Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-1   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-2   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-6   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (7/4/6/1/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-1   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRE DIAMONDS Jan11 Nov21 Oct16 Sep10 Aug07 (bullene michael)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★    
2  BRITE TAN Feb12 Jan31 Jan06 Nov11 Oct16 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 124 5.00 ★    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Feb09 Jan19 Dec26 Sep03 Jun25 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 2.50 12% 7.10    
4  THATSALOTOFBLING Jan30 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 Aug03 (schnell don)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00    
5  BIG BLUE NOTE Feb09 Jan18 Jan04 Dec21 Nov19 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★    
6  BIG AL'S PRINCESS Feb06 Jan24 Jan09 Nov29 Nov15 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
 
TUP-2   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPERSTAR BEA Feb09 Jan24 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 6.00 ★    
2  AND I KNOW Feb14 Jan14 Jan03 Dec19 Nov21 (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
3  LILA'S LUCKY LADY Feb07 Jan24 Jan14 Dec28 Dec19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 56% 0.80    
4  LUCKY STEPPER Nov14 Sep19 Sep12 Aug15 Aug01 (weaver gord)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
5  FLYING TO THE LINE Feb08 Jan31 Dec17 Nov25 Sep01 (hernandez mig)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 ★    
6  SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI Jan30 Jan17 Jan02 Dec17 Nov23 (lucarelli frank)CRUZ M 122 4.00 8% 11.70    
 
TUP-3   02/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILIPIE FAST Feb01 Jan17 Jan02 Sep18 Sep09 (garcia valentin )ANAYA V 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  SHADYFIED Sep12 Aug15 Jul23 Jun25 May07 (barrio sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
3  ABRIERWIN Jan23 Dec27 Dec14 Oct22 Oct09 (lavanway days)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★    
4  SYZSLAK Feb06 Jan23 Jan17 Dec19 Nov30 (rumsey cory)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 1.60 25% 3.10    
SCR  W. WHITEHOUSE Dec08 Nov29 Sep05 Aug19 Jun25 (dominguez ange)BEVERLY JR 124 10.00    
6  DEPUTY'S DANCER Jan23 Jan10 Dec22 Nov25 Nov09 (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 124 3.50 24% 3.10    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUARE ROOT Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 Aug06 (gale bryce)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 20.00 ★    
2  OUR EMPIRE Feb02 Jan24 Jan04 Dec22 Dec08 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  BUMPY CUP Feb02 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Nov30 (potts ashley )MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 55% 0.80    
4  STYLISH ELEGANCE Feb02 Jan17 Jan02 Aug13 Jul22 (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 122 8.00    
5  AWESOME BID Jan19 Nov07 Oct12 Aug08 Jul19 (belvoir vann)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
6  EZ GUESS Aug26 Aug03 Jun25 May27 May15 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
7  FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 Nov16 Oct22 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 5.00 ★    
8  SAYERS Feb04 Dec18 Dec09 Nov24 Oct30 (silva pablo)LEON A 124 3.50 ★    
 
TUP-5   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET Feb01 Jan05 Dec02 Nov06 Oct21 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 15.00 ★    
2  THIRSTY KISS Feb01 Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov30 (pott)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  MANFORALLSEASONS Feb01 Jan24 Dec17 Nov30 Sep18 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 10.00 ★    
4  MINNESOTA RED Jan24 Dec13 Nov23 Sep10 Aug21 (vanwinkle dav)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50    
5  RAVINA LANE Jan23 Jan05 Sep30 Sep23 Sep09 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 78% 0.30    
6  BEL RAGAZZO Feb01 Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Sep03 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
SCR  ATLATL Jan23 Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Sep09 (johnston kimb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
8  BLUES RAPPER Feb06 Dec13 Nov23 May07 Apr28 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-6   02/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COASTLINE HOTTIE Feb01         (sepich f)CORBETT W 121 4.50 6% 15.80    
2  TOP HAT TIGRESS Jan25 Jan03 Dec26 Dec09 Nov18 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 52% 0.90    
3  STELLAR POINT         (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 6.00    
4  STAR FINALITY Jan25 Jan10 Dec20     (leaney patricia)CRUZ M 121 4.00 ★    
5  OCEAN OF LIES         (bratcher ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00 ★    
6  RAINBOW STEW         (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00    
7  LUNAR UNIT         (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 10.00    
SCR  ABOVE THE STARS Jan16 Dec26       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 14% 6.00    
9  SHORT JOURNEY Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec04 Nov05 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEAT Feb02 Jan04 Dec19 Nov26 Nov15 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.00 ★    
2  MR NAVIGATOR Jan29 Jan15 Dec16 Nov19 Sep17 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Jan25 Dec27 Oct29 Oct15 Sep24 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00    
4  HYPERFOCUS Feb08 Dec11 Nov25 Nov04 Oct16 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 12.00 6% 15.40    
5  UNBROKEN STAR Feb04 Jan03 Dec19 Dec10 Nov07 (baze lisa)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
6  POLITICAL RIOT Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 Dec21 Dec01 (metz jeffre)VALENZUELA A 124 12.00    
7  FATHER O'FLAHERTY Feb13 Dec08 Oct29 Oct22 Oct08 (martinez este)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 ★    
8  ATOMIC CANDY Feb02 Jan19 Dec26 Nov21 Nov05 (rarick wade)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
9  NEW EAGLE Feb09 Jan23 Dec11 Nov24 Nov13 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 12.00    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO PEOPLE Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec15 Nov02 (ferguson chad)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 9% 10.00    
2  EARLYNTHEMORN Feb14 Jan30 Jan04 Aug01 Jun25 (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
3  MISS GHISLAINE Feb02 Jan10 Jan02 Jul01 Apr20 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
4  FAST TO FORTUNE Feb08 Jan11 Dec26 Dec13 Nov12 (woolley bennie )VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.50 11% 7.90    
SCR  A THOUSAND DREAMS Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Nov12 Sep02 (chambers mike)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
6  SHAMAN'S PRODIGY Feb14 Jan26 Jan12 Dec09 Nov24 (silva pa)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
7  VALUE DANCER Feb01 Jan24 Jan14 Dec10 Oct28 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
8  DIPLOMATICA Feb01 Jan14 Dec26 Dec01 Nov04 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.