Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-2   Win (5/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TUP-3   Win (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TUP-4   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $5.20  
TUP-5   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 8 1 0 $11.00  
TUP-6   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $3.00  
TUP-7   Win (4/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
TUP-8   Win (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:212 :441       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE CANDY RANDY 4 2 1½ 13   16 1 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 1.80 45% 1.20 1.20 W
DALE'S ADDICTION 6 4 3 39   3 2 (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 8.60  
BLUE PARADISE (GB) 2 3 4 411   410 3 (eikleberry ke)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 8% 11.30 1.50 S
SEAFARING WILDCAT 5 1 2½ 23   26 4 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 2.00 2.60  
SUPER INTENSE 3 6 610½ 515½   514½ 5 (o'brien d)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 32.50  
HERMISTON 1 5 5 617   619½ 612 (lavanway dayso)BEVERLY JR 124 12.00 35.90  
SCR  FUN CITY               (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
TUP-2   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:222 :443 :563     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR BOY ROY 7 1 1nk 1nk   1 1 (peer)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 9% 10.30 2.70 W
KATAR 2 5 5 5   3 2 (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 5.00 6% 16.40 3.00 P
ECHO CANYON 3 6 63 6   46 33 (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5% 17.60 16.10 S
HI YAH 5 4 3½ 2nk   2 43 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 30% 2.30 1.60  
CONRADO 6 3 42 46   58 5 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 25% 3.00 10.80  
NOBLE CRUSADER 1 7 76 710¼   615½ 612 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.50 7.20  
HE'S A CANDY MAN 4 2 2nk 34   730½ 7100 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00 8.80  
 
TUP-3   02/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:22 :454 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAR ENTRY 7 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 8% 12.10 0.70 W
TRY TO CAPTURE 2 4 5 4   33 2 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 4.40 P
FREESTONE 5 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 10.00 5% 19.00 29.40 S
SHORT RIB 6 5 4 5   46 4 (ferguson cu)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 56% 0.80 4.30  
LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR 1 7 7 711¾   7 5 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 7.20  
ROCKY JACK 4 3 3½ 32   57 6 (leon priscilla)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 6% 16.90 13.70  
BIG ENDEAVOR 3 6 6 6   68 7 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 3.50 8.40  
 
TUP-4   02/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :44 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLEVA 7 1 1nk 11   1 1 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 1.60  
CANDY ZIP 2 2 2nk 21   2 2 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 35% 1.90 3.60 P
FATHER O'FLAHERTY 5 6 7 6   47 3 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 3.40  
FIRE WHEN READY 1 5 5 54   3 48 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 15% 5.90 2.50  
SPEEDING STYLE 3 4 3.2 33   510 513¼ (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 5.00 17.00  
FRANKS FIX IT 6 3 4 43   611 616 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 11.50  
MYSTICAL IMAGE 4 7 6 79   717 725¾ (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 6.00 25% 3.00 29.50  
 
TUP-5   02/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCATALICIOUS 6 3 1nk 1nk   13 1¾ (rollins scott)MAWING A 121 6.00 4.50  
SHORT JOURNEY 1 5 42 31   23 2¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 9.40  
HERSABIGGIRL 2 2 3½ 4   3 33 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 1.40  
EDDIE'S ON PATROL 4 4 5 53   44 4 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00 23% 3.40 4.60  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 7 1 2nk 2nk   56 5 (fearon johnat)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00 28.00  
MISS WHISKEY 5 7 6 69   612 612¾ (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 3.00  
MARK OF VICTORY 3 6 7 712   715½ 719¾ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 7.70  
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MESS               (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY               (simp)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00    
 
TUP-6   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:224 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 1 3 1nk 1nk   1 1 (brinson clay)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 0.50  
KEEP IT ROLLIN 4 4 4 45   3 2 (buechler si)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 19.30 P
WARREN'S QUEEN BEE 3 2 2nk 2nk   2 3 (brinson clay)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 9% 9.60 1.40 S
SHE'S NOT TO BLAME 5 1 3½ 3   4 4 (perkinson cc)MAWING A 124 10.00 6.60  
GIROLAMO LUCY 2 5 514½ 519   523½ 520¼ (dennis cl)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 28.00  
SCR  IT'S CURLIN TIME               (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  MY CLASSY WIFE               (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  TALKINGNONSTOP               (potts an)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
 
TUP-7   02/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:10 1:233   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE AZUL 4 4 11 1 1 14 1 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 29% 2.40 1.70 W
EROTIC 1 3 42 3 2 24 2 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 3.20 P
RUN TAPPY 2 8 5 8 711¼ 67 3 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 9% 9.70 11.30 S
TALKIN MALICE 7 6 21 2 4 5 4 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 13.90  
ITS BIG 5 7 6 6 611 78 5 (christian bil)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 6.80  
MANY ROSES 6 5 31 4 3 3 6 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 6.00 11.30  
JAKE THE GREAT 8 2 7 5 5 46 7 (guerrero or)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 20% 4.00 4.10  
TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT 9 9 9 7 812¼ 811½ 812 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00 17% 4.90 9.40  
MORE ACTION 3 1 87 915½ 927¼ 931½ 939 (lavanway dayso)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00 70.70  
 
TUP-8   02/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:244 :472 1:12 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATS TOUCH 1 3 3 42 5 3.2 1¼ (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 9.70 2.00 W
ARIZONA JEREMY 4 5 6 53 3½ 2nk 2¼ (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 122 5.00 13% 7.00 3.70 P
ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE 2 7 7 8 8 5 3½ (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00 15.20  
PISTOL POWER 8 6 42 3 1nk 1nk 41 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 3.00 1.80  
REDACTION 6 8 8 76 6 6 5 (ortiz frank)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 31.90  
DEVIL'S TEETH 5 1 1 2nk 2nk 4¼ 66 (lavanway dayson)CORBETT W 122 4.50 43% 1.30 12.00  
CAPTAIN RED 3 4 53 6 7 7 711¾ (simpson shannon)LEON A 122 12.00 20.70  
WINNING MAGIC 7 2 2 1nk 4¾ 8 816¼ (gutierrez jua)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 11% 7.90 5.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.