Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (5/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (3/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-7   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (1/6/7/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TED'S CANDY GIRL Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 Nov28   (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  FACE OF GRACE Feb11 Jan25 Jan09 Nov22 Sep17 (scott jr)DEONAUTH P 124 10.00 ★    
3  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jan25 Jan11 Nov22 Nov09   (lewis kevin)CORBETT W 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
4  KEEPONROCKINMEBABY Jan30 Jan09 May07 Apr18 Mar09 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 1.60 38% 1.70    
5  EM'S WINAHOLIC         (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 8.00 8% 12.00    
6  MAMALONA Feb04 Jan25 Dec03 Nov13   (soto antonio)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   02/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEART RIVER May21 Apr20 Apr06 Mar21 Feb09 (metz jeffrey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 19% 4.30    
2  CIDSTAYINURLAINE Jan18 Nov30 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 (axmaker w)MAWING A 124 5.00 ★    
3  LEXOPHILIA Dec19 Nov12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep13 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
4  TWITTERATI Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 Nov15 Sep19 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
5  CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Feb01 Nov14 Aug28 Aug06 Jun04 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
6  TICK TOCK Jan24 Jan11 Dec27 Nov19 Nov07 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.50 17% 4.70    
7  MISTY MATT Jan24 Dec21 Nov19 Nov08 Sep08 (matt wendell )CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-5   02/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($21.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMER GIRL Jan26 Jan10 Sep16 Aug21 Jul09 (barraza s)VERGARA P 122 4.50    
2  WILD ARCH Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec16 Nov19 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 5.00 18% 4.60    
3  V BUCKS Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 Nov05 Aug18 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.00 32% 2.10    
4  TAKING CHARGE DESI Jan26 Jan09 Dec14 Nov28 Nov15 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 3.00 ★    
5  J T'S LA NENA Feb04 Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 12% 7.30    
6  SPEEDY GIGI Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 Nov23 Nov07 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 124 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
TUP-6   02/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KID CAT Jan30 Jan04 Dec19 Nov07 Sep17 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 15.00    
2  YELLEN Feb06 Jan18 Aug24 Jul22 Jun28 (toye joe)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 ★    
3  KEBA LUCKY DAY Jan30 Jan04 Nov25 Oct14 Sep03 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 3.00 74% 0.30    
4  CURIOUS INJI Jan30 Jan14 Dec13 Jul03 May26 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 ★    
5  LADY JADE Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 May06 Mar22 (leon priscilla)VALDES ALEXIS 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  FLYIN BY Feb06 Jan24 Dec19 Nov25 Nov08 (johnston kimb)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 2.50 ★    
7  PLUMA Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov14 Sep01 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A FLYIN Jan18 Nov30       (potts an)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 4.00 ★    
2  KNOCKOUT GUY Jan31 Dec20 Nov25 Nov08 Sep04 (fearon johnat)WILLIAMS AJHARI 121 5.00 ★    
3  WRONG SPOT         (perren a)CORBETT W 121 6.00    
4  I'M NOBLE Feb07 Jan05 Aug14     (person a)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 9% 10.30    
5  SUGAR SHANE Jan18 Nov27       (torres-casas alex)LEON A 121 2.00 54% 0.90    
6  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Feb02         (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00    
7  SIX SHOTS OF T Jan05 Dec08 Oct10 Sep10 Aug13 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/16/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOKER MATT Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 Nov28 Nov15 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  GALLANT OAK Jan28 Jan14 Dec21 Nov29 Nov15 (brown jared)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
3  STALKING SHADOW Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Oct01 Jul16 (diodoro roberti)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 3.00 8% 12.00    
4  N. K. ROCKET MAN Jan14 Dec17 Nov15 May03 Mar21 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00    
5  MAHI MAHI Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 Sep04 Aug21 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
6  BOB'S ALL IN Feb08 Jan09 Dec14 Nov21 Nov08 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
7  OF GOOD REPORT Feb08 Jan25 Jan12 Dec26 Dec11 (wool)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
8  CLUB MESQUITE Feb08 Jan19 Dec19 Dec01 Nov15 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
9  RIVER ROSE Feb02 Jan17 Jan09 Dec26 Dec08 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 6% 17.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.