Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $13.00  
TUP-2   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
TUP-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $32.00  
TUP-4   Win (3/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
TUP-5   Win (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.80  
TUP-6   Win (6/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 0 $17.00  
TUP-7   Win (10/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TUP-8   Win (6/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $16.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :443 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINING CRYPTO 4 6 54 3   1nk 1 (story chad)GARCIA F 124 10.00 5.50  
HIGH GUNNER 6 4 3 4   3.2 2 (gleason m)MAWING A 124 2.00 55% 0.80 1.20 P
FIRST POINT 5 3 42 5   6 3 (drysdale neil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 4.10 S
I'LL TAKE THE SOUP 1 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 48 (kereluk edward)BARBER R 124 3.50 12% 7.00 5.80  
KNIGHT EYES 2 5 6 6   5 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 4.50 7% 13.00 4.80  
BAKERSFIELD BABE 3 1 1nk 1nk   4¼ 611 (simp)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 10.00  
ASK THE KING 7 7 7 710¾   711¼ 718½ (lucarelli f)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 13.50  
 
TUP-2   02/14/2023 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12     1:31   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 4 3 3 3   13 1 (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 34% 2.00 1.40 W
LEMON DROP LADY 5 6 610¼ 6   45 2 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 5.00 8.20 P
JEWEL AZUL 6 5 5 5   23 3 (woolley bennie)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 2.50 32% 2.10 3.70 S
TWELVE STARS 2 4 4 43   5 4 (brinson clay)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 12% 7.10 1.60  
MUNNINGS TALE 1 1 1nk 2nk   35 510¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 4.00 8.80  
BREAKFAST BALL 3 2 2nk 1nk   610½ 617 (whitehouse wil)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 8.00 15.90  
 
TUP-3   02/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($16.4K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOHAMAD 2 3 2nk 2nk   21 1½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 5.00 15.00  
BRANDYN 1 4 1nk 1nk   11 2½ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 13% 6.80 0.20 P
BIG JACK 4 1 3½ 3   4 3¾ (martinez a)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 21.90  
HARBOR THUNDER 6 6 64 6   54 4 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 15.90  
BRAYBRAY 3 5 5 4   3 5 (martinez a)MAWING A 121 4.00 11.50  
HADLEES HONOR 7 7 710 7   6 6 (van debbie)ZUNINO L 121 8.00 44.10  
CATCHME AT THELAKE 5 2 4 53   710½ 711 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.50 53% 0.90 3.80  
 
TUP-4   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:25
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:13 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AND I KNOW 3 3 33 21 33 31 1¼ (mend)DA FAUSTO 124 1.80 59% 0.70 0.80 W
SEVEN POINTS 6 2 2 31 2½ 1nk 2¼ (peacock shane)ZUNINO L 124 4.00 7.20 P
PIPER ROSE 4 6 5 5 4 4 3 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 2.40 S
CANTERBURY GOLD 1 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 4 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 124 8.00 5.70  
FUN PADDY 7 5 67 6 55 5 53 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 124 10.00 18% 4.70 14.00  
SHEZ A GRINDER 5 4 4 4 6 611½ 612¾ (nunnally jennifer)MAWING A 124 8.00 22.20  
AMERICAN ROYALTY 2 7 7 7 713 720½ 726½ (van )MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 10.00 18.90  
 
TUP-5   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:50 1:134 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF 4 2 11 1½ 13 14 12 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 2.40  
PASSED BY PAUL 2 4 5 5 23 24 22 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 25% 2.90 2.80 P
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 8 5 4 41 33 3 3 (pierce l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 18.30  
MY BOY LOLLIPOP 5 8 8 8 5 4 4 (sanderson b)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 6% 14.70 5.50  
RANCHER 7 7 21 2½ 45 58 5 (esquibel mark)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 12.00 32.90  
HAVEULOSTYOURMIND 6 1 31 3½ 7 610 6 (krasner cindy)VERGARA P 124 4.50 3.00  
STRAUS'S PLACE 1 6 6 6 69 712 7 (sala)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 6.20  
FLY BUDDY FLY 3 3 7 7 813¼ 814 825¾ (torres-casas j)GARCIA F 124 12.00 9.60  
SCR  SHOTGUN RIDER               (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
TUP-6   02/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRACK BOUND 9 6 6 68   4 1hd (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 10.00 7.50  
FABSTRACTION 5 3 3½ 3   2 2hd (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.00 1.90 P
DEMOCRAT 8 1 1nk 1   1 3¾ (peery debbie)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 25% 3.00 6.70 S
HIGH FLYIN TIGER 6 4 57 5   5 4 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00 53% 0.90 4.30  
ELUSIVE LOVE 1 8 811½ 811½   68 5 (ortiz sr)ANAYA V 122 15.00 38.10  
FLYUNDERTHEGRAYDAR 2 5 43 4   36 6 (ortiz manuel )CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.80 1.60  
RIVIERA CHAMP 4 7 7 79   7 7 (bird)MARTINEZ NAHERD 122 10.00 18.20  
TWO SOCKS MAC 3 9 912½ 913   911½ 89 (dennis clifto)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 20.00 57.00  
SQUARE ROOT 7 2 2nk 2   810 910½ (gale bryce)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 12.00 61.20  
 
TUP-7   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:114 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BACK TO BUSINESS 9 5 4 4 1nk 1nk 1 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 45% 1.20 1.20 W
WORKIN NINETOFIVE 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 2 (gutierrez j)VALENZUELA A 122 15.00 21.70  
SHAMAN'S PRODIGY 1 3 6 6 7 79 3 (rycroft riley)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 7% 12.90 5.70 S
FEARLESS FACTOR 4 6 5 5 4 4 411¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 13% 6.60 2.90  
BANDON BRIDGE 8 8 7 7 6 5 511¾ (pierce l)VERGARA P 122 10.00 5.40  
PARTY POLICE 2 4 11 1nk 5 37 613½ (kere)DA FAUSTO 124 8.00 10.90  
EARLYNTHEMORN 6 1 3 3 35 6 714½ (o'brien debbie)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 15.00 6% 16.60 28.60  
TOP REFERENCES 7 9 8 8 8 911½ 815½ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 4.00 11.00  
LADY COMMISH 3 7 9 9 9 811½ 916¼ (kenney ryan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 12.00 42.10  
SCR  EASY DOES IT               (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
 
TUP-8   02/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:124 1:254   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTHERFORBROOKS 7 3 2½ 2nk 1 11 1¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 7.30  
WESTERBERG 2 7 76 5 53 32 2¼ (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 18% 4.70 5.50 P
MY SWEET LORD 6 2 33 4 32 21 3 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.50 52% 0.90 3.00 S
CHARLIE'S MAN 1 8 8 6 6 56 4 (alvarez sergio)GARCIA ENRIQUE 121 10.00 1.60  
MONGOLIAN APPLE 5 5 4 3 2 4 5 (vanwinkle david)LINDSAY CHAD 121 4.00 4.30  
AIR JOCK 8 4 1½ 1nk 4 68 613¼ (mcfa)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00 9% 9.50 15.40  
LITTLE AXE SOUL 3 1 5 828¾ 818½ 726 735 (mccartney jack)LEON A 121 20.00 42.50  
ENDALE ARCH 4 6 6 714¾ 718½ 830 852¼ (martinez esteban)ZUNINO L 121 4.50 9.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.