Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - January 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2/4/7)-(5/6/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(6/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(6/1/3/7)-(2/5/3/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/7)-(6/1/3/7/5)-(6/1/3/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/3/7)-(2/5/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3/7)-(2/5/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/4)-(2/5/3/4/1)-(2/5/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/5/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4)-(8/2) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-5   WIN (7/10/2/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/10/2/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/10/2/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4)-(7/10/2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/10/2/3/4)-(8/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/10/2/3/4)-(8/2)-(8/9/2/7) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-6   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/4/3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/4/3/5)-(8/2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2)-(8/9/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(8/9/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TUP-7   WIN (8/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/7)-(8/9/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/7)-(8/9/2/7/3)-(8/9/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/2/7)-(8/4/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (8/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/6)-(8/4/5/6/3)-(8/4/5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   01/28/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG PEN TEN         (o'brien dan)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 15.00    
2  RAPPORT         (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124 6.00 8% 11.30    
3  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 Nov09 Sep30 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
4  DEVIL'S OFF DUTY Jan10 Dec20 Jul02 Jun10   (peery debbie)LEON A 124 4.00 ★    
5  BOURBON AND WATER Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 Nov12 Aug29 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
6  ROYAL JOKER Jan17 Dec26       (schnell don)TOHILL S 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
7  GO LAKER GO Sep17 Aug27 Aug07 Jun19 Mar22 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-3   01/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) Jan10 Nov18 Sep17 Aug26 Jul31 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  BREAKFAST BALL Dec22 Nov15 Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 (whitehouse w)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00    
3  FAT AND FURIOUS Jan10 Dec13 Nov12 Aug28 Jul31 (woolley be)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 3.00 12% 7.40    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Sep10 Jun06 May20 Apr11 Mar22 (moreno carlo)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 6.00    
5  SECRET MISTRESS Jan11 Dec19 Nov15 Sep14 Sep03 (sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
6  BARBIE WARS Jan09 Dec19 Nov29 Nov07 Sep29 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
7  RODEO ROSE Jan11 Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 Sep03 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 122 8.00 8% 12.10    
 
TUP-4   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANGIE GO Jan07 Dec10 Nov14 Sep15 Aug20 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 ★    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUSTCALLHERAGGIE by CAUSE UR MINE)
2  BEYOND AWESOME Jan07 Dec21 Dec10 Nov14 May07 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
3  BOSS BRIDE Jan07 Nov29 Nov04 Sep05   (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
  (by STREET BOSS out of WEDDING BLUSH by PURE PRIZE)
4  DON'T GET PICKLED Jan07 Dec21 Nov25 Nov04   (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 122 6.00 7% 12.70    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of C C'S PRIDE by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  ARIZONA KALEI Jan07 Dec10 Oct04 Aug26 Jul08 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 19% 4.30    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
6  NATURAL IMMUNITY Jan07 Dec14 May07 Apr13   (story chad)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 20.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GREAT EMMY M by LEMON DROP KID)
7  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Jan17 Jan07 Dec20 Dec10 Nov12 (torres-casas al)CRUZ M 122 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
8  DADS ESTRELLA Jan07 Dec20 Nov29     (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
 
TUP-5   01/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVIERA CHAMP Dec10 Nov28 Nov09 Sep15 Sep04 (birdwell ten)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
2  ELUSIVE LOVE Oct16 Oct10 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 12.00 15% 5.90    
3  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Dec13 Nov16 Oct22 Sep24 Aug23 (ortiz manue)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 7% 12.60    
4  TRACK BOUND Dec13 Nov23 Nov05 Sep14 Aug26 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 8.00 6% 15.00    
5  BREXTON Jan03 Dec19 Nov23 Nov08 Oct25 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 122 12.00    
6  CAPTAIN DASHI Dec13 Nov16 Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 (ra)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00    
7  CLASS PROOF Nov19 Oct30 Oct08 Aug26 Jul15 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  FIRST COUNT Jan01 Nov08 Oct25 Sep17 Aug31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 12.00    
SCR  FOREMAN Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 Nov16 Nov05 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00    
10  GALLANT OAK Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 Sep03 (birdwell te)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
11  LAST RENEGADE Jan10 Dec19 Nov19 Feb07 Jan23 (chambers mike)MAWING A 122 4.50    
12  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Jan19 Dec20       (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00    
 
TUP-6   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($35K) 3 C/G PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA SKY Jan14 Nov07       (perkins)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 30.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HINDU KUSH by RED SKY'S)
2  JUSTIN AZTECA Nov07 Apr13       (story chad)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.00 9% 9.70    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of RAGING STORM by ILLINOIS STORM)
3  CHARLIE'S MAN Dec10 Nov12 Sep18 Aug20   (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 ★    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  BRANDYN Dec10 Nov15 Sep19 Aug27   (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 ★    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CATLADYDUE by ORIENTATE)
5  ACCELERITAS Dec21 Nov15 Oct01 Sep12 Aug06 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 ★    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  PANZER PRIDE Dec10 Nov12 Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 122 20.00    
  (by TIZ A MINISTER out of PROSPECTING PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  BRENSON BUNS Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 Nov12   (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 30.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of HARD BUNS by ROCK HARD TEN)
8  ARIZONA ANDREW Dec10 Oct04 Sep05 Aug20 Aug08 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
 
TUP-7   01/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($26.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACTICAL ATTACK Jan07         (sepich f)CORBETT W 122 15.00    
2  MR. STANG Jan10 Dec14 Nov21 Aug28 Jul30 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 6.00 9% 10.10    
3  RONAMO Jan10 Nov29 Nov04 Sep19 Sep05 (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 ★    
4  SILVERBULLITBADGER Sep14 Aug20 Jul30 Jun27 May22 (lewis kevin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
5  AXEL STEEL Jan10 Dec14 Nov07 Oct10 Aug14 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00    
6  JAZZ HANDS Dec21 Nov28 Apr03 Feb05 Jan09 (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00    
7  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jan07 Dec13 Nov28 Nov09   (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 5.00 7% 13.30    
8  TIGER DAD Jan10 Nov26 Nov04 Aug27 Jul10 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
9  RAMBLIN' MAN Dec21 Nov04 Sep19 Aug20 Jul23 (owens kory)VERGARA P 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
 
TUP-8   01/28/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN THE RED Dec15 Sep07 Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 (pierce mich)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
2  STREET SHADOW Jan11 Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 Aug06 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00    
3  DON'TPASSTHEPEPPER Jan03 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Sep19 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 122 8.00 ★    
4  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
5  JOY IN THE BATTLE Jan09 Dec21 Nov30 Nov12 Sep17 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 10% 8.80    
6  DIRT FLIRT Jan09 Dec14 Nov14 Aug15 May07 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 5.00 8% 12.20    
7  LOOPY Dec21 Dec08 Nov26 Sep28 Aug16 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00    
8  TIME FOR GOLD Jan19 Jan02 Dec14 Aug19 Jul03 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.