Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
TUP-2   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TUP-3   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TUP-4   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $8.60  
TUP-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 6 1 0 $42.00  
TUP-6   Win (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $16.80 $16.80 10.80
TUP-7   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $17.20  
TUP-8   Win (7/4/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESAHEATWAVE 2 4 4 31   1nk 1 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 12% 7.10 1.20 W
THATSALOTOFBLING 3 3 3 4   2nk 2 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 14.40  
BIG AL'S PRINCESS 5 2 21 2nk   3½ 3 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60 1.30 S
BRITE TAN 1 5 5 5   54 4 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 5.00 9.20  
BIG BLUE NOTE 4 1 11 1nk   43 5 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 3.20  
SCR  FIRE DIAMONDS               (bullene michael)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-2   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 3 4 2   13 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 56% 0.80 1.40 W
AND I KNOW 2 4 2 45   23 2¾ (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 13% 6.50 4.80 P
FLYING TO THE LINE 5 2 1 1   33 34 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 1.20 S
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 6 1 35 35   410 410¼ (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.70 5.30  
LUCKY STEPPER 4 5 511½ 511   515 512¼ (weaver gord)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 20.50  
SUPERSTAR BEA 1 6 614 616   622 619½ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 29.00  
 
TUP-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEPUTY'S DANCER 4 1 2nk 1   15 18 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 124 3.50 24% 3.10 0.60 W
SYZSLAK 3 3 34 3   25 28 (rumsey cory)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 3.10 1.60 P
PHILIPIE FAST 1 2 1nk 2   3 311½ (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 3.00 3.60 S
ABRIERWIN 2 4 4 4   411½ 418¾ (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 11.70  
SCR  SHADYFIED               (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  W. WHITEHOUSE               (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :444       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME BID 5 1 1nk     1 1½ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50 3.30  
BUMPY CUP 3 3 42     2 2½ (potts ashley )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 55% 0.80 4.50 P
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 7 4 3     3 3 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 2.90 S
SQUARE ROOT 1 5 6     45 43 (gale bryce)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 50.70  
SAYERS 8 8 7     68 5 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.50 3.00  
OUR EMPIRE 2 7 8     7 64 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 23% 3.40 5.30  
STYLISH ELEGANCE 4 6 5     89 77 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 11.30  
EZ GUESS 6 2 2nk     5 8 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 9.90  
 
TUP-5   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEL RAGAZZO 5 6 6 6 41 2nk 1 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 20.00  
BLUES RAPPER 6 5 5 2½ 3½ 1nk 2 (rari)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 1.00 P
RAVINA LANE 4 2 31 3½ 2nk 3½ 3 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 78% 0.30 1.40 S
THIRSTY KISS 2 4 4 41 53 42 48 (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 9.60  
MINNESOTA RED 3 3 2nk 1½ 1nk 53 512¾ (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 4.30  
TRIBUTE TO AFLEET 1 1 1nk 5 65 65 615½ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00 24.90  
SCR  ATLATL               (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SCR  MANFORALLSEASONS               (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-6   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COASTLINE HOTTIE 1 8 814 7   42 1¾ (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 4.50 6% 15.80 7.40 W
SHORT JOURNEY 8 1 4 4   54 2¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 2.90  
LUNAR UNIT 7 3 3 3½   2 3 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 1.90  
OCEAN OF LIES 5 5 79 6   6 4 (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 14.80  
RAINBOW STEW 6 4 1½ 1nk   1 52 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 6.90  
STAR FINALITY 4 2 2½ 2nk   32 66 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 4.00 7.10  
TOP HAT TIGRESS 2 6 53 5   710 710 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 52% 0.90 9.10  
STELLAR POINT 3 7 69 811¾   822 826 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER O'FLAHERTY 6 6 7 7 6 5¾ 1½ (martinez este)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 7.60  
NEW EAGLE 8 5 5 5 3.2 1nk 2½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 12.00 3.70  
HYPERFOCUS 3 7 64 6 5 61 31 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 15.40 13.00 S
THE BEAT 1 4 11 1nk 4¼ 2nk 42 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 3.80  
UNBROKEN STAR 4 3 21 2nk 1nk 3.2 5 (baze lisa)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 15% 5.80 7.50  
ATOMIC CANDY 7 2 32 31 2nk 4¼ 6 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 2.00  
MR NAVIGATOR 2 1 42 4 7 7 7 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 56% 0.80 4.30  
POLITICAL RIOT 5 8 8 8 83 8 8 (metz jeffre)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 34.70  
SCR  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:234 :481       1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIPLOMATICA 7 2 1 12   1 1 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 3.50 2.10  
FAST TO FORTUNE 4 1 2 22   2 2 (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 11% 7.90 3.80 P
VALUE DANCER 6 4 36 3   3 3 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 26% 2.80 13.90 S
SHAMAN'S PRODIGY 5 3 612 7   715¼ 412¾ (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 10% 9.30 19.90  
EARLYNTHEMORN 2 5 4 5   512½ 513 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 9% 10.40 14.30  
MISS GHISLAINE 3 6 5 4   412½ 613½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.30  
NO PEOPLE 1 7 714½ 6   615 716¼ (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.00 6.90  
SCR  A THOUSAND DREAMS               (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.