Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - February 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4/2/6)-(5/1/4/2/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(3/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(3/5/2/4)-(2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-2   WIN (3/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/4)-(3/5/2/4/6)-(3/5/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/5/2/4)-(2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/4)-(2/7)-(3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/7)-(2/7/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/7)-(3/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7)-(3/7/2)-(5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2/6/1)-(3/7/2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2)-(5)-(5/7/6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
TUP-5   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (5)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (5)-(5/7/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (5)-(5/7/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6/3/4)-(5/7/6/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6/1)-(7/3/5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TUP-8   WIN (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/7)-(5/7/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7)-(5/7/1/6)-(5/7/1/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP THE BANK Jan24 Jan10 Dec17 Nov16 Sep17 (garcia valentin )MAWING A 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
2  DEPUTY KNIGHT Dec17 Nov30 Sep03 Apr14 Mar10 (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 15.00 ★    
3  JOE DID IT Feb01 Dec17       (o'brien dann)BEVERLY JR 124 20.00    
4  SUPER CREATIVE Jan24 Jan07 Oct22 Sep27 Sep05 (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
5  ALEX'S DREAM Jan24 Dec16 Nov16 Nov06 Oct15 (toye joe)CRUZ M 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
6  BUSTER BURNS Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Apr23 Apr15 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROVOST Jan31 Dec10 Nov21 Nov07 Sep24 (alvarez serg)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 6.00    
2  SIR DEPUTY Jan31 Jan07 Dec20 Dec01 Sep11 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00 11% 8.00    
3  PERFECT COME BACK Jan31 Jan18 Dec10 May07 Apr18 (woolley bennie )CRUZ M 122 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  DR. TROUTMAN Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 Nov07 Oct14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
5  WILLY THE COBBLER Feb06 Jan12 Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
6  MAD LUTHER Jan18 Jan07 Dec01 Nov19 Sep14 (matt l)CORBETT W 122 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-3   02/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FILLY PELLI Jan14 Dec02 Aug05 Jul17 May28 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00    
2  LITTLE LILY LU Feb07 Jan25 Dec22 Apr21 Apr11 (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 6.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  AKASI Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Nov12 Sep18 (troiani niccolo)MAWING A 124 2.50 7% 13.10    
4  PLUM ROSE Jan11 Dec22 Apr01 Mar15 Feb21 (gleason m)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.00 ★    
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY Feb02 Jan10 Dec10 Nov16 Sep17 (perkins franc)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 10.00    
6  RENEGADE PRINCESS Jan10 Nov16 May01 Mar25 Feb18 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 124 4.50 ★    
7  COME CORRECT Feb02 Jan17 Dec22 Aug25 Jul24 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-4   02/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKONING DAY Feb09 Dec18 Oct21 Sep25 May30 (woolley l)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 ★    
2  MARK YE WELL Feb04 Jan23 Jan07 Dec20 Nov28 (brown jared)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 7% 12.40    
3  WICKED BLUE Feb02 Jan02 Oct28 Oct16 Oct07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  RINGS OF SATURN Feb04 Jan23 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 8.00    
5  SPIRE Feb09 Jan25 Jan12 Dec20 Oct28 (rycroft riley)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
6  MAJOR MUNNINGS Jan26 Jan10 Jul24 Jul01 May21 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 3.50 ★    
7  OLDER BROTHER Feb09 Jan26 Dec26 Oct23 Sep17 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 9% 10.10    
 
TUP-5   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COBRA JET Jan10 Dec21 Nov29 Nov14 Sep10 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  GATES OF HEAVEN Jan26 Dec13 Nov19 Nov04 Sep19 (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
3  CAPITAL EXPENSE Jan31 Dec14 Sep02 Aug21 Jun17 (baze robert)ANAYA V 122 4.50 ★    
4  HIJO GALANTE Jan10 Dec20 Nov21 Nov04 Aug25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00    
5  HI HO CHEERIO Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 Nov07 Sep17 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 12% 7.00    
6  BRUIN MAGIC Jan24 Jan02 Aug15 Aug06 Jul09 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRIGHT WINGED Feb09 Jan02 Dec17 Nov14 Sep10 (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 8.00    
2  MY EXPRESSION Jan23 Dec26 Nov28 Nov05 May22 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00    
3  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Feb09 Jan30 Oct15 Oct10 Aug27 (ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 2.00 ★    
4  ELEGANT CRICKET Feb09 Dec19 Nov21 Nov05 Sep30 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 3.00 ★    
5  MAYBEE A DIVA Feb09 Nov28 Sep04 Aug22 Aug01 (williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  MEAN SHARON Jan23 Dec26 Dec15 Nov23 Sep17 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 5.00 12% 7.50    
7  LE TUB Feb09 Jan19 Jan02 Dec17 Aug27 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-7   02/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NEW CHASER Jan24 Jul24 Jun26     (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 5.00 ★    
2  DANNY ZUKO Jan07 Dec13 Nov25 Sep11 Aug26 (garcia valentin )MAWING A 124 6.00    
3  FRISCO KID Feb04 Dec11 Nov13 Jul04 Jun19 (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 5.00 17% 4.70    
4  A BIT MUCH Feb05 Jan09 Nov06 Sep04 Jul08 (sa)DA FAUSTO 118 6.00    
5  SEIGE THE DAY Jan09 Dec01 Nov06 Sep16 Aug06 (salas eliazar)LEON A 118 8.00 11% 7.80    
6  ATTORNEY LOUIS Feb11 Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 6.00 7% 14.00    
7  GENERAL THAYER Jan31 Jan12 Aug01 Jul09 Jun27 (wheeler travi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-8   02/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEARENOTBADPEOPLE Jan31 Jan19 Dec22 Nov14 Sep03 (valerio raymo)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  LIGHTNING STAR Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Sep18 Aug05 (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 122 4.50 ★    
3  GUEST CHECK Jan24 Dec27 Dec13 Nov15 Oct28 (perkinson c)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00    
4  NEXT JOURNEY Feb11 Jan20 Dec02 Sep15 Jul13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
5  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Apr20 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 Feb02 (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 3.50 47% 1.10    
6  COASTAL WATERS Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Nov23 Nov15 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 ★    
7  MOOGIE SON Jan30 Jan11 Dec20 Nov23 Sep02 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.