The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Rillito
Saturday - February 04, 2023

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RIL-5   02/04/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
:47         :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEX'S GIRL 3 3 1½     11(metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 7.00 17% 5.00 1.10 W
LOTSA LOU 1 2 3     22(torres-casa)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 2.00 38% 1.60 3.20 P
LUCKY LUPE 5 7 2½     339 (ortega f)LARSEN S 126 10.00 9% 10.50 8.70 S
MR BUG Z 4 4 43     44(crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 3.00  
CANDIED JOULE 6 6 65     6511¾ (wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 6.00 11% 7.70 14.90  
GEBO 7 1 5     7615 (metz jeffre)JENSEN P 126 15.00 12.40  
WEST COAST ANDY 2 5 75     5724¾ (torres-casas jesu)LEON A 119 12.00 15.40  
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY               (salazar michelle)OSUNA JESUS 121 3.50    
 
RIL-6   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:073         1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAYERS 1 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1(silva pablo)LEON A 126 3.00 1.10  
ALPHABETICAL 3 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2(nunnally je)JENSEN P 126 1.80 71% 0.40 2.20 P
ROMEO'S GLORY 5 5 44 48   335 (silva pab)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 2.50 2.00 S
ADRIENNE'S PROGENY 4 4 3 33   410½ 428 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 116 8.00 12.00  
LOVER BOY TOM 2 3 59 515   515½ 536½ (baze robert)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 10.00 12.30  
SCR  PREDETERMINATION               (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
 
RIL-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
1:124         1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 4 6 1nk 1nk   12 1(crotts e)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 6% 14.50 1.10 W
DEFENSE WINS 6 4 52 3.2   32(gilmour jim)JENSEN P 126 8.00 7.20  
STAY HAPPY 5 5 4 2nk   22 3(evans justin)LEON A 126 2.00 35% 1.80 1.20 S
MORE HONOR 2 3 6 6   55 4(tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 10.00 5% 19.00 34.90  
REELFOOT 7 7 7 7   77 58 (wheeler tra)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00 59.30  
TIGER BY HIS TAIL 3 2 3½ 5   66(alcoverde ernesto)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00 6.60  
RINGS OF SATURN 1 1 2nk 4   47(potts ashley )CONNING CRYSTAL 126 12.00 21.40  
SCR  BOTERO               (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  FIGHT ME               (figueroa juan)GAMEZ M 126 15.00    
SCR  MINEHUNTER               (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00    
 
RIL-8   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
1:081         1:081   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CHUMELITO 1 5 3 32   31 1(wheeler travis)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
RED HOT CAT 5 3 1 2nk   1nk 2(hernandez d)JENSEN P 126 12.00 21.00 P
SHELBY R. 6 4 2 1nk   2nk 34 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 10.20 S
NORTHERN QUEST 2 1 5 46   46 4(wheeler travi)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 8.00 2.30  
INCLUDE HOO 7 7 811 6   710 511 (soto antonio)LEON A 126 15.00 38.80  
KATZUMOTO 4 6 6 7   6611¼ (kern david)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 5.30  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 3 2 45 5   5711¾ (perkinson cc)PRECIADO A 126 10.00 27.30  
HARBOR KITTY 8 8 77 8   811 822 (gilmour jim)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 42% 1.40 3.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.