The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Rillito
Sunday - February 12, 2023

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RIL-4   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
1:092         1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMA CARPE DIEM 5 1 1 11   11 1nk (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 124 3.50 10.10  
SHACKEY'S LOVE 3 2 33 31   21 2nk (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 8% 11.20 14.30 P
CROSS EXAMINE 1 5 4 5   33.2 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 2.00 37% 1.70 0.05 S
MY SON CHRIS 4 3 5 42   448 (nelson amy)LEON A 126 8.00 30.10  
PIRATE MISCHIEF 2 4 2 21   5516½ (kern david)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 22% 3.50 13.60  
SCR  JOHN'S KID               (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
 
RIL-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:463         :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHOS DALLINS DADDY 1 2 1     14 18 (potts ashley )CONNING CRYSTAL 126 10.00 7% 12.50 0.30 W
BLUE CHIP BETTY 6 1 2     24 28 (lavanway dayso)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.00 9.30  
AMITY HARBOR 2 3 35     37 311¼ (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 13.40 S
SWITCH BACK 3 6 6     58 412¼ (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 3.50 20% 4.10 10.00  
MIDNIGHT DRAMA 5 5 5     6512¾ (lavanway da)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 28% 2.50 5.10  
HAMMERING LEMON 4 4 45     47 613¼ (megariz eddie)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 10.70  
SCR  TIME TO ZOOM               (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 18% 4.70    
 
RIL-6   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
1:203         1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED NOON RISING 2 2 44 2nk   2nk 1(rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 63% 0.60 1.40 W
CHARMANT E 4 8 22 1nk   1nk 2(mccartney jack)LEON A 126 12.00 5.50  
QUEEN OF LOVE 7 4 67 4   36 310¼ (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 9.70  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5 7 7 69   5413 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 8.00 6.90  
PLATINUM GREEK 3 6 810 710   611 515¼ (salazar mic)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 16.80  
LOVELY LOLA 1 3 5 58   712 620 (ortega joe)JENSEN P 126 2.50 9% 10.20 13.50  
ALLIE'S PAL 6 1 12 33   47 720¼ (hinojos alvaro)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
WE ALL AGREE 8 5 32 817   820 837½ (alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00 5.50  
SCR  FOCUS FIRST               (gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TROPHY CHEST               (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00    
 
RIL-7   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
1:491         1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY NOGUEZ 1 2 2½ 1½ 1 16 120 (silva pablo)LEON A 126 2.50 41% 1.50 0.40 W
BRITE TAN 2 3 1½ 2½ 2 26 220 (rosales jorge)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 16% 5.10 1.60 P
SHE'S MY RIDE 3 1 32 3 38 313 330¾ (ortega joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 4.70 S
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY               (christian b)JENSEN P 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SASSY EDIE               (ortega joe)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.