Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $12.60 $12.60 4.60
TUP-4   Win (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
TUP-5   Win (3/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TUP-6   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 2.80
TUP-7   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $17.00  
TUP-8   Win (1/6/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 10.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EM'S WINAHOLIC 4 3 4 43   3 1 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00 8% 12.00 5.30 W
MAMALONA 5 1 2 2½   2nk 2 (soto antonio)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00 12.80  
KEEPONROCKINMEBABY 3 2 1 1½   1nk 3 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 1.60 38% 1.70 1.10 S
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 2 5 34 3   46 47 (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 2.50 23% 3.40 2.50  
TED'S CANDY GIRL 1 4 55 54   5 58 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 11% 8.50 2.30  
SCR  FACE OF GRACE               (scott jr)DEONAUTH P 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   02/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:123     1:313   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) 5 3 3 21   2nk 11 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 23% 3.40 0.50 W
HEART RIVER 1 7 76 73   56 21 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 19% 4.30 17.10 P
TICK TOCK 6 2 2 4   44 31 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 17% 4.70 4.70 S
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 2 1 1 11   1nk 4 (axmaker w)MAWING A 124 5.00 4.30  
LEXOPHILIA 3 4 44 31   3 52 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 3.00 13% 6.50 6.70  
MISTY MATT 7 5 6 6   612 6 (matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00 19.30  
TWITTERATI 4 6 54 5   714½ 713¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 33.20  
 
TUP-5   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:22 :452 :571     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEEDY GIGI 6 1 2nk 1½   1 1¼ (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 3.50 13% 6.80 0.90 W
WILD ARCH 2 4 4 5   2 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 18% 4.60 3.50 P
TAKING CHARGE DESI 4 5 6 6   37 3 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 4.20 S
DREAMER GIRL 1 3 32 4   4 4 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.50 20.50  
V BUCKS 3 6 5 3   511 511½ (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10 3.00  
J T'S LA NENA 5 2 1nk 2½   611½ 616¼ (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 12% 7.30 18.20  
 
TUP-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEBA LUCKY DAY 3 2 2nk 2nk   11 1½ (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 74% 0.30 1.40 W
CURIOUS INJI 4 1 1nk 1nk   21 2½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 1.50 P
PLUMA 6 3 4 45   45 3¾ (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00 12.20  
YELLEN 2 5 3 3   3 4 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 4.70  
LADY JADE 5 4 510 58   5 5 (leon priscilla)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 4.50  
KID CAT 1 6 612½ 610   69 6 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00 29.80  
SCR  FLYIN BY               (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50    
 
TUP-7   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:223 :454 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRONG SPOT 3 7 715 67   31 1½ (perren a)CORBETT W 121 6.00 7.50  
I'M NOBLE 4 6 611 53   1½ 2½ (person a)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 9% 10.30 2.30 P
SIX SHOTS OF T 7 2 3 1½   2½ 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 17% 5.00 2.70 S
KNOCKOUT GUY 2 4 5 7   56 4 (fearon johnat)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00 15.80  
SUGAR SHANE 5 5 4 42   4 513 (torres-casas alex)LEON A 121 2.00 54% 0.90 2.30  
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 6 1 2nk 2½   66 617 (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 37.30  
HE'S A FLYIN 1 3 1nk 3½   7 722 (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 4.00  
 
TUP-8   02/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:234 1:302         1:302   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOB'S ALL IN 6 8 7 8   4 1½ (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 24% 3.20 9.40 W
OF GOOD REPORT 7 9 910 7   5 2½ (wool)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 12% 7.40 2.50 P
RIVER ROSE 9 7 6 42   2 3 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 6% 17.10 7.20 S
JOKER MATT 1 1 1nk 2nk   1 4 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00 24% 3.20 2.50  
CLUB MESQUITE 8 6 5 5   6 5 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 17.40  
GALLANT OAK 2 2 2nk 1nk   3 610¼ (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 12.00 21.40  
STALKING SHADOW 3 4 45 6   7 712 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 8% 12.00 8.80  
MAHI MAHI 5 5 8 9   9 813¼ (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 38.90  
N. K. ROCKET MAN 4 3 3 31   8 913½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 2.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.