Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Rillito
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-5   TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6/5)-(1/3/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-1-6 $51.30 $3.30 7%
RIL-8   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/4/5/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  1-5 $137.30 $129.30 1616%
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/4/5/6)-(8/1/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00  1-5-6 $2449 $2425 10105%
    SFT (8/1)-(8/1/4/5/6)-(8/1/4/5/6)-(8/1/4/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-5-6-ALL $5452 $5428 22617%
Simulator Race results
 
RIL-5   02/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:47         :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ALEX'S GIRL 3 3 1½     12½ 15½ (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 7.00 17% 5.00 1.10 W
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of JENNIFER'S JOY by TRIBAL RULE)
1  LOTSA LOU 1 2 31½     22½ 25½ (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 2.00 38% 1.60 3.20 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MYRNA LOU by TOP HIT)
6  LUCKY LUPE 5 7 2½     32½ 39 (ortega f)LARSEN S 126 10.00 9% 10.50 8.70 S
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of JILLY BAYLEE by STORMIN FEVER)
5  MR BUG Z 4 4 43     45½ 49½ (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 ★ 3.00  
  (by MR. BIG out of TERMITE by MARIA'S MON)
7  CANDIED JOULE 6 6 65     67¾ 511¾ (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 6.00 11% 7.70 14.90  
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of CLEVER CADENCE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
8  GEBO 7 1 54½     78¾ 615 (metz jeff)JENSEN P 126 15.00 12.40  
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  WEST COAST ANDY 2 5 75     55¾ 724¾ (torres-casas je)LEON A 119 12.00 15.40  
  (by WEST COAST out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY               (salazar michell)OSUNA JESUS 121 3.50    
  (by ABSTRACTION (GB) out of MISS HENNESSY WHO by HENNESSY)
 
RIL-6   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYERS 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 13½ (silva pabl)LEON A 126 3.00 ★ 1.10  
3  ALPHABETICAL 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 23½ (nunnally )JENSEN P 126 1.80 71% 0.40 2.20 P
6  ROMEO'S GLORY 5 5 44 48   32½ 35 (silva p)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 ★ 2.00 S
5  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY 4 4 32½ 33   410½ 428 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 116 8.00 ★ 12.00  
2  LOVER BOY TOM 2 3 59 515   515½ 536½ (baze robert)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 10.00 ★ 12.30  
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
 
RIL-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 4 6 1nk 1nk   12 16¼ (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 6% 14.50 1.10 W
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of ALWAYS FASHIONABLE by BOLD BADGETT)
7  DEFENSE WINS 6 4 52 3.2   32½ 26¼ (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 8.00 7.20  
  (by FLATTER out of DEB'S CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
6  STAY HAPPY 5 5 41½ 2nk   22 37¼ (evans justin)LEON A 126 2.00 35% 1.80 1.20 S
  (by OXBOW out of PLUM HAPPY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  MORE HONOR 2 3 63½ 64¾   55 47¼ (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 10.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of JEANNE'S HONOR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
8  REELFOOT 7 7 78½ 78¾   77 58 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 59.30  
  (by FLATTER out of GREENSTREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL 3 2 3½ 52¾   65½ 68¾ (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00 6.60  
  (by BRILLIANT SPEED out of HUNTER'S TIGER PAW by MILITARY)
1  RINGS OF SATURN 1 1 2nk 41¾   43½ 79½ (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 12.00 21.40  
  (by ASTROLOGY out of MELBA JEWEL by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  BOTERO               (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  FIGHT ME               (figueroa juan)GAMEZ M 126 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HALF PAST MIDNIGHT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  MINEHUNTER               (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00 ★    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of STAY POSITIVE by DIXIE CHATTER)
 
RIL-8   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CHUMELITO 1 5 32½ 32   31 13½ (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
5  RED HOT CAT 5 3 11½ 2nk   1nk 23½ (hernandez)JENSEN P 126 12.00 ★ 21.00 P
6  SHELBY R. 6 4 21½ 1nk   2nk 34 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 ★ 10.20 S
2  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) 2 1 55½ 46   46 45½ (wheeler tra)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 8.00 2.30  
7  INCLUDE HOO 7 7 811 67¼   710 511 (soto antonio)LEON A 126 15.00 38.80  
4  KATZUMOTO 4 6 66½ 78¼   69½ 611¼ (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 ★ 5.30  
3  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 3 2 45 56¼   58½ 711¾ (perkinson )PRECIADO A 126 10.00 27.30  
8  HARBOR KITTY 8 8 77 89¾   811 822 (gilmour jim)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 42% 1.40 3.10  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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