Handicappers' Race Results
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Monday - January 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TUP-2   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 0 $12.20  
TUP-3   Win (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 4.60
TUP-4   Win (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $9.80  
TUP-5   Win (9/5/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-6   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 0 $7.40  
TUP-7   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $9.40  
TUP-8   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :451 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAIT A SEC 1 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 43% 1.30 1.30 W
2  TRULY A MESS 2 5 53½ 3½   2nk 2½ (bullene michael)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 3.10 P
3  LIP'S OF WINE 3 6 67 57½   44½ 3¾ (morales guille)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 ★ 31.10 S
5  RATTLEME 5 1 2½ 2nk   32 43¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★ 8.80  
4  BETTY'S BAR 4 3 32 43   54¾ 53¼ (martinez esteban)CRUZ M 124 2.00 11% 8.00 1.30  
6  CAROLYN'S WAY 6 2 42½ 612½   615¾ 617¾ (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00 35.20  
 
TUP-2   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  COASTAL RUN 5 1 1nk 1nk   15½ 13½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 4.00 ★ 5.10  
6  PALACE STAR 6 3 3.2 31   37 23½ (perkins franc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 30.30  
1  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 1 2 43¼ 44½   48½ 34¼ (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★ 4.10 S
3  SHOE GAME 3 6 75¾ 77¾   69 45¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 72% 0.40 1.70  
4  BENGAL TIGER 4 5 2nk 2nk   25½ 57 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 122 3.50 ★ 1.50  
7  THATSALOTOFBLING 7 7 53¼ 55   711½ 68¾ (schnell don)CRUZ M 122 10.00 15.30  
2  TIMBERLAKE GAGE 2 4 64¾ 65¼   59 78¾ (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50 ★ 15.90  
 
TUP-3   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PARLEY STREET 7 7 62¾ 56   42 1¾ (ferguson curt)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 32% 2.20 3.30 W
2  DEVIL'S TEETH 2 3 2nk 32   1nk 2¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30 2.70 P
6  ARIMONY 6 2 51¼ 21½   3½ 32 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00 30.20  
3  THE PUBLIC HALO 3 5 1nk 11½   2nk 42 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 ★ 4.40  
4  ECHO ALPHA SIX 4 8 87¼ 78½   52¼ 53 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 10.00 23.80  
8  SIDE STREET DAVE 8 1 3.2 43   64¼ 64¼ (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 4.80  
5  TUMAC MOUNTAIN 5 6 73¾ 66   75¼ 76¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 ★ 11.00  
1  GO ADMIRAL GO 1 4 41¼ 811   89¼ 87 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 ★ 3.00  
 
TUP-4   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:234 :464 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MARGOT'S GIRL 10 7 68¼ 67½   23½ 12½ (bullene michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 3.90  
7  BAKERSFIELD BABE 7 1 2nk 1½   13½ 22½ (simpson shannon)DEONAUTH P 124 6.00 ★ 5.20 P
8  LOVELY LOLA 8 5 45½ 46½   57½ 33 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 4.00 15% 5.50 2.30 S
9  WHAT A WAY TO GO 9 6 811¼ 811   68½ 43¾ (trela rosemary)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 34.90  
4  EXTRA SAUCE 4 4 34 34½   35 54 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 13.00  
5  BOOSICAL LADY 5 3 55¾ 57   47 64¾ (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 12.00 7.10  
3  FULL OF WINE (ARG) 3 9 911¾ 912½   811 79½ (wheeler travis)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 8% 11.20 42.00  
6  REAL GOOD VYBZ 6 8 78¾ 78   79½ 89¾ (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 8% 11.00 8.40  
1  DEELITEFUL LIZZY 1 10 1014¼ 1015   913½ 913½ (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00 65.50  
2  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 2 2 1nk 2½   1015 1022¼ (grissom rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 45% 1.20 3.20  
 
TUP-5   01/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:114 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET SAVANT 2 3 42 43 41¾ 3½ 11 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 10% 8.80 1.70 W
6  AGADOR SPARTACUS 6 4 32 32½ 31½ 1½ 21 (brinkerhoff val)CRUZ M 124 8.00 2.30  
1  INESPERADO (FR) 1 7 53 54 65¼ 61¼ 32 (cassidy james)VERGARA P 124 3.50 2.90  
5  ROYAL AIR FORCE 5 6 65 65 54¼ 41 43¼ (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 4.50 26% 2.80 4.90  
8  DODGER BLUE 7 5 75½ 76 76¼ 72¾ 54 (rollins sco)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00 36.90  
4  INCREDIBE MO 4 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 69¼ (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00 16.40  
3  PRECEDENT 3 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 51¼ 712¾ (gleason m)MAWING A 124 5.00 9% 10.20 9.50  
SCR  AWESOME MOVE               (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM               (barraza ram)ANAYA V 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
 
TUP-6   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:111     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JACANA 3 8 811 66   41¼ 1¼ (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★ 2.70  
1  KEBA LUCKY DAY 1 4 31½ 32   1nk 2¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 78% 0.30 3.10 P
7  LOW DOSE 6 1 11 2nk   2nk 34 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 5.70  
5  CURIOUS INJI 5 3 21 1nk   3.2 44 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 ★ 1.60  
8  EARLYNTHEMORN 7 5 54½ 44   52¾ 54½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00 ★ 34.80  
4  WISHFUL WON 4 2 42½ 54½   73¾ 66¼ (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00 84.50  
2  LUCKY LONG LEGS 2 7 66½ 88   63¼ 76½ (peer)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00 5.40  
9  KID CAT 8 6 76½ 76½   84¾ 87¼ (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 36.30  
SCR  FEARLESS FACTOR               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:222 :442 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CHASING FAME 8 1 42 31½   2nk 11½ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00 3.70  
4  LORD BRANCUSI 4 3 2nk 2nk   1nk 21½ (evans justin)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.20 P
7  GRAY MAGICIAN 7 7 73¾ 43½   44½ 32 (silva jr)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 12% 7.10 4.90 S
2  STAND TO 2 4 1nk 1nk   31½ 45¼ (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00 5.50  
6  YOU'RE THE CAUSE 6 5 63¾ 75¼   68½ 57 (van deb)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★ 7.30  
5  PISTOL POWER 5 2 3½ 65¼   79½ 67½ (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 8.00 ★ 11.60  
1  YOU SPLIT TENS 1 6 53½ 53¾   57 78¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 35% 1.90 4.70  
3  BANGO FOR BUCKS 3 8 85¼ 88¼   815 812½ (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 5.00 17.90  
 
TUP-8   01/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:491 1:134     1:323   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JOKER MATT 4 2 43 4¼   12 1½ (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 8.00 23% 3.40 1.90 W
6  MOOGIE SON 5 8 75½ 83¼   42½ 2½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 27% 2.70 4.80 P
7  LIGHT CRUISER 6 6 53½ 51¾   22 32 (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.70 S
9  COLOR ME LEGENDARY 8 5 65 62¼   32½ 43 (lund valorie)CORBETT W 122 8.00 15.60  
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION 3 3 3½ 2nk   52¾ 53½ (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 31.80  
10  COASTAL WATERS 9 9 96¾ 93¾   64¾ 65½ (lund valorie)MAWING A 122 10.00 11.40  
8  LITTLE RED RIFLE 7 7 86½ 72¾   88¾ 711¼ (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 31.80  
1  NOTACRY 1 1 1½ 1nk   910¼ 813¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 45.80  
2  OUR VALLEY 2 4 2½ 3.2   77¾ 914 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 6.00 ★ 2.70  
SCR  PAUL VINCENTS POEM               (trela rosem)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.