Handicappers' Race Results
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $5.80  
TUP-2   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $15.60  
TUP-3   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TUP-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
TUP-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 2 1 0 $15.80  
TUP-6   Win (2/6/7/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TUP-7   Win (7/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.20  
TUP-8   Win (5/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $55.20  
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:223 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APART OF MY CHARM 5 1 2nk 12½   14 15¼ (asprino alfre)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.00 ★ 1.90  
3  SMILING THUNDER 3 2 1nk 22½   24 25¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 ★ 1.40 P
1  FLASH FLOOD 1 4 42½ 35½   38 39¾ (aspr)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 ★ 6.20 S
2  YOUONLYLIVETWICE 2 3 3½ 46   49½ 412½ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.00 72% 0.40 3.10  
4  QUEENS RANSOM 4 5 53 59   514 515½ (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 5.80  
SCR  SHE LOVES KARAOKE               (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LEAD OFF 3 3 25 2nk   14 1¼ (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★ 6.80  
1  DOUBLE PERFECTION 1 6 46 32   24 2¼ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.90 P
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 6 2 35 42¼   46½ 36½ (alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 34% 2.00 1.00 S
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS 2 5 57 55¾   59 47¾ (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 16.80  
5  SILVER KING BAIN 5 1 15 1nk   35½ 510¼ (mccartney jac)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★ 4.50  
4  STAN THE HOT MAN 4 4 610 612¾   620 618¾ (torres-casas j)GARCIA F 124 8.00 12% 7.60 11.90  
 
TUP-3   02/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:22 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BESAME MUCHO 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 13½ (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30 2.30 W
6  RUSTY RED 6 2 11 1nk   2nk 23½ (martinez esteba)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.40 2.20 P
2  RAPPORT 2 3 33 42¼   33 34¼ (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 10% 8.50 3.60 S
1  PARTYOFSIXTEEN 1 6 43 32   45½ 47¼ (barraza rami)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★ 4.60  
5  HEY JASPER 5 5 67 67¼   610¼ 59¾ (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 124 8.00 10.10  
3  RANTANEN 3 4 54½ 56¼   510 610¾ (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 ★ 4.90  
 
TUP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:242 :47 1:111 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NO SLO MO 4 7 711 86¾ 54 52½ 1¼ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 13% 6.60 2.70 W
3  BAROSSA 3 8 811¼ 65½ 42½ 11½ 2¼ (hernandez miguel )LEON A 122 4.00 59% 0.70 4.50 P
6  HEIR (FR) 6 6 54½ 52½ 31 42 31 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★ 5.40 S
2  NORTHCUT 2 1 11 11½ 2nk 21½ 41¾ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★ 3.70  
7  CITY AT NIGHT 7 5 43 32 1nk 32 55 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00 6% 14.80 2.80  
5  NEXT JOURNEY 5 4 66 75¾ 79½ 79½ 69¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 9.60  
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE 1 2 33 42 64½ 68½ 712¾ (van debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 15.20  
8  SENSEMAKER 8 3 21 21½ 815½ 821½ 823¼ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00 27.20  
 
TUP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:223 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRINNI VALANTINE 2 1 13 13½   14½ 1¾ (fearon johnathon)MAWING A 124 8.00 6.90  
5  BALI STAR 5 2 33 23½   24½ 2¾ (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 2.50 78% 0.30 1.00 P
6  IMISSBAYMEADOWS 6 5 57¾ 510½   44¾ 3¾ (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 ★ 23.40 S
3  SILENT DECLARATION 3 4 23 36   34½ 41 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 2.00 ★ 1.70  
1  NAVY PIER 1 6 618¾ 617½   510¾ 54¼ (chamberlin tina)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★ 11.00  
4  INSTIGATE 4 3 43¼ 49½   612¼ 612 (barraza ram)ANAYA V 124 3.00 ★ 5.20  
 
TUP-6   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:243 1:103 1:23     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YANKEE DOLLAR 5 1 12½ 11 12½ 13½ 11½ (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 23% 3.40 1.00 W
4  MISS HARD KNOCKS 3 6 47½ 35 33 23½ 21½ (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 12.20  
1  LEXINGTON HUMOR 1 3 36½ 45 46 57¾ 35¼ (morgan dan)VERGARA P 124 6.00 2.50  
10  STREET SHADOW 8 8 810¼ 88¼ 87¾ 67¾ 45¼ (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 120 8.00 5.40  
3  LOOKIN SO LUCKY 2 4 58 77¼ 67 47½ 55½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 19.10  
7  LADY COMMISSIONER 6 5 78¼ 67¼ 77¼ 710¾ 67¾ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 12% 7.30 11.10  
8  TIZ A MACHO GIRL 7 7 68 57 57 811¼ 79¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 6.00 12.90  
5  U DID IT 4 2 22½ 21 22½ 37½ 810 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 16.50  
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY               (christian bill)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA CASTIGLIONE               (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:222 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARIMONY 3 2 31 2½   1½ 1hd (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 2.10  
5  STARZAN 5 1 11 1½   2½ 2hd (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 7.00  
6  MO GEE 6 5 63¾ 43   45½ 32¾ (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★ 3.40 S
1  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 1 8 53¾ 64½   55½ 43½ (brown jared)MAWING A 124 3.00 ★ 2.00  
9  CREST DRIVE 8 4 21 32½   34½ 56 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 12% 7.00 8.20  
7  HERBIE 7 6 86½ 87½   78 67¼ (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 50% 1.00 9.50  
2  LOST THE MINISTER 2 7 43½ 54½   66½ 79 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 32.40  
4  UNCLE FLOYD 4 3 74 75   810½ 89¾ (williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 17.40 32.30  
SCR  BOURBON TAN               (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:234 :461 1:10 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SONNY SMACK 4 9 911¼ 99¼ 84¼ 51¼ 11¾ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 26.60  
6  ZESTFUL 6 3 32 41½ 41¾ 2nk 21¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
1  TARTINI 1 6 85¼ 72¾ 72¾ 41¼ 31¾ (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 5.10  
5  PERFECT DUDE 5 4 53½ 52½ 31½ 1nk 41¾ (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30  
7  STITZY 7 5 42 31 62¼ 64¾ 54¾ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 6% 15.10 5.70  
2  COASTAL KID 2 1 11 1nk 11½ 3.2 66¾ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 5.00 12% 7.20 11.20  
8  MY INDY 8 8 75 83¼ 97¼ 813¼ 712¼ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 25.60  
3  BRIX 3 7 64½ 62¾ 52¼ 711¾ 812½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00 11.60  
9  MUCHO DEL ORO 9 2 21 2nk 21½ 920¼ 926 (cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 124 3.50 15% 5.60 3.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.