Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lethbridge
Saturday - October 08, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LBG-3   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUADE Sep23 Aug28 Aug14 Jun28 Jun15 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 2.00 13% 6.80    
2  SWINGIN JUDGE Sep18 Jul31 Jul24 Jul16   (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 124 7.00 ★    
3  YA SAY WHAT Oct01 Sep23 Sep11     (clapton ali)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80 58% 0.70    
4  SPEARS TEE Sep13 Sep05 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (brown co)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 ★    
5  HALORY'S COMET Sep23 Sep17 Sep04     (clapton alison)ROCHA O 124 6.00 ★    
 
LBG-4   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIBO Sep23 Sep13 Sep05 Aug23 Aug09 (mooney bill)BUGEAUD L 124 3.00 ★    
2  GIROLAMO LUCY Sep09 Aug27 Jul22 Jul03 Jun10 (dennis clifton )NELSON RYAN 124 10.00 ★    
3  ROTTEN TO THE CORE Sep23 Jul12 Apr28 Mar21 Feb14 (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  SHOUT Sep23 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul23 (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
5  MOSSLEIGH Sep23         (giesbrecht joce)SIMPSON W 124 6.00 14% 6.00    
6  NEW CANADIAN Sep23 Sep10 Aug28 Jul30 Jul16 (clapton a)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 10.00    
 
LBG-5   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($14K) 2 ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULLOUT FIRE         (robson travis)ROCHA O 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
2  NORTHERN MISSILE         (robson tra)APANGO JOSE 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
3  YOGA RULER Oct01 Aug27 Aug06 Jul09   (robson t)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 1.60 ★    
4  FAMILY IS GOLD Sep10 Aug27       (magnuson ly)GORDON GARFIELD 124 2.50 ★    
SCR  LUCKY LEGS         (mcconaghie gail)NELSON RYAN 124 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  FLASHING JOKER Sep23         (robson travi)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00    
 
LBG-6   10/08/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE TRUTH PROJECT Sep24 Aug27 Jun22 Jun14   (cunningham rand)NELSON RYAN 124 10.00    
2  STUMPANATOR Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 Aug21 (olsen ro)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
3  RISING REVOLUTION Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 (rycroft clinton)ROCHA O 124 6.00 13% 6.50    
4  OLD DOUBLE DIAMOND Oct02 Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug20 (pigeau opa)BUGEAUD L 124 2.00 ★    
5  BOESER Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 Jul10 (rutherford elly)SIMPSON W 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
6  WHY NOT LIVE Sep24 Sep10 Sep04 Aug13 Aug07 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 8.00 ★    
 
LBG-7   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLASH OF GLORY Sep27 Sep19 Sep05 Aug22 Aug01 (brown t)NELSON RYAN 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
2  PRAISE LOUDLY Sep25 Sep23 Sep17 Sep03 Aug27 (tourangeau rus)CHICKENESS S 124 7.00 ★    
SCR  UNUSUAL ACCOUNT Aug28 Jul31 Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 (giesbrech)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 6.00 ★    
4  ROWDYROOSTER Sep24 Sep05 Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 (depew jim)SIMPSON W 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
5  THE HYBRID Sep23 Aug20 Aug07 Jul10 Jun18 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 2.00 13% 6.80    
 
LBG-8   10/08/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYRE DECREE Oct02 Sep23 Sep18 Sep04 Aug13 (miyashiro tansl)NELSON RYAN 124 15.00    
2  CATWALK QUEEN Sep25 Sep12 Aug29 Aug08 Jul27 (oberholtzer danie)BUGEAUD L 124 10.00    
3  SAYITALL Sep24 Sep12 Apr27 Apr05 Mar10 (mooney b)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 7.00 ★    
4  CANDY RED Sep24 Sep10 Aug21 Aug06 Jul16 (marks garry)SIMPSON W 124 1.40 58% 0.70    
5  JAZZED Sep24 Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 Aug07 (gwilliam b)APANGO JOSE 124 8.00    
6  I'M OUTTA HERE Sep25 Sep04 Aug13 Aug06 Jul16 (pigeau nelli)FOSTER ORLANDO 124 3.00 ★    
7  BELLA NOCHE Sep24 Aug28 Aug21 Aug06 Jul23 (giesbrech)STEWART BLANDFORD 124 2.50 14% 6.20    
8  SHELLPHONE Oct02 Jun15 Apr09 Mar04 Feb19 (gregoire carl)APANGO JUAN 124 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.