Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-2   Win (7) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 0 $34.60  
TUP-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TUP-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-5   Win (7/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-6   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $4.40  
TUP-7   Win (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TUP-8   Win (8/6/1/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $11.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:222 :442 :563     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUANA GALLO 3 1 1 1½   2nk 1¼ (silva rodrigu)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 2.40 DQ↓2
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 2 2 2½   1nk 2¼ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 2.20  
CREME DE MENTHE (IRE) 4 3 3 34   3 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 1.80 0.80 S
MS FLASHY HARBOR 1 4 412½ 412   410½ 4 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 121 4.00 6.20  
SCR  GYPSY ROSIE               (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 5.00 78% 0.30    
 
TUP-2   02/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:224 :45 1:111     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALICESHOUSEOFHEART 3 4 4 59   35 1¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00 16.30  
CIVIL SUIT 7 1 1½ 2½   2 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 74% 0.40 1.00 P
SIGNATURE COLORS 6 2 3½ 1½   1 3¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 20.40 S
JEWEL OF DENIAL 2 7 78 714½   611 4 (hedge rick)MAWING A 124 5.00 5.10  
MISS RENO 1 6 56 45   48 57 (bratcher ryan)ENRIQUEZ D 124 8.00 19.00  
CAMDEN HIGH 5 5 6 611½   58 6 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 8.00 37.30  
SHE LOVES KARAOKE 4 3 2½ 3½   717 720¼ (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 1.30  
 
TUP-3   02/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:12 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT GARDEN 2 2 1½ 1½ 1 15 16 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.00 56% 0.80 0.40 W
GOLD INCLUDED 1 3 43 33 3 35 26 (caraman michael)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 5.90  
MISCHIEF MAMA 4 1 2½ 2½ 2 25 3 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 2.90 S
PIPER ROSE 3 4 3 43 47 410 412¼ (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 4.30  
SCR  MS SALLY               (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 6.00    
SCR  PRANCE               (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  SILLY NOTION               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:211 :47 1:121 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR LOVE MUFFIN 2 2 21 2 1 1 11 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 124 3.00 40% 1.50 1.20 W
GUARDSMAN PASS 4 5 56 5 5 33 21 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 3.20 P
BLUES RAPPER 3 3 3 33 32 2 3 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 2.40 S
PRINCE OTTO 1 1 11 1 2 43 4 (esquibel mark)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 24% 3.10 3.90  
SYZSLAK 5 4 4 4 42 5 5 (rumsey cory)MAWING A 124 8.00 10.60  
SCR  CORN POP               (howe)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  SOLANDER               (leaney patric)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
 
TUP-5   02/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:03         1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 3 1 1nk 11   1 1 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.50 15% 5.70 1.20 W
FLYIN BY 4 4 2nk 21   34 2 (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 5% 18.00 5.80 P
LATER DAYS 2 6 6 65   4 3 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 7.20  
YELLEN 1 5 32 32   2 44 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 22% 3.60 13.20  
BANDON BRIDGE 6 7 7 79   68 55 (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 5.00 4.60  
A WHOLE LOTTA HULA 5 2 4 43   5 6 (toye joe)CRUZ M 122 5.00 13.20  
SQUARE FOOTAGE 7 3 5 53   710½ 79 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 32% 2.10 3.20  
 
TUP-6   02/06/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:221 :442       :502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DURANGO JESS 6 5 1     1 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 1.20  
SPENDAHOLIC 1 1 2     2 2 (silva jr)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00 14% 5.90 13.60 P
HARROVIAN 4 3 5     5 3 (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 15.00 23.90  
10  ASCOT STORM 10 6 4     46 4 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 9.80  
SOLEROCKER 8 2 3     36 5 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 12.00 6.20  
ROUSING RUBBLE 3 7 6     6 67 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 8.00 4.90  
TAINO HOUSE 7 9 9     7 7 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 42% 1.40 10.20  
GOLDEN COWBOY 5 4 8     8 8 (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 10.00 18% 4.60 27.50  
FLY BUDDY FLY 2 10 1010½     1012¼ 910½ (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 6.70  
LIMITED OFFER 9 8 7     911¾ 1011½ (hop mike)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 19.80  
 
TUP-7   02/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRUMPED 9 8 6 5   2 1 (belvoir vann)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 6.00 28% 2.50 0.40 W
BURNLEY 4 5 11 1   1 2 (palma milton)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 15.00 28.00  
TWICE FOOLED 8 4 7 7   3 3 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 42% 1.40 3.40 S
10  STREET HUMOR 10 1 9 810¼   813¾ 4 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 8.00 8.50  
LIMITED HEATWAVE 6 3 31 4   4 510¾ (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 11.20  
DESTINY ONE 5 6 21 3   6 612½ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 5.00 23.90  
BET ON DAD 1 7 5 2   5 713 (williams matt)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00 18.00  
THIRSTY TIGER 7 9 1011¾ 1016¼   1014 816 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 12.00 75.00  
WINTER SOLDIER 3 10 1112¼ 913¼   913¾ 916 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 12.00 62.00  
12  RIGHT TO SUE 11 2 4 6   7 1016½ (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 20.00 63.70  
CENTAURUS 2 11 8 1116½   1118 1122¼ (martinez a)ANAYA V 124 12.00 9% 9.70 96.20  
SCR  WESTERN CHARM               (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 124 15.00    
 
TUP-8   02/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:112 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLY THE COBBLER 4 4 3 31 3 1nk 1 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 4.80  
PINTXOS 6 6 4 4 52 32 2 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 29% 2.40 1.10 P
MIKE OPERATOR 7 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 3 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 21.40 S
GOOD BYE PUTIN 8 7 6 5 4 5 42 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 31% 2.20 5.70  
MACEDONIAN RULER (AUS) 3 5 7 7 74 7 52 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 4.40  
UPO 1 3 53 6 6 6 6 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 4.50 8% 11.50 8.50  
MY BOY LOLLIPOP 2 9 9 8 9 9 75 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 10.00 19.00  
HEY SEQUOIA 5 8 8 9 8 8 8 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 15.00 5% 19.00 44.90 DH
FULLBRIDLEDPHANTOM 9 2 2 21 2½ 4 8 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 5.00 14.40 DH
SCR  NEW EVERY MORNING               (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.