Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - January 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/5/3)-(1/2/4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(3)-(2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-2   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/4/2/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/4/2/1/5)-(3/4/2/1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (3)-(2/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (3)-(2/7)-(2/8/6/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/3/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/3/1/5)-(2/7/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7)-(2/8/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(2/8/6/3)-(5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/3)-(2/8/6/3/7)-(2/8/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/3)-(5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/3)-(5/2/3)-(1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-5   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1)-(1/4/7) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-6   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/5/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/5/8)-(1/3/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1)-(1/4/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/4/7)-(6/7/5) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-7   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7/5/6)-(1/4/7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   01/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAIT A SEC Jan10 Nov23 Nov07 Sep30 Sep18 (schnell don)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
2  TRULY A MESS Jan17 Nov27 Oct30 Sep30 Sep09 (bullene micha)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  LIP'S OF WINE Dec15 Nov12 Sep19 Aug27 Jul30 (morales guil)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 15.00 ★    
4  BETTY'S BAR Sep08 Aug14 Jul28 Jul03 May28 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.00 11% 8.00    
5  RATTLEME Dec14 Oct14 Sep15 Sep03 Jul30 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 ★    
6  CAROLYN'S WAY Nov15 Sep19 Sep10 Aug27 Jun19 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 20.00    
 
TUP-2   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Jan17 Jan02 Dec17 Nov23 Nov04 (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★    
2  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 Aug20 Jul04 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 4.50 ★    
3  SHOE GAME Jan11 Jan03 Dec21 Nov28 Nov14 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 72% 0.40    
4  BENGAL TIGER Jan11 Dec27 Nov23 Nov08 Aug26 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 122 3.50 ★    
5  COASTAL RUN Jan11 Dec15 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 4.00 ★    
6  PALACE STAR Jan11 Dec17 Nov23 Nov04 Sep19 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
7  THATSALOTOFBLING Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Aug03 Jul19 (schnell don)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
 
TUP-3   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GO ADMIRAL GO Dec13 Nov28 Sep24 Aug01 Jul18 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 ★    
2  DEVIL'S TEETH Dec10 Nov26 Nov09 Aug19 Jan17 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
3  THE PUBLIC HALO Jan17 Dec20 Nov30 Nov04 Sep05 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 ★    
4  ECHO ALPHA SIX Dec26 Dec10 Nov21 Jul27 Jul07 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 10.00    
5  TUMAC MOUNTAIN Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 Sep17 Sep03 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 4.00 ★    
6  ARIMONY Jan12 Nov30 Aug24 Aug06 May07 (torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 8.00    
7  PARLEY STREET Jan10 Dec20 Nov15 Nov04 Jul30 (ferguson cur)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00 32% 2.20    
8  SIDE STREET DAVE Jan10 Nov30 Nov05 Aug24 Aug04 (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
 
TUP-4   01/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEELITEFUL LIZZY Dec22 Mar11 Feb11 Jan16   (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 124 20.00    
2  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Jan09 May07 Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 (grissom rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
3  FULL OF WINE (ARG)         (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 8% 11.20    
4  EXTRA SAUCE Jan09         (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
5  BOOSICAL LADY May02 Apr21       (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 12.00    
6  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jan17 Jan09 Dec19 May14 Apr24 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 8% 11.00    
7  BAKERSFIELD BABE Jan09 Nov15 Sep17 Sep04 Apr21 (simpson shanno)DEONAUTH P 124 6.00 ★    
8  LOVELY LOLA Jan08 Apr29 Apr10 Mar12 Feb06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 15% 5.50    
9  WHAT A WAY TO GO Jan08 Dec14       (trela rosema)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
10  MARGOT'S GIRL Jan08 Nov04 Oct08 Aug26 Aug06 (bullene mi)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   01/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INESPERADO (FR) Dec16 Dec03 Jan08     (cassidy james)VERGARA P 124 3.50    
2  SWEET SAVANT Jan07 Dec17 Apr19 Mar23 Feb13 (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 10% 8.80    
3  PRECEDENT Jan07 Dec26 Nov05 Oct15 Sep17 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 5.00 9% 10.20    
4  INCREDIBE MO Jan07 Dec17 Aug29 Aug06 May07 (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 6.00    
5  ROYAL AIR FORCE Jan07 Dec17 Sep25 Aug14 Jul24 (krasner cindy)CORBETT W 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
6  AGADOR SPARTACUS Jan20 Dec31 Dec16 Nov26 Nov04 (brinkerhoff val)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  IMPASSIONED CLAIM Jan03         (barraza r)ANAYA V 124 12.00 6% 15.80    
8  DODGER BLUE Jan07 Dec01       (rollins s)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
SCR  AWESOME MOVE Dec03 Oct30       (bi)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-6   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEBA LUCKY DAY Jan04 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 Mar17 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 78% 0.30    
2  LUCKY LONG LEGS Jan04 Dec19       (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 3.00    
3  JACANA Jan11 Dec10 Nov16 Sep03 Jul30 (troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 ★    
4  WISHFUL WON Dec19 Aug29 Jul31 Jul04 Apr14 (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00    
5  CURIOUS INJI Jan14 Dec13 Jul03 May26 Apr08 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  FEARLESS FACTOR Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 Aug12 Jul23 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 ★    
7  LOW DOSE Jan14 Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 Nov05 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
8  EARLYNTHEMORN Jan04 Aug01 Jun25 May06 Apr08 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 12.00 ★    
9  KID CAT Jan04 Dec19 Nov07 Sep17 Aug29 (whitehouse w)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   01/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU SPLIT TENS Jan19 Dec21 Nov29 Nov08 Sep07 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 35% 1.90    
2  STAND TO Jan10 Dec13 Nov21 Sep17 Sep09 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 6.00    
3  BANGO FOR BUCKS Dec21 Apr21 Mar30 Feb18 Jan28 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 122 5.00    
4  LORD BRANCUSI Nov20 Jul17 Jun04 Apr29 Apr03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  PISTOL POWER Jan12 Dec15 Nov15 Sep17 Aug26 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 8.00 ★    
6  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Oct16 Sep09 Aug14 Jul22 Jul09 (van d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 ★    
7  GRAY MAGICIAN Dec20 Nov21 Nov08 Sep19 Aug20 (silva j)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 12% 7.10    
8  CHASING FAME Dec13 Jul30 Jul09 Apr05 Mar09 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   01/30/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOTACRY Jan11 Dec17 Sep15 Aug25 Jul28 (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
2  OUR VALLEY Jan07 Dec27 Nov29 Nov12 Oct15 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 6.00 ★    
3  EXECUTIVE ACTION Dec28 Dec08 Sep11 Jul23 Jul09 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00    
SCR  PAUL VINCENTS POEM Jan15 Dec20 Nov14 Jan07   (trela ros)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 ★    
5  JOKER MATT Jan07 Dec17 Nov28 Nov15 Nov04 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
6  MOOGIE SON Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Sep02 Aug05 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
7  LIGHT CRUISER Jan07 Dec17 Nov15 Oct06 Aug29 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
8  LITTLE RED RIFLE Jan07 Dec17 Oct01 Sep21 Aug19 (howe s)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
9  COLOR ME LEGENDARY Jan02 Dec20 Nov19 Sep15 Sep04 (lund valorie)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
10  COASTAL WATERS Jan07 Dec17 Nov23 Nov15 Sep15 (lund valorie)MAWING A 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.