Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Sunday - February 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RIL-5   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RIL-6   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
RIL-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-4   02/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSS EXAMINE Dec16 Dec04 Nov04 Sep17 Sep01 (crotts e)HARVEY B 126 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LITIGATING by POINT GIVEN)
2  PIRATE MISCHIEF Apr24 Mar26 Mar12 Mar06   (kern david)ELLIS DEVON 126 2.50 22% 3.50    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of LADY PIRATE by DESERT GOD)
3  SHACKEY'S LOVE Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jul11 Apr04 (ortega monica)OSUNA JESUS 126 5.00 8% 11.20    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of HEAT DU JOUR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
4  MY SON CHRIS Dec17 Nov27 Oct30 Oct08 Feb13 (nelson amy)LARSEN S 126 8.00    
  (by CITY WOLF out of LEARN THE LINGO by ALPHABET SOUP)
SCR  JOHN'S KID Jan14 Dec20 Nov25 Sep19 Sep05 (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12% 7.10    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of MEMO FROM PAT by GREY MEMO)
6  IMA CARPE DIEM Feb02 Jan13 Nov27 Nov11   (gilmour j)JENSEN P 124 3.50 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of KEG STAND by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
RIL-5   02/12/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Feb02 Jan12 Dec26 Dec13 Nov09 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 10.00 7% 12.50    
2  AMITY HARBOR Oct14 Aug26 Aug19 Jul15 Jun21 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 ★    
3  SWITCH BACK Apr24 Mar26 Mar20 Mar05 Feb26 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 126 3.50 20% 4.10    
4  HAMMERING LEMON Jan10 Dec10 Nov30 Jun27 Apr12 (megariz eddi)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 5.00    
5  MIDNIGHT DRAMA Oct01 Sep11 Jul11 Jun18 May21 (lavanway )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  TIME TO ZOOM Jun11 May21 Apr19 Mar26 Feb27 (reyes norma)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 12.00 18% 4.70    
7  BLUE CHIP BETTY Feb05 Oct01 Aug28 Jul17 Jul09 (lavanway day)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.00    
 
RIL-6   02/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVELY LOLA Feb08 Jan30 Jan08 Apr29 Apr10 (ortega jo)JENSEN P 126 2.50 9% 10.20    
  (by FLATTER out of ROYALTY by BIRDSTONE)
2  RED NOON RISING Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 Nov26 Nov07 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 63% 0.60    
  (by YES IT'S TRUE out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
3  PLATINUM GREEK Jan29 Jan08 Sep28 Sep16 Aug17 (salazar mich)BEVERLY JR 126 10.00    
  (by PLATINUM PHARAOH out of SUBTLE GREEK by SOTO (VEN))
4  CHARMANT E Feb07 Jan24 Feb11 Jan27 Jan03 (mccartney jack)LEON A 126 12.00    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of DARING LITTLE E by STORMY JACK)
5  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Jan24 Jan11 Dec26 Nov19 Sep26 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 126 8.00 ★    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SCENE QUEEN by BERNSTEIN)
6  ALLIE'S PAL Jan22 Dec13 Nov30 Oct24 Sep08 (hinojos alva)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of GRAND YODELER by SWISS YODELER)
7  QUEEN OF LOVE Jan18 Dec28 Nov30 Nov19 Sep19 (metz jeffrey)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00    
  (by KING OF JAZZ (ARG) out of LOVE BLIND (ARG) by UNKNOWN)
8  WE ALL AGREE Dec17 Nov25 Nov07 Sep19 Sep03 (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 6.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MILES RULES by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  TROPHY CHEST Nov19 Apr19 Apr03 Mar20 Mar05 (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 126 20.00    
  (by LUCKY PULPIT out of TREASURE CHEST by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  FOCUS FIRST Jan21 Dec26 Dec03 Nov19 Oct15 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of SWEET MARGI by MARGIE'S WILDCAT)
 
RIL-7   02/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY NOGUEZ Jan31 Jan18 Jan03 Nov14 Oct16 (silva pabl)LEON A 126 2.50 41% 1.50    
2  BRITE TAN Jan31 Jan06 Nov11 Oct16 Sep10 (rosales jorg)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 3.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  SASSY EDIE Sep17 Sep11 Sep03 Aug21 Aug10 (ortega joe)DEONAUTH P 126 8.00 ★    
4  SHE'S MY RIDE Jan26 Jan04 Nov14 Sep17 Sep10 (ortega joe)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 2.00 ★    
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (christian)JENSEN P 126 6.00 18% 4.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.