL-5   05/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWO THIRTY FIVE Apr29 Mar30 Feb09 Jan20 Dec15 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 10% 9.10    
2  BLACK BELT Mar25 Feb25 Jan28 Dec23 Oct16 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 12% 7.30    
3  BUSINESS MODEL Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 Nov04 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 123 1.20 32% 2.10    
4  THINKABOUTIT Apr27 Mar24 Feb26 Jan21 Nov26 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
5  LAFITTE'S FLEET Apr27 Apr01 Feb26 Jan26 Jan01 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00    
6  BACK RING LUCK Apr01 Mar11 Feb17 Feb05 Nov05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
7  MILTON THE MONSTER Apr27 Mar04 Jan28 Jan01 Dec03 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
BEL-6   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHLY FLAMMABLE Apr23 Jun11 Apr09 Mar17   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT Jan04 Nov28 Nov11 Oct20 Sep02 (atras rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 10.00    
3  MACH ONE May13 Apr16 Jan26 Dec29 Sep16 (persaud eddie)MARTINEZ R 125 30.00    
4  KING JAMES (IRE) Apr29 Mar04 Feb11 Jan12 Dec01 (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 ★    
5  BOBBY THE TANK Apr27 Feb20 Jan01 Dec04 Nov27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 12.00 ★    
6  NOLO CONTESTO May12 Apr15 Feb19 Jan21 Jan13 (jacobson david)LEZCANO JOSE 125 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  PREDICTED May05 Apr02 Mar03 Feb02 Dec15 (dutrow w)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 20.00    
8  WINNING CONNECTION Apr27 Apr02 Mar11 Jan19 Dec17 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
9  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 Jun18 May22 (hemingway mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 12.00    
10  DON'T LET ME DOWN Apr21 Mar15 Feb04 Dec29 Dec01 (englehart chris)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
11  BE THE BOSS Nov19 Sep24 Sep01 Aug10 Jul17 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 ★    
12  MORE THAN WORK Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 Dec03 Feb19 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  LORD GATLING May13 Apr16 Mar26 Feb02 Jan14 (pringle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 30.00    
SCR  KING MOONRACER May13 Nov05 Oct06 Sep03 Aug10 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
15  HATCH (GB) May05 Jan26 Dec29 Dec16 Nov18 (martin f)RIDER TBA 123 10.00    
 
BEL-7   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOVER STREET Apr23 Mar18 Feb20 Dec17 Nov04 (hennig mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
2  FANCY JOKE Apr16 Jul01       (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 35% 1.90    
3  MISS STONES Apr29         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
4  SONG PARODY Aug26 Jun25       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  HONEST BANKER Apr23 Mar30 Dec16     (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
6  REIGNING CHICK Apr13 Mar18 Feb20 Jan28 Jan15 (walder r)ORTIZ L 125 10.00    
7  RED MOON Apr08 Mar14       (morey e)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  LUNA'S SONG Oct06 Sep05       (cox h)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
9  TRY IT AGAIN Apr23 Mar26 Mar11 Mar05 Jan28 (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 5.00 ★    
10  FANCY FELINE Apr23 Mar26 Feb25 Jan28 Nov18 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
 
BEL-8   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROUGH DRAFT Apr15 Nov18       (duggan david )MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 5.00    
SCR  UNIQUE UNIONS Apr30 Nov17 Sep23 Jul31 Jul08 (duggan p)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
SCR  YARROW Apr27 Nov20 Oct22 Aug21 Jul17 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.50    
SCR  PHANTOM SMOKE Jan07 Nov18 Oct22 Sep17 Aug21 (miceli michael)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  FRANK'S ART Apr27 Nov18 Oct30 Sep04 Aug10 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.50    
SCR  GHOST GIANT Apr27 Mar15 Feb25 Feb12 Jan13 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 121 8.00    
SCR  ME 'N SAP Apr27 Sep22 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 (donk david)TORRES A 116 20.00    
7  AWESOME NATIVE Apr07 Feb19 Jan14 Dec15   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 51% 0.90    
8  BAR FOURTEEN Apr27 Mar01 Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 (sells rachel)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
9  HORN OF PLENTY May17 May09 Apr24 Apr04 Feb12 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00    
10  BIG ENGINE Apr28 Apr20 Feb18 Feb10 Jan21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  SAINT SELBY May20 Apr28 Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
12  FOOLISH GHOST Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 Feb11 Jan07 (barrera oscar )TORRES A 116 8.00    
13  BREW PUB Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 Jan21 Jan07 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
BEL-9   05/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S A NINE Apr29         (atras rob)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
2  DANSEUR D'ORO Apr29 Apr06 Mar11 Jul27 Jun03 (morey e)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.00 38% 1.60    
3  FOXY CARA Apr29 Apr06       (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 4.00 14% 6.00    
4  NORTH END LADY         (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
5  JESSICA'S RIDE Apr29         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 21% 3.70    
6  SPLASHY Apr06 Nov19       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
7  KRYSTALHEIR Mar18 Feb11       (coffey mar)DAVIS A 118 12.00 6% 16.50    
8  UNHOLY         (asmussen stev)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.