Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-2 $18.00 $2.00 13%
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5/2)-(6/7/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  8-2-6 $28.25 $4.25 18%
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $20.80 $8.80 73%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 8 7 52 41½   21½ 1¼ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 12% 7.10 1.80 W
2  CAUSE AND EFFECT 2 2 62½ 72¾   31½ 2¼ (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 3.60 P
6  WICKED BLUE 6 8 86¾ 86¾   73 3¼ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 40% 1.50 2.80 S
1  WHOS DALLINS DADDY 1 3 1½ 1½   11½ 41 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 23.60  
5  ZATTER 5 5 31 52½   62¾ 51¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 12% 7.20 7.00  
3  READY TO FORGIVE 3 1 2½ 31½   41¾ 62½ (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00 29.30  
7  NEVADAN 7 6 41 2½   52¾ 73 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.20 5.10  
4  KING LEBRON 4 4 72¾ 62¾   83 85 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 12.20  
 
TUP-4   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS GHISLAINE 3 8 43½ 42½ 31½ 1nk 1¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 13% 6.80 2.90 W
5  PINK CHANNEL 5 2 21½ 21 11 2nk 2¾ (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 5.00 6.00  
2  WALK SOFTLY 2 3 32 31½ 43 43 31¼ (martinez este)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 30% 2.30 4.20 S
8  AKASI 8 6 78 74¼ 64 31½ 41½ (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 8.00 10% 8.80 15.00  
6  COME CORRECT 6 9 67½ 64 54 53½ 52¾ (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 15.90 12.20  
7  HELLO BABY 7 4 53½ 54 77½ 610½ 69¼ (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 15.00 26.90  
4  POETIC PURSUIT 4 1 11½ 11 21 711 724½ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 16% 5.30 1.10  
1  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 1 5 811½ 89¼ 814½ 825 831½ (perkins)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 92.30  
9  WEGOTTODRINKING 9 7 912 924¼ 939½ 950 981 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 12.00 39.70  
 
TUP-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BIG JACK 2 1 2nk 21   2nk 1¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 7.50  
6  CARRIZO SPRINGS 4 2 3½ 11   1nk 2¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 ★ 2.80 P
7  BARON'S SONG 5 3 43 32   32½ 31¼ (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 8.00 1.40  
4  IMA CARPE DIEM 3 6 57½ 53½   43 43½ (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 4.80  
9  NORTHERN COCKTAIL 6 5 67¾ 43½   55½ 58 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★ 2.90  
2  BRENSON BUNS 1 4 1nk 64   610½ 616 (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 15.20  
SCR  BURNIN VERNON               (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  SIX SHOTS OF T               (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  THE RONALD               (buechler si)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-6   02/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:214 :444 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JUST PICK IT UP 2 4 1nk 11   14 16½ (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8% 11.10 2.80 W
4  BUMPY CUP 4 1 2nk 21   24 26½ (villamar ca)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 62% 0.60 4.70 P
11  A GEM IS A GEM 10 3 42½ 44½   36½ 37¾ (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00 19.90  
6  ROUGE SUNSET 6 6 86¼ 910¼   59 49 (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 6.00 6.80  
8  LIVE A GOOD LIFE 8 9 97¼ 89¾   69½ 59¼ (nu)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00 ★ 23.60  
9  TENACIOUS LION 9 7 75¼ 57   810¼ 610 (lucarelli fra)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 11.30  
7  OUR EMPIRE 7 8 65 67¼   710 710¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 9% 10.70 1.60  
1  PROFOUND ONE 1 5 54 77¼   49 811½ (eidschun )VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 ★ 37.10  
3  MARK OF VALOR 3 10 1013¼ 1016¼   913¼ 912 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 56.10  
5  STYLISH ELEGANCE 5 2 31 34½   1019¼ 1021¼ (bu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 7.40  
SCR  IRISH KNIGHT               (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:103 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAVES MILL ROAD 1 5 41¾ 2nk 2nk 21 1nk (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 6.50  
2  THE BEAT 2 2 1nk 4¼ 1nk 11 2nk (oberholtzer kev)CORBETT W 122 6.00 10% 8.70 6.70 P
10  ATOMIC CANDY 9 1 31½ 1nk 31 31 3.2 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★ 1.50 S
6  SOCAL RED 5 8 97¼ 97½ 99¾ 54¾ 4½ (evans justin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 13.40  
9  THE GREEN CRUSADER 8 7 52¼ 5¾ 43½ 65¼ 53¼ (troiani niccolo)VERGARA P 122 8.00 61% 0.70 1.40  
8  LOLLY EXPRESS 7 9 86¾ 85 89¼ 76¼ 66 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 6% 16.30 30.00  
4  BARBARIAN 3 3 2nk 3.2 55 44½ 77½ (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 18.80  
7  LINCHTOWN 6 6 62¾ 61¾ 67½ 88¾ 89 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 8.00 38.20  
5  POPS AWESOME 4 4 74¼ 74¾ 77¾ 99¼ 99½ (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 35.20  
SCR  TOIL AND TROUBLE               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:252     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZUMURUDEE 4 7 74¾ 73¼ 42¼ 31½ 11¾ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 2.50  
6  RONALD R (IRE) 5 3 63¼ 62¼ 3.2 21 21¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 ★ 1.30 P
9  RIVER ROSE 8 5 41½ 3½ 1nk 11 32 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50 2.80  
2  EROTIC 2 2 31½ 41½ 62½ 42½ 44 (potts an)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 12.90  
7  CATS TOUCH 6 4 2½ 2½ 52¼ 55 54¼ (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 33% 2.00 15.20  
3  VINTAGE KITTEN 3 8 97¼ 96¼ 99 76½ 67¼ (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
1  RANCHER 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 66½ 79¾ (esquibel mark)ANAYA V 122 20.00 78.40  
10  FINAL ROSE 9 6 53 52 74½ 810½ 815¼ (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 15.00 42.10  
8  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) 7 9 84¾ 84¾ 88½ 914½ 917¼ (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 6% 16.50 10.70  
SCR  FAMOUS ROCK STAR               (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT               (moreno carl)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.