Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-4   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 11.40
TUP-5   Win (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-6   Win (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-7   Win (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.20  
TUP-8   Win (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-9   Win (6/2/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $12.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-4   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :442 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEBA LUCKY DAY 1 5 1nk 1nk   1nk 1hd (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.70 W
DOZO 2 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 2hd (martinez esteba)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 0.70 P
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 6 6 43   3 3 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 4.50 S
ATLANTIC PRINCESS 7 3 42 32   44 4 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 15.60  
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 4 7 7 710   5 5 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00 4.40  
SHOE GAME 5 1 53 68   7 6 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 45% 1.20 9.70  
TIMBERLAKE GAGE 6 4 3 55   69 713¼ (rums)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 19.50  
 
TUP-5   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:471 1:103 1:233   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVOTED TO YOU 4 1 12 12 15 1 1 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 122 6.00 2.20  
EAST RAND 2 3 3 47 35 2 2 (powell leonard)CORBETT W 122 3.50 7% 13.10 6.10 P
COASTAL WATERS 5 6 6 57 46 4 37 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 12.20 5.00 S
BOB'S ALL IN 1 5 57 6 5 5 4 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 31% 2.20 4.40  
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 3 4 4 3 6 69 5 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 2.80  
CATS TOUCH 6 2 22 22 25 37 69 (oberholtzer k)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 30% 2.40 3.80  
SCR  AMERICAN GRIT               (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:22 :434 1:081     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHI MAHI 6 1 2nk 2½   2 1 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 10% 8.70 1.50 W
FRANKS FIX IT 5 3 1nk 1½   1 2 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 18% 4.50 1.50 P
ELUSIVE LOVE 8 2 6 44   5 3 (ortiz manuel )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 17.70  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 3 5 5 65   45 4 (johnston kimberley)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 28.70  
REDACTION 4 8 811½ 811   7 5 (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 8.30  
MO GEE 7 4 31 3   35 6 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 6.00 16% 5.10 7.70  
THAT'S BIND BABE 2 6 43 55   6 79 (christian bill)BEVERLY JR 124 4.00 28% 2.60 6.40  
FLY BUDDY FLY 1 7 7 78   810¼ 811½ (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 12.00 40.00  
 
TUP-7   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:104     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICK BYMY FRIEND 2 7 66 6   31 1 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 6.60  
BALI STAR 7 3 4 4   42 2 (breashear bil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 10% 8.80 5.20 P
RUSTY RED 4 1 11 12   1½ 34 (martinez esteba)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 12% 7.20 1.00 S
ATTORNEY LOUIS 8 2 21 22   2½ 4 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 8.40  
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 6 4 5 5   6 5 (fearon johnathon)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00 30.00  
KAI'S STATEMENT 1 6 32 32   5 6 (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 8.80  
MORE ACTION 5 8 720 718¼   712½ 711¼ (lavanway dayso)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 33.90  
RAVINA LANE 3 5 8100 8100   8100 8100 (woolley l)CORBETT W 124 2.50 57% 0.70 3.80  
SCR  NAVY PIER               (chamberlin ti)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:222 :444 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED MOON 4 7 4 3   3 1 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 58% 0.70 0.30 W
ELEGANT SWAY 5 4 5 48   45 2 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.50 5.20 P
SHELBY GOLD 6 1 21 2   2 32 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 13.20  
KETANJI 1 3 11 1   1 42 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 5.00  
IDA NEEDA DRINK 3 6 6 511½   511 510½ (alvarez sergi)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00 23.30  
DANIELLE'S SECRET 2 5 710 715½   716 612½ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 18.30  
GYPSY ROSIE 7 2 34 611½   613½ 714 (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 12.00 19% 4.30 17.80  
SCR  CHICAGO CAT               (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00    
 
TUP-9   04/08/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:121     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FAST TO FORTUNE 9 3 1 12   1 1 (wool)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 5.30  
CURIOUS INJI 3 5 5 3   2 2 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 12.00 P
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 5 6 610½ 67   33 3 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 48% 1.10 0.70 S
A THOUSAND DREAMS 2 8 713½ 8   4 4 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 3.90  
VALUE DANCER 7 4 35 44   58 5 (rycroft riley)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 8.70  
PANCAKES AND BEER 6 9 918½ 915½   710½ 69 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 47.40  
LADY JADE 8 7 813½ 7   810¾ 710¼ (leon priscill)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 32.20  
MANDONA 4 2 2 22   610½ 813 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 16.10  
FIRST PROMISE 1 1 4 5   913¾ 916¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 21.70  
SCR  BARBIE WARS               (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  SHOUT IT OUT               (bainum kelly)CORBETT W 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.