Handicappers' Race Results

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Rillito
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

RIL-4   Win (2/7/5/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $17.20 $17.20 7.20
RIL-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 8 1 0 $2.20  
RIL-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
RIL-7   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
RIL-8   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
RIL-4   03/12/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:224         :224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEEDSLIMIT 5 2       21 1hd (figueroa juan)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 6% 15.40 7.60 W
BABE'S GOT APPEAL 6 1       11 2hd (crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 19% 4.40 1.10 P
WE ALL AGREE 2 4       32 31 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 121 4.00 29% 2.40 2.90 S
RESTORING DREAMS 4 3       4 4 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.00 17% 4.70 2.90  
A BIT MUCH 3 5       5 5 (salas eliazar)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00 10.20  
BLUE CHIP BETTY 1 6       6 6 (lavanway dayson)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 5.00 13.00  
SCR  MY MEL MAR               (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 121 12.00    
SCR  SIMPLY PERFECT (GB)               (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
RIL-5   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($2.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:47         :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 8 1 14     16 1 (silva pab)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 1.40 0.10  
PIRATE MISCHIEF 2 6 5     59 2 (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 12.70 P
GEBO 7 3 35     4 3 (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 18.20 S
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 6 2 45     37 4 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 3.00 9.00  
WEST COAST ANDY 4 4 24     26 510½ (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 119 8.00 42.40  
DUKE CITY KITTY 3 7 69     714 613¼ (salazar michelle)FINN AISLINN 121 12.00 39.00  
BELLA VINO 1 5 7     613 716¼ (reyes norma)DEONAUTH P 121 20.00 50.60  
WE WANT ANOTHER 5 8 817½     823 822 (torres-casas j)AGUILAR DANIEL 119 5.00 77% 0.30 9.90  
 
RIL-6   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:463         :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONGOFTHEDESERT 3 2 1nk     13 13 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 54% 0.80 0.60 W
NIP NAP 4 1 2nk     23 23 (perkinson cc)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 4.70 P
MY FUNNY GAL 7 5 5     3 3 (ortega joe)JENSEN P 126 5.00 23.70  
BLUE GESSAMI 8 3 4     4 4 (bazurto ramon)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 4.80  
YOU NEVER CALL 6 4 32     5 510¼ (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 20.10  
TIZ TENACIOUS 5 8 619½     618½ 622 (leon priscilla)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00 21% 3.80 5.90  
ZENMAGIC 2 6 7100     7100 7100 (salazar michelle)ELLIS DEVON 126 20.00 43.70  
IZANAMI 1 7 8100     8100 8100 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00 28.90  
 
RIL-7   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rillito Hopeful Maiden Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSS EXAMINE 4 7 45 42   21 1 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 5.00 16% 5.10 1.30 W
BAKERSFIELD BABE 2 1 1½ 1½   11 2 (simpson shanno)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 29% 2.40 1.40 P
SHORT JOURNEY 3 4 31 2½   3 3 (rosales jorge)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10 3.70 S
CLASSIC CALIFORNIA 6 2 2½ 31   42 47 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 12.00 16.10  
SHACKEY'S LOVE 1 3 55 56   57 511½ (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 8.00 11.90  
WITCHES DANCE 5 5 7 711   610 615½ (torres-casas j)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 15.00 33.00  
DYNAMIC WOMAN 7 6 6 68   711 718¼ (ybarra rudy)JENSEN P 126 20.00 23.90  
SCR  JUSTIN'S LADY               (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.20    
 
RIL-8   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
1:254         1:254   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 4 3 5 3   31 1 (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 42% 1.40 1.70 W
BREXTON 6 4 3 2nk   1nk 2 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 9% 9.60 1.70 P
TELLER 5 2 12 1nk   2nk 3 (silva pab)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 23% 3.30 2.10 S
FLY BUDDY FLY 2 5 43 4   47 420 (torres-casas a)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 6.00 11.90  
AUTISM SAVANT 7 6 7 612½   612½ 522 (torres-casas je)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 15.00 40.80  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 3 1 22 5   510½ 623¼ (perkinson cc)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 10.40  
TROPHY CHEST 1 7 6 712¾   713½ 729 (ybarra rudy)FINN AISLINN 121 20.00 39.80  
SCR  ROLL OUT               (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.