Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (2/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6)-(2/7/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/7/5/6)-(5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/6)-(5)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
RIL-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/8/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/8/2/7/1)-(5/8/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5)-(3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
RIL-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/4/6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/4/6/1)-(3/5/4/6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/2/5)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
RIL-7   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(4/5/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
RIL-8   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6/8)-(4/5/6/8) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-4   03/12/2023 1320ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE CHIP BETTY Feb19 Feb12 Feb05 Oct01 Aug28 (lavanway days)BAZAN ANTONIO 121 5.00    
2  WE ALL AGREE Feb25 Feb12 Dec17 Nov25 Nov07 (alcoverde ernesto)GAMEZ M 121 4.00 29% 2.40    
3  A BIT MUCH Feb19 Feb05 Jan09 Nov06 Sep04 (salas eliaza)CARBAJAL KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  SIMPLY PERFECT (GB) Nov24 Nov12 Aug12 Jul24 Jul10 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RESTORING DREAMS Feb25 Feb19 Feb05 Dec27 Nov25 (tate mary)OSUNA MARTIN 126 3.00 17% 4.70    
6  LEEDSLIMIT         (figueroa jua)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 15.00 6% 15.40    
7  BABE'S GOT APPEAL Feb25 Jan19 Dec17 Nov14 Jul08 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 2.50 19% 4.40    
SCR  MY MEL MAR Feb18         (ortega monica)ELLIS DEVON 121 12.00    
 
RIL-5   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($2.5K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA VINO Feb25 Feb11 Feb05 Sep03 Aug27 (reyes norma)DEONAUTH P 121 20.00 ★    
2  PIRATE MISCHIEF Feb25 Feb12 Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 ★    
3  DUKE CITY KITTY Feb26 Feb18 Oct11 Aug17 May20 (salazar michel)FINN AISLINN 121 12.00    
4  WEST COAST ANDY Feb25 Feb11 Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 119 8.00    
5  WE WANT ANOTHER Jan25 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Jul18 (torres-casas)AGUILAR DANIEL 119 5.00 77% 0.30    
6  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Mar05 Dec17 Dec03 Nov25 Nov17 (nelson amy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 3.00    
7  GEBO Feb18 Feb04 Dec17 Nov30 Nov16 (metz jeffrey)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 ★    
8  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Feb27 Feb16 Jan30 Jan09 May07 (silva p)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 1.40 ★    
 
RIL-6   03/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IZANAMI Mar04 Feb19 Jan19 Jan11 Dec21 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 12.00 ★    
2  ZENMAGIC Feb11 Jan01 Sep21 Sep15 Aug28 (salazar michel)FINN AISLINN 126 20.00    
3  SONGOFTHEDESERT Feb11 Feb05 Jan19 Dec26 Nov14 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.50 54% 0.80    
4  NIP NAP Feb18 Jan07 Dec14 Sep14 Aug27 (perkinson cc)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 ★    
5  TIZ TENACIOUS Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 Nov28 Nov04 (leon priscil)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  YOU NEVER CALL Mar27 Mar05 Feb27 Feb04 Jan20 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 ★    
7  MY FUNNY GAL Feb19 Aug21 Aug12 Aug10 Jul10 (ortega jo)JENSEN P 126 5.00    
8  BLUE GESSAMI Feb25 May07 Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 (bazurto ramon)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
 
RIL-7   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rillito Hopeful Maiden Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHACKEY'S LOVE Feb25 Feb12 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 8.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of HEAT DU JOUR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  BAKERSFIELD BABE Feb25 Feb14 Jan30 Jan09 Nov15 (simpson shan)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00 29% 2.40    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of NEWBURG by SKY MESA)
3  SHORT JOURNEY Feb25 Feb21 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 (rosales jorg)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CAPITAL ACCOUNT out of FREEDOM JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  JUSTIN'S LADY Feb25 Jan21 Dec18 Dec02   (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 1.20 ★    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of RICHELLE'S JOY by TIZNOW)
5  CROSS EXAMINE Feb25 Feb12 Dec16 Dec04 Nov04 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 5.00 16% 5.10    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LITIGATING by POINT GIVEN)
6  WITCHES DANCE Feb25 Feb18 Feb08 Jan17 Dec26 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by ELUSIVE WARNING out of LADY SORCERESS by CONQUISTADOR CIELO)
7  CLASSIC CALIFORNIA Feb25 Feb11 Sep17 Aug27 Aug13 (ortega monica)GAMEZ M 126 12.00 ★    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of KUKALUKA by COMIC STRIP)
8  DYNAMIC WOMAN Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Aug06 Jul23 (ybarra ru)JENSEN P 126 20.00    
  (by INDY EXPRESS out of RED PEACHES by GHOSTLY MOVES)
 
RIL-8   03/12/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPHY CHEST Feb26 Feb19 Nov19 Apr19 Apr03 (ybarra rudy)OSUNA JESUS 121 20.00    
2  FLY BUDDY FLY Mar06 Feb26 Feb14 Feb06 Jan14 (torres-casas)CARBAJAL KEVIN 126 6.00    
3  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Feb04 Jan28 Jan19 Dec20   (perkinson cc)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00    
4  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Feb28 Feb11 Feb04 Jan25 Jan05 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.50 42% 1.40    
5  TELLER Feb22 Feb05 Jan17 Nov29 Sep27 (silva p)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  BREXTON Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Feb05 Jan28 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 2.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  ROLL OUT Feb26 Feb11 Aug13 Jul09 Apr23 (reyes norma)ELLIS DEVON 126 10.00 ★    
8  AUTISM SAVANT Feb26 Feb19 Feb11 Jan14 Jan03 (torres-casas )BAZAN ANTONIO 126 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.