Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TUP-2   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $4.20  
TUP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
TUP-4   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-5   Win (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TUP-6   Win (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $29.40  
TUP-7   Win (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
TUP-8   Win (3/1/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $10.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LADY LANA 6 2 1nk     1nk 1½ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70 0.80 W
PAYNT THE KITTY 2 4 33     3 2½ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 40% 1.50 1.50 P
DISCOVER A WISH 5 1 2nk     2nk 3 (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 30.20 S
LITTLE LILY LU 3 6 6     4 45 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 8.40  
ROSEBUD RYDE 4 7 7     512 5 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 10.00 7.70  
PROJECT LOGIC 7 5 4     613½ 610 (barraza rami)VERGARA P 124 3.50 7% 13.00 21.20  
R HAPPY PLACE 1 3 5     715 712 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00 31.30  
 
TUP-2   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :45 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHESTERETTE 6 2 3 31   11 15 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 1.10  
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 7 1 1nk 2nk   31 25 (vitali j)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70 20.20 P
CHARMANT E 4 3 2nk 1nk   21 3 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 10.00 40.10  
IN THE VAULT 2 6 7 44   4 4 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 5.00 8.10  
NO PEOPLE 1 4 6 7   5 5 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 10.10  
FIRST PROMISE 3 5 42 5   69 610¾ (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 8.90  
WILD ARCH 5 7 5 6   711 712 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.50 51% 1.00 1.30  
 
TUP-3   02/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:22 :464 1:112 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 4 33 2 21 1nk 1 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 41% 1.40 2.40 W
RED VENUS 5 5 45 43 3 3½ 2 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40 2.70 P
ALL NATIVE 2 6 66 53 57 5 3 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 124 6.00 7.00 S
SASSY CAT 6 2 1 1 11 2nk 4 (axma)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 2.50  
LADY PHYLLIS 1 3 5 64 4 42 5 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 2.90  
ELEMENTAL 4 1 2 32 615 622½ 637¼ (perkinson cc)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 19.50  
 
TUP-4   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :442 :562     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCERNMENT 6 4 4 2nk   2nk 1 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 0.80  
SINGLE LADY 4 2 22 33   4 2 (vita)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 18.60  
WHERE'S FRANKIE 3 1 12 1nk   1nk 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 7.10 S
MS PARKSIDE 1 5 32 44   32 4 (lucarelli fra)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 75% 0.30 2.30 DH
GO GO SADIE 2 6 6 56   55 4 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 122 3.50 5.70 DH
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 7 7 7 610   613 613½ (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 40.70  
SPUN LINE 5 3 5 711½   715½ 718½ (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 12.00 12.50  
 
TUP-5   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:214 :563       1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL RUN 5 1 1nk 1nk   13 15 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 7% 14.10 1.30 W
HEART ON THE RUN 3 4 32 3   3 25 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 12.40  
MISSCZECH 8 3 54 5   5 3 (eidschun greg)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 7% 13.40 3.20 S
CAPITAL HEAT 6 5 4 4   46 4 (belvoir vann)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 8.00 12.20  
A ROZE AND WINE 4 2 2nk 2nk   23 5 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 27% 2.70 16.80  
RODEO ROSE 7 7 67 6   611 67 (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 6.00 14.10  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 2 8 8 7   711½ 7 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 4.20  
DOZO 1 6 7 810¾   817½ 817¼ (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 3.00 35% 1.90 6.00  
 
TUP-6   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :444 :572     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL MOMENT 2 9 8 54   1nk 1 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 8.00 13.70  
THE GOLDEN EGG 7 2 4 3   3.2 2 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.00 57% 0.80 1.50 P
MY KACEJJ 8 4 7 8   5 3 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 18.70  
MISTER MAFIOSO 6 1 1nk 12   2nk 4 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00 14.20  
10  HE'S INIT TO WINIT 9 6 34 6   4 5 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 3.20  
I'M NOBLE 3 5 6 9   7 6 (person a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 9% 9.80 13.80  
BRIGHT MIND 4 8 9 76   6 713 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 5.40  
NASHVILLE SKYLINE 1 7 5 44   810¾ 818 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 38.60  
LEFT THE BAR 5 3 2nk 22   910¾ 918¼ (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 10% 8.60 3.80  
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT               (bratcher ryan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:222   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACE HOME 8 8 66 5 54 2nk 11 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 13% 6.90 3.00 W
UNMACHABLE 1 7 7 7 76 4 21 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 17.70 4.00 DQ↓4
MYOPIC 4 4 4 43 33 5 32 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 2.90 P
SHINNY 6 5 56 65 65 6 4 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.00 32% 2.10 3.60 S
THE BLACK STRAT 7 3 2½ 1 11 1nk 5 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.80  
AX MAN 5 2 3 2 21 31 6 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 27% 2.80 10.40  
TORIADOR 3 1 1½ 3 43 712¼ 715 (palma milton)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 12.00 12.30  
COURAGEOUS 2 6 89 8 811½ 813¾ 817 (hop )DA FAUSTO 122 15.00 53.80  
 
TUP-8   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:221 :442 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POVERTY BAY 6 2 2 2   2 12 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 4.30  
GOLD RUSH CANDY 1 5 3 33   33 22 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.60 1.90 P
A VIEW FROM ABOVE 4 1 1 1   1 3 (peery debbie)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 7% 12.90 10.20 S
TOIL AND TROUBLE 3 6 7 79   6 4 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8% 11.90 2.10  
ABRAAJ MIRAGE 2 7 54 67   5 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 4.50 3.20  
BOLD VOYAGER 5 4 6 4   4 6 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 16.80  
TOOL TIME 7 3 4 5   7 7 (palma milton)MAWING A 122 20.00 29.80  
SCR  GRAN MARTILLO               (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST               (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.