Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Rillito
Saturday - February 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
RIL-5   WIN (1/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/6)-(1/3/7/6/5)-(1/3/7/6/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    DD (1/3/7/6)-(3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
RIL-6   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (3)-(3/5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3)-(3/5/6/1/2)-(3/5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (3)-(6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3)-(6/5/3)-(8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
RIL-7   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(8/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
RIL-8   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/4/5/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/4/5/6)-(8/1/4/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
RIL-5   02/04/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOTSA LOU Jan17 Dec26 Nov30 Sep19 Aug20 (torres-ca)KELLENBERGER KODY 119 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MYRNA LOU by TOP HIT)
2  WEST COAST ANDY Jan17 Dec26 Dec14 Nov30   (torres-casas je)LEON A 119 12.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of SALLIE'S MEMORY by HOLY BULL)
3  ALEX'S GIRL Jan21 Apr16       (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 7.00 17% 5.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of JENNIFER'S JOY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  DUKE CITY KITTY Oct11 Aug17 May20 Apr29 Apr03 (salazar michell)OSUNA JESUS 121 3.50    
  (by ABSTRACTION (GB) out of MISS HENNESSY WHO by HENNESSY)
5  MR BUG Z Oct30 Sep24 Apr26 Apr07 Mar14 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of TERMITE by MARIA'S MON)
6  LUCKY LUPE Jul23 Jul03 Jun05     (ortega jesus)LARSON SHAWNDA 126 10.00 9% 10.50    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of JILLY BAYLEE by STORMIN FEVER)
7  CANDIED JOULE         (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 6.00 11% 7.70    
  (by SEA CANDY RIDE out of CLEVER CADENCE by CRAFTY PROSPECTOR)
8  GEBO Dec17 Nov30 Nov16 Oct14 Sep17 (metz jeff)JENSEN P 126 15.00    
  (by LEA out of LYRICS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
RIL-6   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAYERS Dec18 Dec09 Nov24 Oct30 Oct09 (silva pabl)LEON A 126 3.00 ★    
2  LOVER BOY TOM Jan23 Jan03 Nov20 Oct30 Oct10 (baze robert)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 10.00 ★    
3  ALPHABETICAL Jan17 Jan03 Dec02 Nov20 Oct30 (nunnally )JENSEN P 126 1.80 71% 0.40    
SCR  PREDETERMINATION Jan24 Jan12 Dec22 May06 Apr13 (ybarra rudy)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 5.00    
5  ADRIENNE'S PROGENY Mar28 Jan07       (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 116 8.00 ★    
6  ROMEO'S GLORY Dec19 Nov29 Nov08 Sep14 Aug25 (silva pablo)BARBER R 126 2.50 ★    
 
RIL-7   02/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RINGS OF SATURN Jan23 Jan12 Dec22 Nov30 Nov21 (potts ashle)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 12.00    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of MELBA JEWEL by CAHILL ROAD)
SCR  BOTERO Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Sep19   (soto antonio)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of BURBAN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
3  MORE HONOR Jan09 Dec13 Sep10 Aug29 Aug15 (tate mary)DEONAUTH P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of JEANNE'S HONOR by HONOUR AND GLORY)
4  TIGER BY HIS TAIL Nov21 Nov07 Jul09 May29 Apr24 (alcoverde ernes)OSUNA JESUS 126 3.00    
  (by BRILLIANT SPEED out of HUNTER'S TIGER PAW by MILITARY)
5  SANTALUZ DREAMIN Jan17 Dec13 Nov21 Sep04 Aug19 (crotts james)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 5.00 6% 14.50    
  (by BIG BAD LEROYBROWN out of ALWAYS FASHIONABLE by BOLD BADGETT)
6  STAY HAPPY Jan25 Jan09 Dec13 Nov23 Aug28 (evans justin)LEON A 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by OXBOW out of PLUM HAPPY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
7  DEFENSE WINS Nov20 Oct30 Oct15 Sep04 Jul30 (gilmour j)JENSEN P 126 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of DEB'S CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
8  REELFOOT Apr08 Feb04 Jan14 Jan03   (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 15.00    
  (by FLATTER out of GREENSTREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MINEHUNTER Jan10 Dec13 Feb25 Jan26 Jan11 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 126 5.00 ★    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of STAY POSITIVE by DIXIE CHATTER)
SCR  FIGHT ME Jan05 Dec15 Sep17 Sep03 Aug22 (figueroa juan)GAMEZ M 126 15.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HALF PAST MIDNIGHT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
 
RIL-8   02/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CHUMELITO Jan18 Dec19 Aug31 Aug13 Jul30 (wheeler trav)YBARRA MICHAEL 126 6.00 34% 1.90    
2  NORTHERN QUEST (FR) Jan25 Jan05 Dec10 Nov21 Nov05 (wheeler tra)CONNING CRYSTAL 126 8.00    
3  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Jan28 Jan19 Dec20     (perkinson )PRECIADO A 126 10.00    
4  KATZUMOTO Jan10 Dec22 Dec10 Nov19 Oct28 (kern davi)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 ★    
5  RED HOT CAT Jul18 Jul09 Feb27 Feb05 Jan14 (hernandez)JENSEN P 126 12.00 ★    
6  SHELBY R. Dec21 Nov28 Jun24 Jun03 May21 (metz jeffrey)SERRANO KEIVAN 121 2.00 ★    
7  INCLUDE HOO Dec26 Dec10 Nov29 Nov08 Sep19 (soto antonio)LEON A 126 15.00    
8  HARBOR KITTY Jan14 Dec26 Nov19 Jun17 May21 (gilmour jim)DEONAUTH P 126 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.