Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - February 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-2   Win (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-6   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (7/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (5/9/2/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLASH FLOOD Jan04 Dec13 Aug27 Aug20 Jul31 (asprino alfred)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 5.00 ★    
2  YOUONLYLIVETWICE Jan17 Jan04 Nov29 Nov15 Oct08 (metz jeffrey)MAWING A 124 4.00 72% 0.40    
3  SMILING THUNDER Jan24 Jan04 Dec20 Nov25 Nov07 (evans justi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50 ★    
4  QUEENS RANSOM Jan26 Jan11 Dec26 Dec10 Nov26 (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00    
SCR  SHE LOVES KARAOKE Feb06 Nov24 Nov04 Oct10 Sep18 (silva jr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 ★    
6  APART OF MY CHARM Jan24 Jan11 Dec15 Nov30 Nov05 (asprino alfre)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE PERFECTION Jan19         (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 Nov30 Sep17 (toye joe)ANAYA V 124 10.00    
3  LEAD OFF Jan24 Sep27 Sep13 Jul16 Jun19 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
4  STAN THE HOT MAN Nov12 Oct29 Oct16 Sep09 Jul29 (torres-casas j)GARCIA F 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
5  SILVER KING BAIN Jan19 Jan10 Dec20 Dec08 Sep18 (mccartney jac)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 ★    
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jan19 Jan02 Dec22 Nov25 Sep05 (alvarez ser)VALENZUELA A 124 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
TUP-3   02/11/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTYOFSIXTEEN May02 Apr13 Mar24 Feb06 Jan15 (barraza rami)CRUZ M 124 4.00 ★    
2  RAPPORT Jan28         (barraza s)VERGARA P 124 3.50 10% 8.50    
3  RANTANEN May01 Mar25       (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 2.50 ★    
4  BESAME MUCHO Jan12 Dec20 Nov09 Aug18 Jun19 (troiani nicco)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 44% 1.30    
5  HEY JASPER Dec22 Oct30 Sep18 Sep04 Aug13 (buffalo marvin)MAWING A 124 8.00    
6  RUSTY RED Jan17         (martinez esteba)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
TUP-4   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jan30 Oct16 Sep09 Aug14 Jul22 (van debbie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
2  NORTHCUT Jan25 Dec27 Dec01 Sep17 Aug25 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 6.00 ★    
3  BAROSSA Jan23 Jan09 Jun12 May18 Apr08 (hernandez miguel )LEON A 122 4.00 59% 0.70    
4  NO SLO MO Jan25 Jan07 Dec15 Oct26 Oct09 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 13% 6.60    
5  NEXT JOURNEY Jan20 Dec02 Sep15 Jul13 Jun22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00    
6  HEIR (FR) Jan25 Dec01 Mar28 Mar07 Jan28 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 6.00 ★    
7  CITY AT NIGHT Jan25 Apr04 Feb27 Jan30 Jan17 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00 6% 14.80    
8  SENSEMAKER Dec20 Nov08 Oct01 Sep04 Jun25 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00    
 
TUP-5   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVY PIER Aug10 Jul25 Jul05 Jun15 Jun06 (chamberlin tina)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★    
2  TRINNI VALANTINE Sep02 Aug20 May07 Apr27 Apr08 (fearon johnathon)MAWING A 124 8.00    
3  SILENT DECLARATION Jan23 Dec19 Nov30 Nov08 Sep02 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 2.00 ★    
4  INSTIGATE Jan19 Dec22 Nov28 Oct15 Sep09 (barraza ram)ANAYA V 124 3.00 ★    
5  BALI STAR Jan05 Nov14 Sep23 Sep11 Aug27 (breashear bill)CORBETT W 124 2.50 78% 0.30    
6  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Jan18 Dec08 Nov04 Sep09 Aug27 (fearon johnath)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEXINGTON HUMOR Dec31 Nov19 Oct29 Aug27 Aug06 (morgan dan)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
SCR  LA CASTIGLIONE Jan23 Nov26 Nov05 Sep05 Aug15 (gutierrez juan )LEAHEY HANNAH 124 3.00 31% 2.30    
3  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Jan28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 10.00    
4  MISS HARD KNOCKS Jan23 Jan09 Dec21 Nov23 Nov13 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00    
5  U DID IT Jan26 Sep10 Aug20 Aug01 Jul03 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 11% 8.40    
6  YANKEE DOLLAR Jan09 Dec13 Nov29 Nov07 Sep30 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 23% 3.40    
7  LADY COMMISSIONER Jan23 Jan09 Dec15 Nov26 Nov09 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 120 5.00 12% 7.30    
8  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jan23 Jan09 Nov26 Nov09 Oct16 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
SCR  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (christian bill)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  STREET SHADOW Jan28 Jan11 Dec13 Nov14 Sep05 (lucarelli frank)MAWING A 120 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI Jan10 Dec19 Dec01 Nov21 Sep28 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 3.00 ★    
2  LOST THE MINISTER Jan14 Dec26 Dec13 Apr02 Mar05 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
3  ARIMONY Jan30 Jan12 Nov30 Aug24 Aug06 (torres-casas )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 4.50    
4  UNCLE FLOYD Jan24 Jan12 Dec20 Dec10 Nov19 (williams )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00 5% 17.40    
5  STARZAN Jan14 Dec26 Nov19 Nov09 Sep11 (baze robert)CRUZ M 124 6.00    
6  MO GEE Jan18 Dec26 Dec13 Nov15 Sep18 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 ★    
7  HERBIE Jan14 Dec15 Nov15 Jul16 Jun16 (sanderson bruce)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  BOURBON TAN Feb01 Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Nov05 (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 12.00    
9  CREST DRIVE Jan24 Dec10 Nov19 Nov09 Sep17 (baze)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 12% 7.00    
 
TUP-8   02/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARTINI Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 10.00    
2  COASTAL KID Jan23 Jan10 Dec21 Nov26 Nov04 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 120 5.00 12% 7.20    
3  BRIX Jan25 Dec20 Nov27 Nov06 Oct10 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 6.00    
4  SONNY SMACK Jan12 Dec19 Dec08 Sep07 Aug13 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 15.00    
5  PERFECT DUDE Jan23 Dec13 Nov04 Aug13 Jul09 (belvoir vann)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
6  ZESTFUL Jan23 Jan03 Nov22 Oct31 Sep24 (evans justi)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  STITZY Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Nov08 Sep10 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 6% 15.10    
8  MY INDY Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep07 Aug13 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 15.00    
9  MUCHO DEL ORO Mar11 Feb05 Jan17     (cerin vladimir)CORBETT W 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.