Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5/2)-(6/7/8/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(2/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6)-(2/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-5   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/1/8)-(4/7/2/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(9/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(9/2/8)-(7/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-7   WIN (9/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/2/8)-(9/2/8/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/2/8)-(9/2/8/10)-(9/2/8/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/2/8)-(7/8/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (7/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/3)-(7/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/3)-(7/8/6/3)-(7/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/02/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHOS DALLINS DADDY Jan12 Dec26 Dec13 Nov09 Sep02 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 8.00    
2  CAUSE AND EFFECT Dec26 Dec01 Nov04 Sep17 Sep10 (wheeler tra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★    
3  READY TO FORGIVE Jan12 Dec27 Dec15 Nov25 Jun25 (william)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 122 6.00    
4  KING LEBRON Aug29 Aug15 Jul18 Jun27 May02 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
5  ZATTER Jan18 Jan07 Dec13 Sep11 Aug27 (toye joe)ANAYA V 122 8.00 12% 7.20    
6  WICKED BLUE Jan02 Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 Sep24 (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  NEVADAN Jan18 Dec26 Apr25 Mar15 Feb15 (asprino alfredo)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
8  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jan18 Jan09 Dec13 Jul23 Jul09 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
TUP-4   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Jan10 Dec10 Nov16 Sep17 Aug15 (perkins)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
2  WALK SOFTLY Jan10 Nov19 Oct26 Aug21 Jul30 (martinez e)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
3  MISS GHISLAINE Jan10 Jan02 Jul01 Apr20 Mar09 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
4  POETIC PURSUIT Jan07 Nov14 Oct02 Jul17   (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  PINK CHANNEL Jan10 Dec22 Sep28 Aug28 Aug16 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
6  COME CORRECT Jan17 Dec22 Aug25 Jul24 Jun26 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 15.90    
7  HELLO BABY Dec22 May03       (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 15.00    
8  AKASI Jan12 Dec22 Nov12 Sep18 Sep04 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 8.00 10% 8.80    
9  WEGOTTODRINKING Jan07 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May21 (nunnally jenni)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($10.9K) 3 ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BURNIN VERNON Jan05         (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 121 5.00 9% 9.80    
2  BRENSON BUNS Jan14 Dec27 Dec10 Nov12   (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 20.00    
3  BIG JACK Jan14 Dec08 Nov07     (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 10.00    
4  IMA CARPE DIEM Jan13 Nov27 Nov11     (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00    
SCR  THE RONALD Jan05 Nov07       (buechler sim)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  CARRIZO SPRINGS Jan13 Jan02 Oct23 Aug07   (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 4.00 ★    
7  BARON'S SONG Jan14 Dec27       (zimmerman jon )ANAYA V 121 8.00    
SCR  SIX SHOTS OF T Jan05 Dec08 Oct10 Sep10 Aug13 (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
9  NORTHERN COCKTAIL         (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 4.50 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROFOUND ONE Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov09 Sep20 (eidschun )VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 ★    
2  JUST PICK IT UP Jan19 Jan03 Dec19 Nov29 Nov04 (metz jeffrey)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8% 11.10    
3  MARK OF VALOR Dec13 Nov05 Sep08 Aug27 Aug11 (gale bryce)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 20.00    
4  BUMPY CUP Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Nov30   (villamar ca)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 62% 0.60    
5  STYLISH ELEGANCE Jan17 Jan02 Aug13 Jul22 Jun18 (bu)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.00    
6  ROUGE SUNSET Jan04 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 Sep19 (torres-casas je)LEON A 122 6.00    
7  OUR EMPIRE Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 Dec08 Oct30 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00 9% 10.70    
8  LIVE A GOOD LIFE Jan24 Jan10 Dec13 Oct16 Oct08 (nu)DA FAUSTO 122 20.00 ★    
9  TENACIOUS LION Jan04 Dec13 Sep11 Aug28 Jul04 (lucarelli fra)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00    
SCR  IRISH KNIGHT Jan10 Dec19 Nov29 Sep18 Sep11 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00    
11  A GEM IS A GEM Dec13 Sep02 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 (wheeler travis)ANAYA V 122 20.00    
 
TUP-7   02/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAVES MILL ROAD Jan19 Dec13 Nov28 Nov04 Aug17 (evans justin)CRUZ M 122 4.00    
2  THE BEAT Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 Nov15 Sep10 (oberholtzer kev)CORBETT W 122 6.00 10% 8.70    
SCR  TOIL AND TROUBLE Jan24 Dec28 Sep02 Aug13 Jul01 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 ★    
4  BARBARIAN Jan11 Dec09 Nov20 Aug17 Aug05 (fulmer drew)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
5  POPS AWESOME Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 Nov08 (williams dewey)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
6  SOCAL RED Jan21 Dec30 Nov20 Oct28 Oct16 (evans justin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00    
7  LINCHTOWN Jan12 Dec22 Nov29 Nov15 Oct02 (esquibel mark)LEON A 122 8.00    
8  LOLLY EXPRESS Jan19 Dec22 Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 (bullene mic)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 12.00 6% 16.30    
9  THE GREEN CRUSADER Jan09 Dec17 Nov19 Aug24 Jul13 (troiani niccolo)VERGARA P 122 8.00 61% 0.70    
10  ATOMIC CANDY Jan19 Dec26 Nov21 Nov05 Sep14 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   02/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RANCHER Jan12 Dec19 Nov23 Oct02 Sep05 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 20.00    
2  EROTIC Jan18 Dec26 Nov29 Nov05 Sep09 (potts an)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
3  VINTAGE KITTEN Jan18 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 (nunnally )KELLENBERGER KODY 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I'M AN EIGHT Jan17 Dec03 Sep08 Jun23 May29 (moreno carl)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
5  ZUMURUDEE Jan09 Dec14 Nov08 Sep17 Sep07 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.50    
6  RONALD R (IRE) Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Oct11 Sep27 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 2.50 ★    
7  CATS TOUCH Jan23 Dec15 Nov16 Oct15 Sep18 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
8  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) Jan12 Dec04 Oct21 Sep17   (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 6% 16.50    
9  RIVER ROSE Jan17 Jan09 Dec26 Dec08 Nov29 (rosales jo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50    
10  FINAL ROSE Jan17 Dec10 Nov26 Apr04 Mar18 (mccartney jack)LEON A 122 15.00    
SCR  FAMOUS ROCK STAR Jan23 Jan07 Dec26 Dec01 Nov05 (hernandez migue)CORBETT W 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.