Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6/4)-(5/2/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/6/7/2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(6/7/4/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TUP-2   WIN (5/6/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3)-(5/6/7/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/7/2/3)-(6/7/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2/3)-(6/7/4/5)-(2/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-3   WIN (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/4/5)-(6/7/4/2/5)-(6/7/4/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/4/5)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4/5)-(2/4/1)-(6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-4   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1/7/6)-(2/4/1/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(6)-(4) 3 $0.50 $1.50 
TUP-5   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(4) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    PK3 (6)-(4)-(4/8/9/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (4)-(4/8/9/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(4/8/9/2)-(5/4/7/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
TUP-7   WIN (4/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/9/2)-(4/8/9/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/9/2)-(4/8/9/2/1)-(4/8/9/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/9/2)-(5/4/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/1)-(5/4/7/1/3)-(5/4/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/13/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERMISTON Jan24 Jan07 Nov30 Sep09 Aug21 (lavanway day)BEVERLY JR 124 12.00    
2  BLUE PARADISE (GB) Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 Nov09 (eikleberry )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 8% 11.30    
SCR  FUN CITY         (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
4  SUPER INTENSE Jan24 Jan07 May07 Apr08 Mar23 (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 ★    
5  EYE CANDY RANDY Jan08 Oct28 Sep25     (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  SEAFARING WILDCAT Dec20 Nov12       (gleason m)MAWING A 124 2.00 ★    
7  DALE'S ADDICTION Jul16 May06       (kenney dan)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-2   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NOBLE CRUSADER Dec21 Dec01 Nov15 Sep05 Jul18 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 121 4.50    
2  KATAR Dec21 Dec01 Nov12     (owens kory)VERGARA P 121 5.00 6% 16.40    
3  ECHO CANYON Jan26 Dec01 Nov15 Oct04 Aug27 (schnell don)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5% 17.60    
4  HE'S A CANDY MAN Jan09 Dec08 Sep23 Sep01   (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 5.00    
5  HI YAH Dec21 Dec08       (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 30% 2.30    
6  CONRADO Jan08 Dec23 Nov25 Oct23 Sep04 (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  OUR BOY ROY Jan18 Jan05       (pe)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
TUP-3   02/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Sep28 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Aug17 (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
2  TRY TO CAPTURE Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 Nov25 Oct10 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 ★    
3  BIG ENDEAVOR Jan12 Dec13 Nov14 Sep11 Aug28 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
4  ROCKY JACK Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 Oct03 Sep18 (leon priscill)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 6% 16.90    
5  FREESTONE Sep11 Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jun25 (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHORT RIB Jan23 Jan02 Dec19 Dec08 Oct30 (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
7  STAR ENTRY Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 8% 12.10    
 
TUP-4   02/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRE WHEN READY Jan25 Jan09 Dec14 Nov26 Nov07 (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 15% 5.90    
2  CANDY ZIP Jan10 Dec13 Nov07 Sep17 Sep04 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 35% 1.90    
3  SPEEDING STYLE Jan26 Jan11 Dec22 Nov30 Aug15 (metz jeffrey)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
4  MYSTICAL IMAGE Jan18         (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Dec08 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
6  FRANKS FIX IT Jan25 Jan05 Nov28 Nov05 Sep04 (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.50 ★    
7  ALLEVA Jan26 Jan10 Dec19 Nov21 Nov07 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   02/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORT JOURNEY Jan23 Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 Oct15 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00    
SCR  BEAUTIFUL MESS Jan23 Jan03 Dec08     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 121 3.00 56% 0.80    
3  HERSABIGGIRL Aug20         (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00    
SCR  ISLAND BEAUTY Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov08 Sep02 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00 ★    
5  MARK OF VICTORY         (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 121 4.00 ★    
6  EDDIE'S ON PATROL Jan23 Jan03 Dec15 Nov25 Nov04 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00 23% 3.40    
7  MISS WHISKEY         (owens kory)LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.50 ★    
8  SCATALICIOUS Jan07 Dec14 Nov29 May07 Apr13 (rollins scott)MAWING A 121 6.00    
9  FOREST ACCLAMATION Jan16 Dec04 Sep22 Sep09 Aug12 (fearon john)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 12.00    
 
TUP-6   02/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IT'S CURLIN TIME Jan17 Jan04 Dec14 Nov15 Sep10 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
2  WARREN'S MEMORABLE Jan24 Dec18 Dec11 Sep18 Aug26 (brinson cla)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.80 ★    
3  GIROLAMO LUCY Jan26 Oct08 Sep09 Aug27 Jul22 (dennis )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
4  WARREN'S QUEEN BEE Dec18 Nov04 Oct10 Aug27 Aug07 (brinson cla)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 3.00 9% 9.60    
5  KEEP IT ROLLIN Jan24 Jan04 Dec13 Nov07 Oct17 (buechler )VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ★    
SCR  TALKINGNONSTOP Jan17 Jan12 Dec15 Nov12 Sep04 (potts ashley )VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00    
SCR  MY CLASSY WIFE Jan18 Jan04 Nov15 Sep26   (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 22% 3.50    
8  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Feb01 Jan24 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 (perkinson cc)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EROTIC Feb02 Jan18 Dec26 Nov29 Nov05 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 ★    
2  RUN TAPPY Dec26 Nov29 Nov16 Sep05 Aug22 (george cynthia)ZUNINO L 124 20.00 9% 9.70    
3  MORE ACTION Jan24 Jan11 Jan03 Dec19 Dec08 (lavanway day)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 20.00    
4  BLUE AZUL Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  ITS BIG Jan25 Dec10 Nov21 Oct24 Oct11 (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00    
6  MANY ROSES Feb01 Jan12 Dec26 Sep23 Sep16 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
7  TALKIN MALICE Jan25 Jan05 Dec20 Apr26 Apr18 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00    
8  JAKE THE GREAT Jan24 Apr11 Mar24 Mar07 Feb25 (guerrero )VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
9  TAPIT AT MIDNIGHT Jan25 Jan02 Dec20 Nov26 Nov04 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
 
TUP-8   02/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATS TOUCH Feb02 Jan23 Dec15 Nov16 Oct15 (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
2  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Sep17 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 12.00    
3  CAPTAIN RED Jun03 May03 Apr25 Apr03 Mar19 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 12.00 ★    
4  ARIZONA JEREMY Feb01 Apr25 Apr11     (laufenberg joyce)MAWING A 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
5  DEVIL'S TEETH Jan30 Dec10 Nov26 Nov09 Aug19 (lavanway dayson)CORBETT W 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
6  REDACTION Feb04 Sep17 Aug29 Aug22 Aug08 (ortiz fra)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00    
7  WINNING MAGIC Jan10 Dec13 Sep10 Jul18 Jun27 (gutierrez j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 11% 7.90    
8  PISTOL POWER Jan30 Jan12 Dec15 Nov15 Sep17 (baze lisa)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.