Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   PK3 (6/3)-(3/2/6)-(4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1/3-3-2/5/6 $11.30 $2.30 26%
TUP-6   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $16.80 $10.80 180%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SHESAHEATWAVE 2 4 43½ 31   1nk 11¾ (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 12% 7.10 1.20 W
4  THATSALOTOFBLING 3 3 31½ 41½   2nk 21¾ (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 14.40  
6  BIG AL'S PRINCESS 5 2 21 2nk   3½ 33½ (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60 1.30 S
2  BRITE TAN 1 5 55½ 54½   54 45¾ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★ 9.20  
5  BIG BLUE NOTE 4 1 11 1nk   43 59¾ (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★ 3.20  
SCR  FIRE DIAMONDS               (bullene michael)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
 
TUP-2   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:123     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 3 3 46½ 22½   13 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 56% 0.80 1.40 W
2  AND I KNOW 2 4 23½ 45   23 2¾ (me)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 13% 6.50 4.80 P
5  FLYING TO THE LINE 5 2 13½ 12½   33 34 (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 ★ 1.20 S
6  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 6 1 35 35   410 410¼ (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.70 5.30  
4  LUCKY STEPPER 4 5 511½ 511   515 512¼ (weaver go)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 20.50  
1  SUPERSTAR BEA 1 6 614 616   622 619½ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 ★ 29.00  
 
TUP-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DEPUTY'S DANCER 4 1 2nk 12½   15 18 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 124 3.50 24% 3.10 0.60 W
4  SYZSLAK 3 3 34 33½   25 28 (rumsey cory)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 3.10 1.60 P
1  PHILIPIE FAST 1 2 1nk 22½   36½ 311½ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 3.00 ★ 3.60 S
3  ABRIERWIN 2 4 44¼ 47½   411½ 418¾ (lavanway da)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★ 11.70  
SCR  SHADYFIED               (barrio sergi)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  W. WHITEHOUSE               (dominguez an)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:22 :444       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  AWESOME BID 5 1 1nk     12½ 1½ (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50 3.30  
3  BUMPY CUP 3 3 42     22½ 2½ (potts ashle)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 55% 0.80 4.50 P
7  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 7 4 31½     34½ 32½ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 ★ 2.90 S
1  SQUARE ROOT 1 5 65¾     45 43 (gale bryce)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 ★ 50.70  
8  SAYERS 8 8 77¼     68 53½ (silva pabl)LEON A 124 3.50 ★ 3.00  
2  OUR EMPIRE 2 7 87¼     78½ 64 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 23% 3.40 5.30  
4  STYLISH ELEGANCE 4 6 55½     89 77 (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00 11.30  
6  EZ GUESS 6 2 2nk     57½ 89¼ (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 9.90  
 
TUP-5   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:114 1:244   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEL RAGAZZO 5 6 65¼ 63¾ 41 2nk 12¾ (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 20.00  
8  BLUES RAPPER 6 5 51¼ 2½ 3½ 1nk 22¾ (ra)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★ 1.00 P
5  RAVINA LANE 4 2 31 3½ 2nk 3½ 35¾ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 78% 0.30 1.40 S
2  THIRSTY KISS 2 4 41¼ 41 53 42 48 (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 ★ 9.60  
4  MINNESOTA RED 3 3 2nk 1½ 1nk 53 512¾ (vanwinkle d)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 4.30  
1  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET 1 1 1nk 51¼ 65 65 615½ (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00 ★ 24.90  
SCR  ATLATL               (johnston ki)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
SCR  MANFORALLSEASONS               (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 10.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTLINE HOTTIE 1 8 814 79¼   42 1¾ (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 4.50 6% 15.80 7.40 W
9  SHORT JOURNEY 8 1 42½ 42½   54 2¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 2.90  
7  LUNAR UNIT 7 3 31½ 3½   21½ 31½ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00 1.90  
5  OCEAN OF LIES 5 5 79 65¼   65½ 41½ (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 ★ 14.80  
6  RAINBOW STEW 6 4 1½ 1nk   11½ 52 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 6.90  
4  STAR FINALITY 4 2 2½ 2nk   32 66 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 4.00 ★ 7.10  
2  TOP HAT TIGRESS 2 6 53 52¾   710 710 (si)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 52% 0.90 9.10  
3  STELLAR POINT 3 7 69 811¾   822 826 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00 6.10  
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
 
TUP-7   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:103 1:232   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FATHER O'FLAHERTY 6 6 75½ 74¼ 62½ 5¾ 1½ (martinez es)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 ★ 7.60  
9  NEW EAGLE 8 5 52½ 51¾ 3.2 1nk 2½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 12.00 3.70  
4  HYPERFOCUS 3 7 64 63¾ 52¼ 61 31 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 15.40 13.00 S
1  THE BEAT 1 4 11 1nk 4¼ 2nk 42 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 4.00 ★ 3.80  
5  UNBROKEN STAR 4 3 21 2nk 1nk 3.2 53½ (baze lisa)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 15% 5.80 7.50  
8  ATOMIC CANDY 7 2 32 31 2nk 4¼ 64½ (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 2.00  
2  MR NAVIGATOR 2 1 42 41¼ 72½ 73½ 76¾ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 56% 0.80 4.30  
6  POLITICAL RIOT 5 8 87½ 85¼ 83 84½ 86¾ (metz jeff)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00 34.70  
SCR  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:234 :481       1:312   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  DIPLOMATICA 7 2 14½ 12   13½ 15¼ (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 3.50 2.10  
4  FAST TO FORTUNE 4 1 24½ 22   23½ 25¼ (woolley benni)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 11% 7.90 3.80 P
7  VALUE DANCER 6 4 36 34½   37½ 38¼ (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 26% 2.80 13.90 S
6  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY 5 3 612 78¾   715¼ 412¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 10% 9.30 19.90  
2  EARLYNTHEMORN 2 5 49½ 56½   512½ 513 (o'brien debb)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 9% 10.40 14.30  
3  MISS GHISLAINE 3 6 59½ 46½   412½ 613½ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.30  
1  NO PEOPLE 1 7 714½ 68½   615 716¼ (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.00 6.90  
SCR  A THOUSAND DREAMS               (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.