Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7/3/5)-(2/6/7/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(5/7)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-2   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/3/2/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/3/2/6)-(5/7/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7)-(3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/7)-(3/5)-(1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/1/6/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/1/6/2)-(3/5/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1)-(1/4/8/5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-4   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/2/5/3)-(1/6/2/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(1/4/8/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/4/8/5)-(8/5/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/4/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/8/5)-(1/4/8/5/2)-(1/4/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/8/5)-(8/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/8/5)-(8/5/3)-(6/5/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/3)-(8/5/3/2/4)-(8/5/3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/3)-(6/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/3)-(6/5/8/1)-(1/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (6/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/8/1)-(6/5/8/1/4)-(6/5/8/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/8/1)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6/8)-(1/4/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/07/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R HAPPY PLACE Jan09 Sep04 Aug21 Aug06 Jul02 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 8.00    
2  PAYNT THE KITTY Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov29 May06 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
3  LITTLE LILY LU Jan25 Dec22 Apr21 Apr11   (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 ★    
4  ROSEBUD RYDE Jan12 Jan02 Nov26 Nov05 Oct16 (chamberlin tina)MAWING A 124 10.00    
5  DISCOVER A WISH Jan09 Nov05       (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 ★    
6  SWEET LADY LANA Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 Nov05 Sep12 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
7  PROJECT LOGIC Dec31 Dec03 Oct15 Jul30 Jul08 (barraza ra)VERGARA P 124 3.50 7% 13.00    
 
TUP-2   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PEOPLE Jan24 Jan04 Dec15 Nov02 Sep29 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
2  IN THE VAULT Jan11 Aug19 Aug06 May29 Apr08 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 122 5.00 ★    
3  FIRST PROMISE Jan25 Dec14 Nov21 Sep19 Aug22 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 ★    
4  CHARMANT E Jan24 Feb11 Jan27 Jan03   (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 10.00    
5  WILD ARCH Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Nov19 Nov06 (silva jose )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 2.50 51% 1.00    
6  CHESTERETTE Mar11 Feb23 Jan23     (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 ★    
7  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Jan23 Jan09 Dec19 Jan26 Jan06 (vitali marcus)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-3   02/07/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY PHYLLIS Jan24 Nov30 Nov14 Nov04 Sep29 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 ★    
2  ALL NATIVE Jan24 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Sep07 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 6.00 ★    
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Jan24 Jan14 Dec28 Dec19 Nov19 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
4  ELEMENTAL Dec17 Nov19 Nov04 Sep07 Aug18 (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
5  RED VENUS Jan24 Jan04 Dec10 Nov23 Sep26 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40    
6  SASSY CAT Dec14 Nov30 Sep29 Jul22 Jun01 (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS PARKSIDE Jan04 Dec15 Aug07 Jul10 Jun19 (lucarelli f)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 75% 0.30    
2  GO GO SADIE Dec14 Aug27 Aug08 Jul11 May07 (guerra jacque)VERGARA P 122 3.50 ★    
3  WHERE'S FRANKIE Dec17 Nov24 Sep14 Aug21 Jun02 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 ★    
4  SINGLE LADY Jan26 Jan17 Jan03     (vi)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00    
5  SPUN LINE Dec15 Sep24 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (brown jared)CORBETT W 122 12.00 ★    
6  DISCERNMENT Jan25 Dec27 Nov30 Nov07 Sep12 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 ★    
7  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jan09 Dec15 Nov23 Nov05 Sep12 (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00    
 
TUP-5   02/07/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOZO Jan11 Dec14 Apr20 Apr06 Mar14 (martinez esteba)CRUZ M 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 Jul13 (schnell don)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00 ★    
3  HEART ON THE RUN Jan02 Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 Sep14 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00    
4  A ROZE AND WINE Dec21 Nov21 Aug21 Jul17 Jul03 (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
5  COASTAL RUN Jan30 Jan11 Dec15 Jul30 Jul08 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 7% 14.10    
6  CAPITAL HEAT         (belvoir van)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 8.00    
7  RODEO ROSE Jan28 Jan11 Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 6.00    
8  MISSCZECH Jan25 Jan09 Dec17 Nov21 Oct09 (eidschun gr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 7% 13.40    
 
TUP-6   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Jul10 Jun24       (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
2  SPECIAL MOMENT Jan18 Oct22 Sep24 Sep02 Aug12 (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 8.00 ★    
3  I'M NOBLE Jan05 Aug14       (person a)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 9% 9.80    
4  BRIGHT MIND         (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 5.00 ★    
5  LEFT THE BAR         (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 10% 8.60    
6  MISTER MAFIOSO Jan18 Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Sep18 (baze robert)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 12.00    
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT         (bratcher ryan)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
8  THE GOLDEN EGG Jan05         (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.00 57% 0.80    
9  MY KACEJJ         (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
10  HE'S INIT TO WINIT         (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNMACHABLE Jan23 Jan10 Aug14 Jul30 Apr27 (mccartney jack)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 17.70    
2  COURAGEOUS Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 Nov08 Sep26 (ho)DA FAUSTO 122 15.00    
3  TORIADOR Jan10 Jun18 May14     (palma milton)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 12.00    
4  MYOPIC Jan23 Nov19 Nov08 Sep13 Aug03 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 ★    
5  AX MAN Jan23 Dec19 Sep07 Jun11 Apr27 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 27% 2.80    
6  SHINNY Jan12 Dec27 Dec08 Nov15 Sep17 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
7  THE BLACK STRAT Jan09 Nov28 Oct07 Sep13 Sep06 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00    
8  RACE HOME Jan23 Dec21 Sep05 Jul23 Jul04 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
 
TUP-8   02/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD RUSH CANDY Jan20 Sep03 Aug12 Jun11   (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.60    
2  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Jan24 Dec19 Nov19 Aug27 Jul30 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
SCR  GRAN MARTILLO         (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 44% 1.30    
4  TOIL AND TROUBLE Jan24 Dec28 Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar11 Jan28       (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 5.00    
6  A VIEW FROM ABOVE Jan11 Nov19 Sep17 Sep03 Aug14 (peery debbi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
7  BOLD VOYAGER Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 Jan16   (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
8  POVERTY BAY Jan24 Jan11 Dec01 Aug21 Jul31 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 6.00 ★    
9  TOOL TIME Jan11 Dec28 Nov04     (palma milton)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.