Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
TUP-4   Win (2/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
TUP-5   Win (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.00  
TUP-6   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.60 $7.60 1.60
TUP-7   Win (9/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $15.00  
TUP-8   Win (7/11/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 8 7 52 4   2 1¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 12% 7.10 1.80 W
CAUSE AND EFFECT 2 2 6 7   3 2¼ (wheeler travi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 3.60 P
WICKED BLUE 6 8 8 8   73 3¼ (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 40% 1.50 2.80 S
WHOS DALLINS DADDY 1 3 1½ 1½   1 41 (potts ashley )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00 23.60  
ZATTER 5 5 31 5   6 5 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 12% 7.20 7.00  
READY TO FORGIVE 3 1 2½ 3   4 6 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00 29.30  
NEVADAN 7 6 41 2½   5 73 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.20 5.10  
KING LEBRON 4 4 7 6   83 85 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 12.20  
 
TUP-4   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:134 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS GHISLAINE 3 8 4 4 3 1nk 1¾ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 13% 6.80 2.90 W
PINK CHANNEL 5 2 2 21 11 2nk 2¾ (eidschun gregory)CRUZ M 124 5.00 6.00  
WALK SOFTLY 2 3 32 3 43 43 3 (martinez esteba)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 30% 2.30 4.20 S
AKASI 8 6 78 7 64 3 4 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 8.00 10% 8.80 15.00  
COME CORRECT 6 9 6 64 54 5 5 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 15.90 12.20  
HELLO BABY 7 4 5 54 7 610½ 6 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 15.00 26.90  
POETIC PURSUIT 4 1 1 11 21 711 724½ (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 16% 5.30 1.10  
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 1 5 811½ 8 814½ 825 831½ (perkins f)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 92.30  
WEGOTTODRINKING 9 7 912 924¼ 939½ 950 981 (nunnally jennife)ANAYA V 124 12.00 39.70  
 
TUP-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG JACK 2 1 2nk 21   2nk 1¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00 7.50  
CARRIZO SPRINGS 4 2 3½ 11   1nk 2¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 2.80 P
BARON'S SONG 5 3 43 32   3 3 (zimmerman p)ANAYA V 121 8.00 1.40  
IMA CARPE DIEM 3 6 5 5   43 4 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 4.80  
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 6 5 6 4   5 58 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 4.50 2.90  
BRENSON BUNS 1 4 1nk 64   610½ 616 (williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00 15.20  
SCR  BURNIN VERNON               (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
SCR  SIX SHOTS OF T               (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
SCR  THE RONALD               (buechler simo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
 
TUP-6   02/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:214 :444 :563     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST PICK IT UP 2 4 1nk 11   14 1 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8% 11.10 2.80 W
BUMPY CUP 4 1 2nk 21   24 2 (villamar cand)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 62% 0.60 4.70 P
11  A GEM IS A GEM 10 3 4 4   3 3 (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00 19.90  
ROUGE SUNSET 6 6 8 910¼   59 49 (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 122 6.00 6.80  
LIVE A GOOD LIFE 8 9 9 8   6 5 (nunn)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00 23.60  
TENACIOUS LION 9 7 7 57   810¼ 610 (lucarelli frank)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 11.30  
OUR EMPIRE 7 8 65 6   710 710¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 5.00 9% 10.70 1.60  
PROFOUND ONE 1 5 54 7   49 811½ (eidschun gr)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 37.10  
MARK OF VALOR 3 10 1013¼ 1016¼   913¼ 912 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00 56.10  
STYLISH ELEGANCE 5 2 31 3   1019¼ 1021¼ (bull)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00 7.40  
SCR  IRISH KNIGHT               (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
 
TUP-7   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:103 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAVES MILL ROAD 1 5 4 2nk 2nk 21 1nk (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00 6.50  
THE BEAT 2 2 1nk 4¼ 1nk 11 2nk (oberholtzer kevin)CORBETT W 122 6.00 10% 8.70 6.70 P
10  ATOMIC CANDY 9 1 3 1nk 31 31 3.2 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 1.50 S
SOCAL RED 5 8 9 9 9 5 4½ (evans justin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 13.40  
THE GREEN CRUSADER 8 7 5 5¾ 4 6 5 (troiani niccolo)VERGARA P 122 8.00 61% 0.70 1.40  
LOLLY EXPRESS 7 9 8 85 8 7 66 (bullene micha)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 6% 16.30 30.00  
BARBARIAN 3 3 2nk 3.2 55 4 7 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 18.80  
LINCHTOWN 6 6 6 6 6 8 89 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 8.00 38.20  
POPS AWESOME 4 4 7 7 7 9 9 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 122 12.00 35.20  
SCR  TOIL AND TROUBLE               (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
 
TUP-8   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:252     1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZUMURUDEE 4 7 7 7 4 3 1 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50 2.50  
RONALD R (IRE) 5 3 6 6 3.2 21 2 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 1.30 P
RIVER ROSE 8 5 4 3½ 1nk 11 32 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 3.50 2.80  
EROTIC 2 2 3 4 6 4 44 (potts ann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 12.90  
CATS TOUCH 6 4 2½ 2½ 5 55 5 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 33% 2.00 15.20  
VINTAGE KITTEN 3 8 9 9 99 7 6 (nunnally je)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00 19.20  
RANCHER 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 6 7 (esquibel mark)ANAYA V 122 20.00 78.40  
10  FINAL ROSE 9 6 53 52 7 810½ 815¼ (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 15.00 42.10  
PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) 7 9 8 8 8 914½ 917¼ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 6% 16.50 10.70  
SCR  FAMOUS ROCK STAR               (hernandez miguel )CORBETT W 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT               (moreno carlos)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.