Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $11.40 $5.40 90%
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $19.90 $7.90 66%
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4/7)-(5/6/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-6-7 $40.80 $22.80 127%
TUP-3   DD (5/6/2)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $42.70 $30.70 256%
TUP-4   PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/1/3/7)-(2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-6-2 $46.80 $22.80 95%
TUP-5   EXA (7/10/2/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-3 $44.00 $24.00 120%
TUP-7   WIN (8/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $28.80 $20.80 260%
    EXA (8/9/2/7)-(8/9/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-8 $57.60 $41.60 260%
    TRI (8/9/2/7)-(8/9/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-8-9 $110.50 $86.50 360%
    SFT (8/9/2/7)-(8/9/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/7/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-8-9-7 $79.46 $69.86 728%
    DD (8/2)-(8/9/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-2 $22.50 $14.50 181%
    PK3 (7/10/2/3/4)-(8/2)-(8/9/2/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00  9/10-ALL-2 $93.70 $73.70 369%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAPPORT 2 3 1½ 2nk   12 1 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00 8% 11.30 4.70 W
ROYAL JOKER 6 1 3½ 32   32 2 (schnell don)TOHILL S 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20 P
GO LAKER GO 7 2 2½ 1nk   22 3 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 2.80 S
BLUE PARADISE (GB) 3 6 5 5   4 4 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 8.70  
DEVIL'S OFF DUTY 4 7 6 6   5 53 (peery debbie)LEON A 124 4.00 12.50  
BOURBON AND WATER 5 4 42 4   6 6 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 31% 2.30 4.80  
BIG PEN TEN 1 5 7 720¼   730¼ 744¼ (o'brien dan)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 15.00 39.80  
 
TUP-3   01/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:144     1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARBIE WARS 6 6 77 7   32 1nk (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 33% 2.00 2.20 W
SECRET MISTRESS 5 1 2 2½   1nk 2nk (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 4.20 P
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 1 3 3 3   4 3¼ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60 S
FAT AND FURIOUS 3 7 67 6   5 4½ (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 12% 7.40 3.40  
BREAKFAST BALL 2 2 1 1½   2nk 52 (whitehouse w)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 20.10  
RODEO ROSE 7 4 5 5   77 6 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 122 8.00 8% 12.10 17.20  
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 4 5 4 4   6 7 (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00 17.80  
 
TUP-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:22 :441 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND AWESOME 2 1 11 1   1 1½ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 39% 1.60 1.00 W
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
DON'T GET PICKLED 4 6 68 68   3 2½ (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 122 6.00 7% 12.70 9.70 P
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
ARIZONA KALEI 5 3 4 2   2 3 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 19% 4.30 2.10 S
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
BANGIE GO 1 4 3 4   4 4 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 8.20  
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUSTCALLHERAGGIE by CAUSE UR MINE)
DADS ESTRELLA 8 5 5 58   5 5 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00 23.20  
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
BOSS BRIDE 3 2 21 3   68 610½ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 13% 6.90 4.50  
  (by STREET BOSS out of WEDDING BLUSH by PURE PRIZE)
NATURAL IMMUNITY 6 7 812 715   715 713¼ (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 20.00 39.10  
  (by STREET BOSS out of GREAT EMMY M by LEMON DROP KID)
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 7 8 711 817½   821 823 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 122 30.00 57.10  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
 
TUP-5   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GALLANT OAK 9 1 4 21   2½ 1¼ (birdwell te)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 18% 4.60 2.60 W
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 3 3 1nk 11   1½ 2¼ (ortiz manue)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 7% 12.60 12.40 P
BREXTON 5 11 11 612½   511½ 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 12.00 8.80  
11  LAST RENEGADE 10 5 6 47   411 4 (chambers mike)MAWING A 122 4.50 4.70  
FIRST COUNT 8 4 31 32   3 57 (evans justi)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 12.00 27.90  
TRACK BOUND 4 10 75 59   614 6 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 6% 15.00 9.60  
CAPTAIN DASHI 6 8 9 712½   714 712½ (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 25.30  
ELUSIVE LOVE 2 7 8 918   928½ 823¾ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 12.00 15% 5.90 4.10  
12  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 11 9 10 815   825 924 (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00 33.40  
CLASS PROOF 7 2 2nk 10100   10100 10100 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 25% 3.00 5.20  
RIVIERA CHAMP 1 6 52 11100   11100 11100 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00 10.30  
SCR  FOREMAN               (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
 
TUP-6   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 C/G PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:222 :443 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA ANDREW 6 1 2nk 2½   1nk 1 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 1.60 62% 0.60 0.70 W
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
BRANDYN 4 2 1nk 1½   2nk 2 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 3.40 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
ACCELERITAS 5 5 5 3   38 3 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 2.90 S
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
CHARLIE'S MAN 3 6 6 610½   511 49 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 12.80  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
JUSTIN AZTECA 2 3 3 59   410 510¼ (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 9% 9.70 7.50  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RAGING STORM by ILLINOIS STORM)
LOTSA SKY 1 4 4 49   617 621¾ (perkins)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 30.00 38.00  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HINDU KUSH by RED SKY'S)
SCR  BRENSON BUNS               (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 30.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of HARD BUNS by ROCK HARD TEN)
SCR  PANZER PRIDE               (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 122 20.00    
  (by TIZ A MINISTER out of PROSPECTING PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
 
TUP-7   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :433 :56     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. STANG 2 6 4 4   1nk 12 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 6.00 9% 10.10 13.40 W
TIGER DAD 8 1 3½ 3.2   3½ 22 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 49% 1.00 2.10 P
RAMBLIN' MAN 9 8 7 86   53 3 (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 3.00 12% 7.30 2.70 S
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 7 7 6 5   6 4 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 5.00 7% 13.30 4.50  
RONAMO 3 9 9 99   8 5 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 28.10  
TACTICAL ATTACK 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 6 (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 15.00 36.80  
JAZZ HANDS 6 2 2½ 2nk   4 7 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 4.00  
SILVERBULLITBADGER 4 5 8 7   7 810 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 43.10  
AXEL STEEL 5 4 5 6   9 910¾ (dennison h)TOHILL S 124 10.00 6.10  
 
TUP-8   01/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:122     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET SHADOW 2 7 714½ 77   2½ 1¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00 4.80  
DIRT FLIRT 6 4 3 3   1½ 2¼ (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 12.20 7.30 P
LOOKIN SO LUCKY 4 6 611 6   6 3 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 4.80 S
IN THE RED 1 1 5 5   5 4 (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 8.20  
LOOPY 7 2 21 2   4¾ 5 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 15.80  
JOY IN THE BATTLE 5 3 11 1   3½ 66 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 3.00 10% 8.80 1.60  
DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER 3 5 46 44   7 720¼ (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 8.00 11.50  
TIME FOR GOLD 8 8 829½ 825   827¼ 838¼ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 36% 1.80 4.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.