Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $13.50 $1.50 13%
TUP-2   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $14.80 $6.80 85%
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-5 $22.80 $6.80 43%
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-5-6 $42.60 $18.60 78%
    SFT (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-5-6-2 $35.46 $25.86 269%
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-3 $38.00 $26.00 217%
TUP-3   PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(2/7/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-3-1/3/6 $37.40 $19.40 108%
TUP-4   EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $15.00 $3.00 25%
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-2-1 $43.45 $25.45 141%
    SFT (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 72 $0.10 $7.20  7-2-1-3 $14.23 $7.03 98%
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(2/7/3)-(3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-1/3/6-7 $22.15 $4.15 23%
    PK4 (5/1/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(2/7/3)-(3/7/2) 108 $0.50 $54.00  1-3-1/3/6-7 $94.35 $40.35 75%
TUP-7   EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-1 $20.20 $4.20 26%
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/1)-(7/3/5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-1-6 $30.80 $6.80 28%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:124 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE BANK 1 2 11 12 13½ 1nk 11½ (garcia valent)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 20% 4.00 3.90 W
4  SUPER CREATIVE 4 1 33½ 53¾ 23½ 2nk 21½ (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 4.00 15% 5.80 1.50 P
5  ALEX'S DREAM 5 6 54 42¼ 34 37 37½ (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 1.40 43% 1.30 1.90 S
6  BUSTER BURNS 6 4 43½ 32 45 47½ 49 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★ 3.60  
2  DEPUTY KNIGHT 2 3 67½ 615¾ 621 627½ 522¼ (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 ★ 24.20  
3  JOE DID IT 3 5 21 22 513 525½ 627½ (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 12.70  
 
TUP-2   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PERFECT COME BACK 3 4 57½ 47 3.2 1½ 1¼ (woolley bennie )CRUZ M 122 4.50 29% 2.40 6.40 W
5  WILLY THE COBBLER 5 5 47½ 57½ 1nk 2½ 2¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 27% 2.70 0.70 P
6  MAD LUTHER 6 6 612 617½ 64¼ 48½ 311¼ (matt l)CORBETT W 122 4.00 ★ 6.90 S
2  SIR DEPUTY 2 1 33 34½ 41¼ 36 413¼ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 11% 8.00 11.40  
4  DR. TROUTMAN 4 3 21½ 2nk 52¾ 611½ 519¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 11% 8.20 2.50  
1  PROVOST 1 2 11½ 1nk 2nk 59 621 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 14.50  
 
TUP-3   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:113 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RENEGADE PRINCESS 4 1 3½ 31 21½ 1nk 11½ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 4.50 ★ 0.40  
7  COME CORRECT 5 4 46 48 46 33½ 21½ (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.90 P
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 3 5 510 512½ 58½ 46 31¾ (perkins franc)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 21.60  
4  PLUM ROSE 2 2 1½ 11 11½ 2nk 47¼ (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 ★ 4.00  
2  LITTLE LILY LU 1 3 2½ 21 33½ 58½ 511¼ (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 44% 1.30 9.50  
SCR  AKASI               (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 2.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  FILLY PELLI               (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :444 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  OLDER BROTHER 7 2 3.2 1nk   21½ 1hd (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 9% 10.10 1.70 W
2  MARK YE WELL 2 6 51¾ 41¼   11½ 2hd (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 7% 12.40 6.20 P
1  RECKONING DAY 1 7 62¾ 31   32½ 32¼ (woolley l)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★ 7.00 S
3  WICKED BLUE 3 5 41¾ 64¼   67½ 47 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 61% 0.60 2.70 DH
5  SPIRE 5 4 75¼ 77¼   79 47 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 3.70 DH
4  RINGS OF SATURN 4 3 1nk 2nk   42½ 67¼ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 17.30  
6  MAJOR MUNNINGS 6 1 2nk 51¼   55½ 78 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 3.50 ★ 8.40  
 
TUP-5   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:213 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HI HO CHEERIO 3 3 24½ 26   22½ 12¾ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 12% 7.00 0.50 W
4  HIJO GALANTE 2 4 413½ 414   37½ 22¾ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 8.00  
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE 1 2 14½ 16   12½ 35 (baze robert)ANAYA V 122 4.50 ★ 2.70 S
6  BRUIN MAGIC 4 1 34½ 39   414½ 412½ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 4.00 ★ 3.60  
SCR  COBRA JET               (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GATES OF HEAVEN               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIMBERLAKE GAGE 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.00 ★ 1.10  
1  WRIGHT WINGED 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 8.00 15.90  
6  MEAN SHARON 6 5 41½ 42½   43 31½ (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 12% 7.50 3.20 S
4  ELEGANT CRICKET 4 4 3½ 31½   32 41¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 ★ 4.80  
7  LE TUB 7 3 53 67¾   79 56 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 15% 5.50 3.30  
2  MY EXPRESSION 2 7 77¾ 79¼   68½ 66 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 44.30  
5  MAYBEE A DIVA 5 6 63¼ 52¾   54½ 77 (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 46% 1.20 10.60  
 
TUP-7   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GENERAL THAYER 7 5 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 38% 1.60 2.70 W
1  NEW CHASER 1 4 31½ 32½   32 21 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
6  ATTORNEY LOUIS 6 1 41¾ 42½   43 31¼ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 7% 14.00 3.80 S
2  DANNY ZUKO 2 3 67¼ 57   55 42½ (garcia valent)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 4.60  
3  FRISCO KID 3 7 79¼ 710¾   66 53 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 5.00 17% 4.70 3.70  
4  A BIT MUCH 4 2 2nk 2½   2½ 63¼ (salas eliazar)CRUZ M 118 6.00 5.30  
5  SEIGE THE DAY 5 6 56¾ 67¼   79½ 78 (salas eli)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 11% 7.80 17.20  
 
TUP-8   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:114 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COASTAL WATERS 5 5 56 59½ 45½ 3.2 12½ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 ★ 5.10  
4  NEXT JOURNEY 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 22½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 2.80  
3  GUEST CHECK 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 32½ (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 5.10  
7  MOOGIE SON 6 4 42 32 32 41¾ 44¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.90  
5  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 4 6 68½ 611 510½ 56¼ 55 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 47% 1.10 3.90  
1  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 1 2 32 44½ 611½ 618¼ 630 (valerio raymo)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★ 6.40  
SCR  LIGHTNING STAR               (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.