The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 11, 2023

Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

 
TUP-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
:223 :45 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APART OF MY CHARM 5 1 2nk 1   14 1(asprino alfre)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.00 1.90  
SMILING THUNDER 3 2 1nk 2   24 2(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 1.40 P
FLASH FLOOD 1 4 4 3   38 3(aspr)DA FAUSTO 122 5.00 6.20 S
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 2 3 3½ 46   4412½ (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.00 72% 0.40 3.10  
QUEENS RANSOM 4 5 53 59   514 515½ (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 5.80  
SCR  SHE LOVES KARAOKE               (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00    
 
TUP-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
:224 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD OFF 3 3 25 2nk   14 1¼ (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 5.00 6.80  
DOUBLE PERFECTION 1 6 46 32   24 2¼ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.90 P
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 6 2 35 4   43(alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 34% 2.00 1.00 S
ATTORNEY LOUIS 2 5 57 5   59 4(toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00 16.80  
SILVER KING BAIN 5 1 15 1nk   3510¼ (mccartney jac)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.50  
STAN THE HOT MAN 4 4 610 612¾   620 618¾ (torres-casas j)GARCIA F 124 8.00 12% 7.60 11.90  
 
TUP-3   02/11/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
:22 :452       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESAME MUCHO 4 1 21 2nk   1nk 1(troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30 2.30 W
RUSTY RED 6 2 11 1nk   2nk 2(martinez esteba)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.40 2.20 P
RAPPORT 2 3 33 4   33 3(barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 10% 8.50 3.60 S
PARTYOFSIXTEEN 1 6 43 32   44(barraza rami)CRUZ M 124 4.00 4.60  
HEY JASPER 5 5 67 6   610¼ 5(buffalo marvin)MAWING A 124 8.00 10.10  
RANTANEN 3 4 5 5   510 610¾ (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 4.90  
 
TUP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
:242 :47 1:111 1:232   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SLO MO 4 7 711 8 54 51¼ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 13% 6.60 2.70 W
BAROSSA 3 8 811¼ 6 4 12¼ (hernandez miguel )LEON A 122 4.00 59% 0.70 4.50 P
HEIR (FR) 6 6 5 5 31 42 31 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 5.40 S
NORTHCUT 2 1 11 1 2nk 24(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 3.70  
CITY AT NIGHT 7 5 43 32 1nk 32 55 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00 6% 14.80 2.80  
NEXT JOURNEY 5 4 66 7 7 76(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 9.60  
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 1 2 33 42 6 6712¾ (van debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 15.20  
SENSEMAKER 8 3 21 2 815½ 821½ 823¼ (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00 27.20  
 
TUP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
:223 :452 :58     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRINNI VALANTINE 2 1 13 1   11¾ (fearon johnathon)MAWING A 124 8.00 6.90  
BALI STAR 5 2 33 2   22¾ (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 2.50 78% 0.30 1.00 P
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 6 5 5 510½   43¾ (fearon jo)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 23.40 S
SILENT DECLARATION 3 4 23 36   341 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 2.00 1.70  
NAVY PIER 1 6 618¾ 617½   510¾ 5(chamberlin tina)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 11.00  
INSTIGATE 4 3 4 4   612¼ 612 (barraza ram)ANAYA V 124 3.00 5.20  
 
TUP-6   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
:243 1:103 1:23     1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 5 1 1 11 1 11(vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 23% 3.40 1.00 W
MISS HARD KNOCKS 3 6 4 35 33 22(hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 12.20  
LEXINGTON HUMOR 1 3 3 45 46 53(morgan dan)VERGARA P 124 6.00 2.50  
10  STREET SHADOW 8 8 810¼ 8 8 64(lucarelli frank)MAWING A 120 8.00 5.40  
LOOKIN SO LUCKY 2 4 58 7 67 45(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00 19.10  
LADY COMMISSIONER 6 5 7 6 7 710¾ 6(hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 12% 7.30 11.10  
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 7 7 68 57 57 811¼ 7(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 6.00 12.90  
U DID IT 4 2 2 21 2 3810 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 11% 8.40 16.50  
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY               (christian bill)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA CASTIGLIONE               (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
:222 :45 :571     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIMONY 3 2 31 2½   1½ 1hd (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50 2.10  
STARZAN 5 1 11 1½   2½ 2hd (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00 7.00  
MO GEE 6 5 6 43   43(matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 3.40 S
SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 1 8 5 6   54(brown jared)MAWING A 124 3.00 2.00  
CREST DRIVE 8 4 21 3   356 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 12% 7.00 8.20  
HERBIE 7 6 8 8   78 6(sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 50% 1.00 9.50  
LOST THE MINISTER 2 7 4 5   679 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 32.40  
UNCLE FLOYD 4 3 74 75   810½ 8(williams dewe)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 5% 17.40 32.30  
SCR  BOURBON TAN               (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
:234 :461 1:10 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNY SMACK 4 9 911¼ 9 8 51(lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 15.00 26.60  
ZESTFUL 6 3 32 4 4 2nk 2(evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
TARTINI 1 6 8 7 7 43(hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00 5.10  
PERFECT DUDE 5 4 5 5 3 1nk 4(belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 42% 1.40 1.30  
STITZY 7 5 42 31 6 65(silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 6% 15.10 5.70  
COASTAL KID 2 1 11 1nk 1 3.2 6(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 5.00 12% 7.20 11.20  
MY INDY 8 8 75 8 9 813¼ 712¼ (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00 25.60  
BRIX 3 7 6 6 5 711¾ 812½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00 11.60  
MUCHO DEL ORO 9 2 21 2nk 2 920¼ 926 (cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 124 3.50 15% 5.60 3.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.