The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Sunday - February 19, 2023

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
:234 :481 1:124 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE BANK 1 2 11 12 1 1nk 1(garcia valentin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 20% 4.00 3.90 W
SUPER CREATIVE 4 1 3 5 2 2nk 2(gleason m)ANAYA V 124 4.00 15% 5.80 1.50 P
ALEX'S DREAM 5 6 54 4 34 37 3(toye joe)CRUZ M 124 1.40 43% 1.30 1.90 S
BUSTER BURNS 6 4 4 32 45 449 (williams oman)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 3.60  
DEPUTY KNIGHT 2 3 6 615¾ 621 627½ 522¼ (o'brien d)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 24.20  
JOE DID IT 3 5 21 22 513 525½ 627½ (o'brien danny)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00 12.70  
 
TUP-2   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
:222 :452 1:102 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT COME BACK 3 4 5 47 3.2 1½ 1¼ (woolley l)CRUZ M 122 4.50 29% 2.40 6.40 W
WILLY THE COBBLER 5 5 4 5 1nk 2½ 2¼ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 27% 2.70 0.70 P
MAD LUTHER 6 6 612 617½ 6 4311¼ (matt l)CORBETT W 122 4.00 6.90 S
SIR DEPUTY 2 1 33 3 4 36 413¼ (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 11% 8.00 11.40  
DR. TROUTMAN 4 3 2 2nk 5 611½ 519¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 11% 8.20 2.50  
PROVOST 1 2 1 1nk 2nk 59 621 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00 14.50  
 
TUP-3   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
:24 :473 1:113 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENEGADE PRINCESS 4 1 3½ 31 2 1nk 1(chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 4.50 0.40  
COME CORRECT 5 4 46 48 46 32(lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 21% 3.70 2.90 P
UPTOWN RHAPSODY 3 5 510 512½ 5 46 3(perkins frances)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00 21.60  
PLUM ROSE 2 2 1½ 11 1 2nk 4(gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 4.00  
LITTLE LILY LU 1 3 2½ 21 3 5511¼ (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 44% 1.30 9.50  
SCR  AKASI               (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 2.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  FILLY PELLI               (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
:222 :444 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLDER BROTHER 7 2 3.2 1nk   21hd (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 9% 10.10 1.70 W
MARK YE WELL 2 6 5 4   12hd (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 7% 12.40 6.20 P
RECKONING DAY 1 7 6 31   33(woolley l)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 7.00 S
WICKED BLUE 3 5 4 6   647 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 61% 0.60 2.70 DH
SPIRE 5 4 7 7   79 47 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 3.70 DH
RINGS OF SATURN 4 3 1nk 2nk   46(potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00 17.30  
MAJOR MUNNINGS 6 1 2nk 5   578 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 3.50 8.40  
 
TUP-5   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
:213 :441 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HI HO CHEERIO 3 3 2 26   21(williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 12% 7.00 0.50 W
HIJO GALANTE 2 4 413½ 414   32(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 8.00  
CAPITAL EXPENSE 1 2 1 16   135 (baze robert)ANAYA V 122 4.50 2.70 S
BRUIN MAGIC 4 1 3 39   414½ 412½ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 4.00 3.60  
SCR  COBRA JET               (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GATES OF HEAVEN               (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
:214 :444       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBERLAKE GAGE 3 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.00 1.10  
WRIGHT WINGED 1 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 8.00 15.90  
MEAN SHARON 6 5 4 4   43 3(potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 12% 7.50 3.20 S
ELEGANT CRICKET 4 4 3½ 3   32 4(silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 4.80  
LE TUB 7 3 53 6   79 56 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 15% 5.50 3.30  
MY EXPRESSION 2 7 7 7   666 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 44.30  
MAYBEE A DIVA 5 6 6 5   577 (williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 46% 1.20 10.60  
 
TUP-7   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
:221 :451 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL THAYER 7 5 1nk 1½   1½ 11 (wheeler travis)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 38% 1.60 2.70 W
NEW CHASER 1 4 3 3   32 21 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 4.30 P
ATTORNEY LOUIS 6 1 4 4   43 3(toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 7% 14.00 3.80 S
DANNY ZUKO 2 3 6 57   55 4(garcia valentin)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 4.60  
FRISCO KID 3 7 7 710¾   66 53 (villamar candelario)GARCIA F 124 5.00 17% 4.70 3.70  
A BIT MUCH 4 2 2nk 2½   2½ 6(salas eliazar)CRUZ M 118 6.00 5.30  
SEIGE THE DAY 5 6 5 6   778 (salas eliaz)VALENZUELA A 118 8.00 11% 7.80 17.20  
 
TUP-8   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
:24 :471 1:114 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTAL WATERS 5 5 56 5 4 3.2 1(lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 5.10  
NEXT JOURNEY 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 2.80  
GUEST CHECK 2 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 3(perkinson cc)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 5.10  
MOOGIE SON 6 4 42 32 32 44(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.90  
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 4 6 6 611 510½ 555 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 47% 1.10 3.90  
WEARENOTBADPEOPLE 1 2 32 4 611½ 618¼ 630 (valerio raymond)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 6.40  
SCR  LIGHTNING STAR               (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.