Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.80 $2.80 70%
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-5 $12.90 $4.90 61%
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-5-2 $19.15 $7.15 60%
    SFT (3/5)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 48 $0.10 $4.80  3-5-2-6 $10.60 $5.80 121%
TUP-7   EXA (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $16.60 $0.60 4%
    TRI (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-4-6 $40.30 $16.30 68%
    SFT (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  8-4-6-1 $18.16 $8.56 89%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SWEET LADY LANA 6 2 1nk     1nk 1½ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.80 W
2  PAYNT THE KITTY 2 4 33     33½ 2½ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.50 P
5  DISCOVER A WISH 5 1 2nk     2nk 33½ (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 ★ 30.20 S
3  LITTLE LILY LU 3 6 64¼     46½ 45 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★ 8.40  
4  ROSEBUD RYDE 4 7 77¾     512 57¾ (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 10.00 7.70  
7  PROJECT LOGIC 7 5 43½     613½ 610 (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 3.50 7% 13.00 21.20  
1  R HAPPY PLACE 1 3 53¾     715 712 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 31.30  
 
TUP-2   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHESTERETTE 6 2 31½ 31   11 15 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 ★ 1.10  
7  GOLDEN SUN DROPS 7 1 1nk 2nk   31 25 (vitali marcus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70 20.20 P
4  CHARMANT E 4 3 2nk 1nk   21 36¾ (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 10.00 40.10  
2  IN THE VAULT 2 6 73¼ 44   45½ 46¾ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★ 8.10  
1  NO PEOPLE 1 4 62¾ 76¼   57½ 58¾ (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 10.10  
3  FIRST PROMISE 3 5 42 54¼   69 610¾ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 ★ 8.90  
5  WILD ARCH 5 7 52¼ 65¾   711 712 (silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30  
 
TUP-3   02/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:22 :464 1:112 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 4 33 21½ 21 1nk 11¾ (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 41% 1.40 2.40 W
5  RED VENUS 5 5 45 43 32½ 3½ 21¾ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40 2.70 P
2  ALL NATIVE 2 6 66 53 57 52½ 32¾ (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★ 7.00 S
6  SASSY CAT 6 2 12½ 11½ 11 2nk 43¾ (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★ 2.50  
1  LADY PHYLLIS 1 3 55½ 64 42½ 42 55¼ (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 ★ 2.90  
4  ELEMENTAL 4 1 22½ 32 615 622½ 637¼ (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 19.50  
 
TUP-4   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :442 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DISCERNMENT 6 4 42¼ 2nk   2nk 11¾ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 ★ 0.80  
4  SINGLE LADY 4 2 22 33   43½ 21¾ (vi)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 18.60  
3  WHERE'S FRANKIE 3 1 12 1nk   1nk 32½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★ 7.10 S
1  MS PARKSIDE 1 5 32 44   32 44¾ (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 75% 0.30 2.30 DH
2  GO GO SADIE 2 6 63¾ 56   55 44¾ (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 122 3.50 ★ 5.70 DH
7  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 7 7 75¼ 610   613 613½ (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 40.70  
5  SPUN LINE 5 3 52¼ 711½   715½ 718½ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 12.00 ★ 12.50  
 
TUP-5   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :563       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COASTAL RUN 5 1 1nk 1nk   13 15 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 7% 14.10 1.30 W
3  HEART ON THE RUN 3 4 32 32½   34½ 25 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12.40  
8  MISSCZECH 8 3 54 54¾   59½ 35¼ (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 7% 13.40 3.20 S
6  CAPITAL HEAT 6 5 43½ 44½   46 45¼ (belvoir van)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 8.00 12.20  
4  A ROZE AND WINE 4 2 2nk 2nk   23 56¼ (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 27% 2.70 16.80  
7  RODEO ROSE 7 7 67 67¼   611 67 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 6.00 14.10  
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 8 89½ 79¾   711½ 78½ (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 ★ 4.20  
1  DOZO 1 6 77½ 810¾   817½ 817¼ (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 3.00 35% 1.90 6.00  
 
TUP-6   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SPECIAL MOMENT 2 9 86¾ 54   1nk 11¾ (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 8.00 ★ 13.70  
8  THE GOLDEN EGG 7 2 44¼ 33½   3.2 21¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.00 57% 0.80 1.50 P
9  MY KACEJJ 8 4 76¾ 86½   55¾ 34¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 18.70  
6  MISTER MAFIOSO 6 1 1nk 12   2nk 45¼ (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00 14.20  
10  HE'S INIT TO WINIT 9 6 34 64½   44¼ 58¼ (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 3.20  
3  I'M NOBLE 3 5 66¼ 99½   78¾ 68¾ (person a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 9% 9.80 13.80  
4  BRIGHT MIND 4 8 97¼ 76   67¼ 713 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 ★ 5.40  
1  NASHVILLE SKYLINE 1 7 54¾ 44   810¾ 818 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 38.60  
5  LEFT THE BAR 5 3 2nk 22   910¾ 918¼ (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 10% 8.60 3.80  
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT               (bratcher ryan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:222   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RACE HOME 8 8 66 54½ 54 2nk 11 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 13% 6.90 3.00 W
1  UNMACHABLE 1 7 77½ 76½ 76 41¼ 21 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 17.70 4.00 DQ↓4
4  MYOPIC 4 4 43½ 43 33 51¾ 32 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 ★ 2.90 P
6  SHINNY 6 5 56 65 65 63¼ 42½ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.00 32% 2.10 3.60 S
7  THE BLACK STRAT 7 3 2½ 11½ 11 1nk 53½ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.80  
5  AX MAN 5 2 32½ 21½ 21 31 64½ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 27% 2.80 10.40  
3  TORIADOR 3 1 1½ 31½ 43 712¼ 715 (palma milton)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00 12.30  
2  COURAGEOUS 2 6 89 89½ 811½ 813¾ 817 (ho)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00 53.80  
 
TUP-8   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :442 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  POVERTY BAY 6 2 21½ 21½   21½ 12 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 ★ 4.30  
1  GOLD RUSH CANDY 1 5 32½ 33   33 22 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.60 1.90 P
6  A VIEW FROM ABOVE 4 1 11½ 11½   11½ 32½ (peery debbi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 7% 12.90 10.20 S
4  TOIL AND TROUBLE 3 6 78¼ 79   65¾ 44¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8% 11.90 2.10  
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE 2 7 54 67   55½ 54¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 4.50 3.20  
7  BOLD VOYAGER 5 4 64¼ 44½   45½ 67¾ (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 16.80  
9  TOOL TIME 7 3 42½ 54½   78¼ 78½ (palma milton)MAWING A 122 20.00 29.80  
SCR  GRAN MARTILLO               (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST               (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.