Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Rillito
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
RIL-4   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:092         1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  IMA CARPE DIEM 5 1 11½ 11   11 1nk (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 3.50 ★ 10.10  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of KEG STAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  SHACKEY'S LOVE 3 2 33 31   21 2nk (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 8% 11.20 14.30 P
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of HEAT DU JOUR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
1  CROSS EXAMINE 1 5 43½ 52¼   31½ 3.2 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 2.00 37% 1.70 0.05 S
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LITIGATING by POINT GIVEN)
4  MY SON CHRIS 4 3 54½ 42   42½ 48 (nelson amy)LEON A 126 8.00 30.10  
  (by CITY WOLF out of LEARN THE LINGO by ALPHABET SOUP)
2  PIRATE MISCHIEF 2 4 21½ 21   54½ 516½ (kern david)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 22% 3.50 13.60  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of LADY PIRATE by DESERT GOD)
SCR  JOHN'S KID               (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
 
RIL-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:463         :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOS DALLINS DADDY 1 2 12½     14 18 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 10.00 7% 12.50 0.30 W
7  BLUE CHIP BETTY 6 1 22½     24 28 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.00 9.30  
2  AMITY HARBOR 2 3 35     37 311¼ (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 ★ 13.40 S
3  SWITCH BACK 3 6 65¼     58 412¼ (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 3.50 20% 4.10 10.00  
5  MIDNIGHT DRAMA 5 5 55¼     68¼ 512¾ (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 28% 2.50 5.10  
4  HAMMERING LEMON 4 4 45     47 613¼ (megariz eddi)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00 10.70  
SCR  TIME TO ZOOM               (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 18% 4.70    
 
RIL-6   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:203         1:203   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED NOON RISING 2 2 44 2nk   2nk 11½ (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 63% 0.60 1.40 W
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
4  CHARMANT E 4 8 22 1nk   1nk 21½ (mccartney jack)LEON A 126 12.00 5.50  
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of DARING LITTLE E by STORMY JACK)
7  QUEEN OF LOVE 7 4 67 45½   36 310¼ (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 9.70  
  (by KING OF JAZZ (ARG) out of LOVE BLIND (ARG) by UNKNOWN)
5  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 5 7 79½ 69   58½ 413 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 8.00 ★ 6.90  
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SCENE QUEEN by BERNSTEIN)
3  PLATINUM GREEK 3 6 810 710   611 515¼ (salazar m)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00 16.80  
  (by PLATINUM PHARAOH out of SUBTLE GREEK by SOTO (VEN))
1  LOVELY LOLA 1 3 56½ 58   712 620 (ortega jo)JENSEN P 126 2.50 9% 10.20 13.50  
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
6  ALLIE'S PAL 6 1 12 33   47 720¼ (hinojos alva)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00 4.40  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
8  WE ALL AGREE 8 5 32 817   820 837½ (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00 5.50  
  (by UNIFIED out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  FOCUS FIRST               (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of SWEET MARGI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
SCR  TROPHY CHEST               (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00    
  (by LUCKY PULPIT out of TREASURE CHEST by LEMON DROP KID)
 
RIL-7   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:491         1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NOGUEZ 1 2 2½ 1½ 11½ 16 120 (silva pabl)LEON A 126 2.50 41% 1.50 0.40 W
2  BRITE TAN 2 3 1½ 2½ 21½ 26 220 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 16% 5.10 1.60 P
4  SHE'S MY RIDE 3 1 32 36½ 38 313 330¾ (ortega joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 ★ 4.70 S
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY               (christian)JENSEN P 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  SASSY EDIE               (ortega joe)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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