Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/7/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/7/6/3)-(2/5/7/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3)-(1/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/3)-(2/5/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/3)-(2/5/7/6)-(4/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (2/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6)-(2/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/6)-(4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/7/6)-(4/5/8)-(5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/9/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/8)-(4/5/8/9/3)-(4/5/8/9/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/5/8)-(5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/8)-(5/8)-(6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/8)-(5/8/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8)-(5/8/3/6)-(5/8/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/8)-(6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
TUP-9   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-4   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEBA LUCKY DAY Mar21 Mar04 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
2  DOZO Mar06 Feb07 Jan11 Dec14 Apr20 (martinez este)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 ★    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 Sep03 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 ★    
4  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Mar21 Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 4.00    
5  SHOE GAME Mar21 Mar06 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
6  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Mar29 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 Jan30 (ru)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00    
7  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Feb15 Jan31 Dec17 Nov15 Oct05 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOB'S ALL IN Mar20 Feb28 Feb16 Feb08 Jan09 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 5.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  AMERICAN GRIT Mar27 Mar12 Mar01 Dec31   (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
3  EAST RAND Mar05 Feb11 Jan22 Dec09 Nov19 (powell leonard)CORBETT W 122 3.50 7% 13.10    
4  MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) Mar20 Mar01 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
5  DEVOTED TO YOU Mar20 Dec11 Nov24 Nov18 Oct21 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
6  COASTAL WATERS Mar20 Feb28 Feb19 Jan30 Jan07 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8% 12.20    
7  CATS TOUCH Mar20 Mar04 Feb13 Feb02 Jan23 (oberholtzer)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
 
TUP-6   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY BUDDY FLY Mar12 Mar06 Feb26 Feb14 Feb06 (torres)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 12.00    
2  THAT'S BIND BABE Mar25 Feb25 Feb12 Jan27 Jan16 (christian bi)BEVERLY JR 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
3  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 Dec20 (johnston kimberl)ZUNINO L 124 10.00    
4  REDACTION Mar28 Feb13 Feb04 Sep17 Aug29 (ortiz fra)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
5  FRANKS FIX IT Mar18 Mar04 Feb13 Jan25 Jan05 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
6  MAHI MAHI Feb16 Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Sep04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
7  MO GEE Mar25 Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 Dec26 (matt l)CORBETT W 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
8  ELUSIVE LOVE Mar01 Feb14 Jan28 Oct16 Oct10 (ortiz manue)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   04/08/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAI'S STATEMENT Feb28 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 Dec04 (barraza s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
SCR  NAVY PIER Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Aug10 Jul25 (chamberlin )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
3  PICK BYMY FRIEND Mar05 Feb18 Jan20 Jan02 Dec10 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 ★    
4  RAVINA LANE Mar25 Feb21 Jan23 Jan05 Sep30 (woolley bennie )CORBETT W 124 2.50 57% 0.70    
5  RUSTY RED Mar05 Feb11 Jan17     (martinez este)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 12% 7.20    
6  MORE ACTION Mar26 Feb13 Jan24 Jan11 Jan03 (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
7  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Mar28 Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 Dec08 (fearon johnath)DEONAUTH P 124 20.00    
8  BALI STAR Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Jan05 Nov14 (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 10% 8.80    
9  ATTORNEY LOUIS Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Feb11 Jan24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 7:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KETANJI Jan16 Nov25 Oct14     (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50    
SCR  CHICAGO CAT Mar27 Mar07 Jan29 Dec05   (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00    
3  DANIELLE'S SECRET Feb19 Jan29 Jan14 Dec04 Nov11 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 ★    
4  IDA NEEDA DRINK Mar18 Mar06 Feb15 Feb05 Sep05 (alvarez ser)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 10.00    
5  RED MOON Mar14         (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 58% 0.70    
6  ELEGANT SWAY Mar19 Jan12 Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 4.50 ★    
7  SHELBY GOLD Mar19 Sep17 Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
8  GYPSY ROSIE Feb26 Jan03 Nov20     (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 12.00 19% 4.30    
 
TUP-9   04/08/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST PROMISE Mar11 Feb07 Jan25 Dec14 Nov21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  BARBIE WARS Mar11 Feb20 Jan28 Jan09 Dec19 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 11% 7.80    
3  A THOUSAND DREAMS Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Nov12 Sep02 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
4  CURIOUS INJI Mar25 Mar05 Feb16 Jan30 Jan14 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 20.00 ★    
5  MANDONA Mar28 Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 Jan02 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
6  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) Mar26 Feb14 Jan28 Jan10 Nov18 (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 48% 1.10    
7  PANCAKES AND BEER Feb15 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Feb18 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
8  VALUE DANCER Mar15 Feb21 Feb01 Jan24 Jan14 (rycroft rile)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00    
9  LADY JADE Mar29 Mar05 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 (leon prisci)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00    
10  FAST TO FORTUNE Mar15 Feb21 Feb08 Jan11 Dec26 (wo)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
SCR  SHOUT IT OUT Mar14 Oct15 Sep25 Aug14 Jul02 (bainum kelly)CORBETT W 122 15.00 10% 8.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.