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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise

Saturday - February 11, 2023

Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr

Pick

Tot

Bet

Winning

Pay

Type

Numbers

Tkts

Unit

Amt

Numbers

Amt

Profit

ROI

TUP-3

WIN

(4/6/2)

$2.00

$6.00

$6.60

$0.60

10%

SFT

(4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1/3)-(4/6/2/1/3)-(4/6/2/1/3)

$0.10

$7.20

4-6-2-1

$9.29

$2.09

29%

TUP-4

WIN

(3/4/7)

$2.00

$6.00

$7.40

$1.40

23%

EXA

(3/4/7)-(3/4/7/2/6)

$1.00

$12.00

4-3

$19.00

$7.00

58%

TRI

(3/4/7)-(3/4/7/2/6)-(3/4/7/2/6)

$0.50

$18.00

4-3-6

$39.95

$21.95

122%

SFT

(3/4/7)-(3/4/7/2/6)-(3/4/7/2/6)-(3/4/7/2/6)

$0.10

$7.20

4-3-6-2

$21.70

$14.50

201%

(4/6/2)-(3/4/7)

$1.00

$9.00

4-4

$12.30

$3.30

37%

Simulator Race results

TUP-1

02/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($8.5K)

Purse ($12.4K)

4UP

M/F

PT- 2:25

See original race card.

:22³

:45

:57¹

1:09⁴

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

APART OF MY CHARM

2^nk

1^2½

1⁴

1^5¼

(asprino alf)CONNING CRYSTAL 122

3.00

★

1.90

SMILING THUNDER

1^nk

2^2½

2⁴

2^5¼

(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122

3.50

★

1.40

FLASH FLOOD

4^2½

3^5½

3⁸

3^9¾

(as)DA FAUSTO 122

5.00

★

6.20

YOUONLYLIVETWICE

3^½

4⁶

4^9½

4^12½

(metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124

4.00

72%

0.40

3.10

QUEENS RANSOM

5³

5⁹

5¹⁴

5^15½

(johnston ki)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122

6.00

5.80

SCR

SHE LOVES KARAOKE

(silva jose )HERNANDEZ HARRY 122

2.00

★

TUP-2

02/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($8.5K)

Purse ($12K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 2:54

See original race card.

:22⁴

:45³

:57³

1:10¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

LEAD OFF

2⁵

2^nk

1⁴

1^¼

(ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124

5.00

★

6.80

DOUBLE PERFECTION

4⁶

3²

2⁴

2^¼

(kereluk edward)MAWING A 124

2.50

26%

2.90

1.90

MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY

3⁵

4^2¼

4^6½

3^6½

(alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 124

1.60

34%

2.00

1.00

ATTORNEY LOUIS

5⁷

5^5¾

5⁹

4^7¾

(toye joe)ANAYA V 124

10.00

16.80

SILVER KING BAIN

1⁵

1^nk

3^5½

5^10¼

(mccartney j)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124

4.00

★

4.50

STAN THE HOT MAN

6¹⁰

6^12¾

6²⁰

6^18¾

(torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124

8.00

12%

7.60

11.90

TUP-3

02/11/2023

3300ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($15K)

Purse ($15.8K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 3:23

See original race card.

:22

:45²

:57²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

BESAME MUCHO

2¹

2^nk

1^nk

1^3½

(troiani nic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124

3.00

44%

1.30

2.30

RUSTY RED

1¹

1^nk

2^nk

2^3½

(martinez este)LARA EZEQUIEL 124

4.00

19%

4.40

2.20

RAPPORT

3³

4^2¼

3³

3^4¼

(barraza rafael )VERGARA P 124

3.50

10%

8.50

3.60

PARTYOFSIXTEEN

4³

3²

4^5½

4^7¼

(barraza ra)CRUZ M 124

4.00

★

4.60

HEY JASPER

6⁷

6^7¼

6^10¼

5^9¾

(buffalo marvin)MAWING A 124

8.00

10.10

RANTANEN

5^4½

5^6¼

5¹⁰

6^10¾

(fales mat)VALENZUELA A 124

2.50

★

4.90

TUP-4

02/11/2023

5280ft

TURF

RC3

FIRM

Alw Opt Clm ($20K)

Purse ($23.4K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 3:53

See original race card.

:24²

:47

1:11¹

1:23²

1:35³

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

NO SLO MO

7¹¹

8^6¾

5⁴

5^2½

1^¼

(belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122

4.50

13%

6.60

2.70

BAROSSA

8^11¼

6^5½

4^2½

1^1½

2^¼

(hernandez migue)LEON A 122

4.00

59%

0.70

4.50

HEIR (FR)

5^4½

5^2½

3¹

4²

3¹

(belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122

6.00

★

5.40

NORTHCUT

1¹

1^1½

2^nk

2^1½

4^1¾

(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122

6.00

★

3.70

CITY AT NIGHT

4³

3²

1^nk

3²

5⁵

(hone bart)CORBETT W 122

3.00

14.80

2.80

NEXT JOURNEY

6⁶

7^5¾

7^9½

6^9¼

(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122

5.00

9.60

YOU'RE THE CAUSE

3³

4²

6^4½

6^8½

7^12¾

(van debbi)LOPEZ KARLO 122

8.00

15.20

SENSEMAKER

2¹

2^1½

8^15½

8^21½

8^23¼

(ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122

10.00

27.20

TUP-5

02/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($4.5K)

Purse ($9.9K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 4:24

See original race card.

:22³

:45²

:58

1:11²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

TRINNI VALANTINE

1³

1^3½

1^4½

1^¾

(fearon johnathon)MAWING A 124

8.00

6.90

BALI STAR

3³

2^3½

2^4½

2^¾

(breashear bill)CORBETT W 124

2.50

78%

0.30

1.00

IMISSBAYMEADOWS

5^7¾

5^10½

4^4¾

3^¾

(fearon )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124

10.00

★

23.40

SILENT DECLARATION

2³

3⁶

3^4½

4¹

(pierce michael )CRUZ M 124

2.00

★

1.70

NAVY PIER

6^18¾

6^17½

5^10¾

5^4¼

(chamberlin ti)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124

5.00

★

11.00

INSTIGATE

4^3¼

4^9½

6^12¼

6¹²

(barraza r)ANAYA V 124

3.00

★

5.20

TUP-6

02/11/2023

5280ft

TURF

RC11

FIRM

nongraded Stake

Purse ($60K)

4UP

M/F

PT- 4:54

See original race card.

:24³

1:10³

1:23

1:35²

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

YANKEE DOLLAR

1^2½

1¹

1^2½

1^3½

1^1½

(vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120

4.00

23%

3.40

1.00

(by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)

MISS HARD KNOCKS

4^7½

3⁵

3³

2^3½

2^1½

(hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124

12.00

12.20

(by MR SPEAKER out of MISS HISSY FIT by ALDEBARAN)

LEXINGTON HUMOR

3^6½

4⁵

4⁶

5^7¾

3^5¼

(morgan dan)VERGARA P 124

6.00

2.50

(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LEXINGTON PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)

STREET SHADOW

8^10¼

8^8¼

8^7¾

6^7¾

4^5¼

(lucarelli frank)MAWING A 120

8.00

5.40

(by THE FACTOR out of STREET CREW by STREET CRY (IRE))

LOOKIN SO LUCKY

5⁸

7^7¼

6⁷

4^7½

5^5½

(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122

10.00

19.10

(by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SO WISTFULLEE by KRIS S.)

LADY COMMISSIONER

7^8¼

6^7¼

7^7¼

7^10¾

6^7¾

(hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 120

5.00

12%

7.30

11.10

(by COMMISSIONER out of MARCO GROOM by MARCO BAY)

TIZ A MACHO GIRL

6⁸

5⁷

8^11¼

7^9¾

(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124

6.00

12.90

(by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)

U DID IT

2^2½

2¹

2^2½

3^7½

8¹⁰

(diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124

8.00

11%

8.40

16.50

(by TEIDE out of ARCHITECTURE by ARCH)

SCR

HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY

(christian bi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122

20.00

19.00

(by REVOLUTIONARY out of PADEN AFFAIR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)

SCR

LA CASTIGLIONE

(gutierrez jua)LEAHEY HANNAH 124

3.00

31%

2.30

(by UNCLE LINO out of PERVERSE by DISTORTED HUMOR)

TUP-7

02/11/2023

3960ft

DIRT

RC7

FAST

Claiming ($4K)

Purse ($10.4K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 5:26

See original race card.

:22²

:45

:57¹

1:10¹

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

ARIMONY

3¹

2^½

1^½

1^hd

(torres-casa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124

4.50

2.10

STARZAN

1¹

1^½

2^½

2^hd

(baze robert)CRUZ M 124

6.00

7.00

MO GEE

6^3¾

4³

4^5½

3^2¾

(matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124

3.50

★

3.40

SINGANDCRYINDUBAI

5^3¾

6^4½

5^5½

4^3½

(brown jared)MAWING A 124

3.00

★

2.00

CREST DRIVE

2¹

3^2½

3^4½

5⁶

(ba)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124

10.00

12%

7.00

8.20

HERBIE

8^6½

8^7½

7⁸

6^7¼

(sanderson bru)VALDES ALEXIS 124

5.00

50%

1.00

9.50

LOST THE MINISTER

4^3½

5^4½

6^6½

7⁹

(crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 124

15.00

32.40

UNCLE FLOYD

7⁴

7⁵

8^10½

8^9¾

(williams de)MORALES ALLYSSA 124

20.00

17.40

32.30

SCR

BOURBON TAN

(perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124

12.00

TUP-8

02/11/2023

5280ft

TURF

RC11

FIRM

nongraded Stake

Purse ($60K)

4UP

ALL

PT- 5:58

See original race card.

:23⁴

:46¹

1:10

1:22⁴

1:35

STR

FIN

M/L

W/P

B/E

F/O

SONNY SMACK

9^11¼

9^9¼

8^4¼

5^1¼

1^1¾

(lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122

15.00

26.60

(by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL out of SMACK MADAM by VICTORY GALLOP)

ZESTFUL

3²

4^1½

4^1¾

2^nk

2^1¾

(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122

8.00

19.00

12.20

(by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)

TARTINI

8^5¼

7^2¾

4^1¼

3^1¾

(hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122

10.00

5.10

(by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY out of VIGNETTE by DIESIS (GB))

PERFECT DUDE

5^3½

5^2½

3^1½

1^nk

4^1¾

(belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122

3.00

42%

1.40

1.30

(by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)

STITZY

4²

3¹

6^2¼

6^4¾

5^4¾

(silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124

4.50

15.10

5.70

(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY BELONGING by BELONG TO ME)

COASTAL KID

1¹

1^nk

1^1½

3^.2

6^6¾

(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120

5.00

12%

7.20

11.20

(by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)

MY INDY

7⁵

8^3¼

9^7¼

8^13¼

7^12¼

(vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 124

15.00

25.60

(by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of E. T. INDY by A.P. INDY)

BRIX

6^4½

6^2¾

5^2¼

7^11¾

8^12½

(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120

6.00

11.60

(by TWIRLING CANDY out of KOUKLA by OUR EMBLEM)

MUCHO DEL ORO

2¹

2^nk

2^1½

9^20¼

9²⁶

(cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 124

3.50

15%

5.60

3.40

(by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of REPETA by BROKEN VOW)

Labels:

M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

Two Groups of Contenders:

Win Contenders

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

Place/Show Contenders

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

Legal:

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.