Handicappers' Race Results

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Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - September 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ASD-1   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:23 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWNED ROYAL 5 1 41 1½   2nk 1¾ (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.40 34% 2.00 1.00 W
OSCAR THE GULCH 1 5 52 4   4 2¾ (stanford maria)CUMBERBATCH R 119 8.00 8.70 P
CALL THE COPS 2 4 2½ 3½   1nk 3 (dickey elton)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 1.60 33% 2.10 2.00 S
ONE SKY 4 3 1½ 2½   3.2 4 (britton calvin)CARRENO J 119 4.00 11% 8.10 3.95  
GET WITT GONE 3 2 3½ 5   5 5 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 6.00 18.55  
 
ASD-2   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:00     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S FLOWER 5 1 4 23   24 13 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 115 3.00 2.05  
MISS GIVING 3 2 1 13   14 23 (gittens devon)CUMBERBATCH R 117 1.20 43% 1.30 0.80 P
TRUE KATE 1 5 3 46   3 3 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 123 1.80 25% 3.10 3.90 S
WITTS QUESO 4 4 57 5   5 411 (gourneau j)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 115 10.00 8% 11.80 26.65  
KIKI DO U LOVE ME 2 3 2 34   4 516¼ (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 123 15.00 14.90  
 
ASD-3   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:35
See original race card.
:231 :463 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUB CHAMP 3 2 11 12   1 11 (ross court)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 8% 12.30 4.50 W
MIDNIGHT SALUTE 5 4 55 43   2 21 (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 124 1.60 0.90 P
BIG TIME GIZMO 2 5 42 3   4 3 (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.40 52% 0.90 2.65 S
STRIKING OIL 1 3 21 55   3 4 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 8.00 6.50  
STRONG ARM 4 1 31 22   5 5 (duncan murr)CHADEE JR 122 6.00 10% 9.20 12.20  
 
ASD-4   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT-10:05
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:011     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVERCREEK LADY 4 5 74 7   3.2 1 (nault michael)CARRENO J 119 4.50 29% 2.40 1.80 W
VIRAL 8 3 3½ 3½   4¾ 2 (gaskin stev)CHADEE JR 122 3.00 4.60 P
BLAZING BO 3 7 6 5   5 3 (nault michael)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 20.00 5% 19.00 6.35 S
SALTO DEL LUPO 6 1 42 6   6 4 (duncan murray)NELSON TYRONE 122 30.00 27.60  
INDIO TIME 7 4 1nk 1½   1nk 5 (buffalo marvin)CUMBERBATCH R 122 1.80 32% 2.10 2.20  
SUGAR DADDY JACK 2 6 5 4   7 67 (brown shel)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 40.00 24.95  
I AM MILA 1 8 817 818¼   8 77 (jordan jennifer)BELLE SHAVON 119 25.00 38.95  
CARPIQUET 5 2 2nk 2½   2nk 8 (gaskin steven)CHOW CHAVION 122 2.50 12% 7.10 9.10  
 
ASD-5   09/27/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
See original race card.
:233 :463 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRIZZY 6 1 41 3   2 1¾ (brown jared)CARRENO J 124 3.00 1.60  
DANZ A REBEL 3 4 1nk 1nk   1 2¾ (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 124 1.80 4.30 P
MR. PICKLES 1 5 52 54   5 3 (stanford m)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 14% 6.20 14.50 S
WARBRIDGE 2 3 3½ 4   44 4 (gardipy tom)CHADEE JR 122 5.00 11.35  
WITT'S COCO 5 2 2nk 2nk   3 5 (brown jared)CHOW CHAVION 124 2.50 47% 1.10 1.30  
FLASH OF GLORY 4 6 6 68   6 6 (smith h)NELSON TYRONE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 36.70  
 
ASD-6   09/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:003     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATSHEPSUT 7 1 6 6   34 1hd (jordan jennifer)AUSTIN NIRONE 121 8.00 18% 4.50 3.35 W
WITT AMERICA 1 5 1nk 1   1 2hd (gourneau jerry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.00 22% 3.60 2.50 P
OH MAN OH MAN 2 6 3 5   2 32 (hrymak bren)CHADEE JR 124 1.80 27% 2.70 3.30 S
HELENS SPIRIT 6 3 5 43   6 44 (jordan jen)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 116 5.00 10% 8.70 5.65  
WITTS SHOWTIME 5 4 4 33   5 5 (gourneau jerry)BELLE SHAVON 119 2.50 11.05  
TEEMANS FLAIR 3 2 2nk 2   45 6 (brown allen)CHOW CHAVION 116 20.00 40.05  
ATABOYCOOKIE 4 7 711¼ 716½   713½ 710½ (gaskin steven)CUMBERBATCH R 119 5.00 4.80  
 
ASD-7   09/27/2022 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-11:35
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:153     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPRESSIVE SENSE 6 6 3 3   1nk 1nk (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 122 2.50 41% 1.50 2.50 W
HENRISINCONTROL 3 7 810½ 8   5 2nk (brown jared)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00 20% 3.90 8.25 P
RUNAWAY HURRICANE 2 4 7 5   2nk 3.2 (husbands tiffany)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 5.20  
JACKS WILLIE 4 3 6 6   3½ 4¾ (buffalo marvin)NELSON TYRONE 117 8.00 7.40  
GUARANTEEDDELIVERY 9 8 4 4   4¾ 5 (anderson carl)CARRENO J 124 3.00 9% 10.50 2.25  
TAKINTHENITETRAIN 7 9 912½ 99   6 65 (brown jared)AUSTIN NIRONE 122 30.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
CALL ME CAPTAIN 1 1 57 76   8 711½ (rawson fre)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 25.00 27.80  
STEEP ROCK 8 5 2 2   7 814½ (gaskin stev)CHADEE JR 119 15.00 35.15  
ZIPPIN TO IMPRESS 5 2 1 1   911¾ 931¼ (wise a)NELSON C 119 20.00 5% 19.00 20.75  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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