Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lethbridge
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
LBG-3   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
1:172         1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUADE 1 1 1½ 11   15 19 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 13% 6.80 2.85 W
YA SAY WHAT 3 2 2½ 32   36 29 (clapton ali)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80 58% 0.70 1.25 P
HALORY'S COMET 5 3 31 21   25 311 (clapton alison)ROCHA O 124 6.00 14.10 S
SWINGIN JUDGE 2 4 41 43   4 413 (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 124 7.00 20.45  
SPEARS TEE 4 5 5100 5100   5100 5100 (brown co)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 1.65  
 
LBG-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
1:14         1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROTTEN TO THE CORE 3 1 1 12   1 1 (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 2.50 26% 2.80 1.80 W
SHOUT 4 4 4 22   2 2 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80 33% 2.10 1.30 P
NEW CANADIAN 6 5 2 33   3 3 (clapton a)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00 33.10  
ZIBO 1 3 3 44   4 411¼ (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 3.00 5.20  
GIROLAMO LUCY 2 6 6 67   6 511¾ (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 15.75  
MOSSLEIGH 5 2 5 55   57 612¼ (giesbrecht joce)SIMPSON W 124 6.00 14% 6.00 5.35  
 
LBG-5   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($14K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
1:14         1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAMILY IS GOLD 4 3 11 11   13 1 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 1.30  
FULLOUT FIRE 1 5 55 57   34 2 (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 17% 4.90 5.25 P
FLASHING JOKER 5 4 43 42   45 310¼ (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 4.70  
NORTHERN MISSILE 2 1 21 21   23 410¼ (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 17% 4.90 8.75  
YOGA RULER 3 2 32 3   5 512¾ (robson t)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 2.10  
SCR  LUCKY LEGS               (mcconaghie gail)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
LBG-6   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
1:114         1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISING REVOLUTION 3 1 11 12   11 1¾ (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 6.00 13% 6.50 3.55 W
OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND 4 6 66 6   44 2¾ (pigeau opa)BUGEAUD L 124 2.00 1.45 P
STUMPANATOR 2 5 5 4   32 33 (olsen ro)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 27% 2.70 5.50 S
BOESER 5 2 21 22   21 4 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 22% 3.60 3.40  
WHY NOT LIVE 6 4 43 56   55 5 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 8.25  
THE TRUTH PROJECT 1 3 32 33   66 615 (cunningham )GORDON GARFIELD 124 10.00 11.60  
 
LBG-7   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
1:283         1:283   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROWDYROOSTER 2 3 3.2 24   21 1 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 1.60 53% 0.90 0.50 W
THE HYBRID 3 1 2nk 14   11 2 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 2.00 13% 6.80 2.35 P
PRAISE LOUDLY 1 2 1nk 35   32 320¼ (tourangeau rus)CHICKENESS S 124 7.00 3.05 S
SCR  FLASH OF GLORY               (brown t)NELSON RYAN 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT               (giesbrech)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00    
 
LBG-8   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
See original race card.
1:302         1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHELLPHONE 8 1 3.2 2nk   11 1 (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00 3.95  
I'M OUTTA HERE 6 4 4¼ 4   32 2 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 5.90 P
SAYITALL 3 5 5 5   43 3 (mooney b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00 5.50 S
CATWALK QUEEN 2 7 710¼ 811¾   8 4 (oberholtzer danie)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00 19.60  
JAZZED 5 8 813¼ 710¼   67 5 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00 53.25  
BYRE DECREE 1 6 6 6   7 65 (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 124 15.00 55.55  
CANDY RED 4 3 1nk 1nk   21 76 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.40 58% 0.70 1.15  
BELLA NOCHE 7 2 2nk 3.2   53 811½ (giesbrech)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 14% 6.20 6.05  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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