Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Sunday - February 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $20.90 $8.90 74%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:124 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BACK TO BUSINESS 2 2 21 2½ 1½ 12 15 (rosales jor)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.50 ★ 1.00  
4  CONVINCE 4 3 43½ 32 33½ 34½ 25 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 17% 5.10 8.80 P
3  RED PANTY NIGHT 3 1 11 1½ 2½ 22 37½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.50 32% 2.10 1.20 S
1  STREAMER 1 4 33 42½ 45 46 49¼ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 8% 11.50 27.50  
5  MISCHIEF MAMA 5 5 5100 5100 5100 5100 5100 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 4.60  
SCR  FIRE DIAMONDS               (bullene michael)MAWING A 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
 
TUP-2   02/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :453 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RIGHT TO SUE 5 1 11½ 1nk   11 1¾ (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 4.00 14% 6.40 2.40 W
4  SUPER INTENSE 3 2 21½ 2nk   21 2¾ (o'brien dan)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 12.00 13% 6.80 9.20 P
3  ARMAVEER 2 5 31½ 33½   33½ 31 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 0.60 47% 1.10 0.20 S
1  HERMISTON 1 3 41¾ 44   46½ 45½ (lavanwa)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 10.00 ★ 17.60  
5  SCRATCH ME 4 4 52¾ 54½   56½ 55¾ (ybarra rudy)BEVERLY JR 124 15.00 ★ 20.80  
SCR  MY SON CHRIS               (nelson a)BUTTERFLY L 124 5.00    
 
TUP-3   02/26/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
See original race card.
:212 :434       :562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPENDAHOLIC 6 1 12½ 12   12½ 13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 14% 6.20 0.30 W
3  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 3 3 22½ 22   22½ 23 (potts ashley )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 2.00 43% 1.40 2.80 P
2  MOJAVE (GB) 2 2 32½ 34½   35 36¼ (garcia valenti)ANAYA V 124 10.00 23.90  
5  NEW EVERY MORNING 5 6 54¾ 47   48 48¾ (potts ashle)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 ★ 6.40  
4  HARROVIAN 4 4 44½ 58½   59 59¾ (villamar candelari)GARCIA F 124 3.50 13% 6.40 14.50  
1  GOT EVEN SMARTER 1 5 67¼ 610½   610½ 613 (fulmer drew)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 10% 9.10 26.70  
 
TUP-4   02/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BEYOND AWESOME 6 2 12½ 12½   110 19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 ★ 0.10  
3  UNRIVALED QUEEN 3 4 45½ 34   210 29 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 ★ 6.60 P
1  PEPPER MILL 1 6 56½ 56½   314 312¼ (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 5.00 21.80  
5  MS FLASHY HARBOR 5 1 68 66¾   418½ 416¼ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 121 10.00 ★ 17.90  
2  GYPSY ROSIE 2 5 34½ 44   5100 5100 (martinez a)ANAYA V 121 8.00 73% 0.40 20.10  
4  JUANA GALLO 4 3 22½ 22½   6100 6100 (silva rodrigu)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.00 ★ 7.50  
 
TUP-5   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:11 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THIRD WHEEL 1 1 1nk 1½ 1nk 13 18¾ (story chad)GARCIA ENRIQUE 122 5.00 ★ 1.40  
6  HEIR (FR) 5 5 2nk 2½ 2nk 23 28¾ (belvoir van)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 ★ 2.60 P
4  PLAYOFF BOUND 3 3 31 41½ 31½ 34½ 39 (toye joe)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 18% 4.50 8.90 S
5  YOU'RE THE CAUSE 4 4 53¼ 53 55½ 56½ 49¼ (van debbie)ZUNINO L 122 10.00 5.40  
3  MAJOR ATTRACTION 2 2 41¼ 31½ 43 44½ 510¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 35% 1.90 2.10  
SCR  GIANT PAYDAY               (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 122 3.00 24% 3.20    
 
TUP-6   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 ALL PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:22 :443 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  YANKEE HUMOR 7 1 11 1½   12 1½ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 3.00 25% 2.90 0.70 W
4  MY KACEJJ 3 5 31 31   22 2½ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 ★ 6.00 P
5  THE GOLDEN EGG 4 4 41¼ 41   46½ 35 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50 S
8  YANKEE TEA PARTY 6 2 51¼ 2½   34 46¼ (vitali marcus)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00 17.10  
1  MISTER MAFIOSO 1 6 62¾ 53   58 58½ (baze robert)ZUNINO L 121 12.00 ★ 10.10  
6  MONGOLIAN APPLE 5 7 74¼ 65   610 615 (vanwinkle david)MAWING A 121 4.50 9% 10.10 13.10  
2  SCOPELLO 2 3 21 76½   718 726¼ (mcfarlane l)LEON A 121 10.00 28.50  
SCR  MANDELA EFFECT               (bratcher ry)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 5.00    
SCR  SMOOSE               (howey quinn)NEGRON LUIS 121 10.00    
 
TUP-7   02/26/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:221 :441 1:092     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANY ROSES 6 4 31½ 31½   3½ 1¾ (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 10.00 10.80  
2  SINGANDCRYINDUBAI 1 6 11 11   1nk 2¾ (brown jared)MAWING A 124 5.00 15% 5.70 3.70 P
8  ECHO ALPHA SIX 7 7 73 42   2nk 31¾ (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00 ★ 15.60 S
4  JAKE THE GREAT 3 5 41½ 52   4¾ 42 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 124 12.00 8% 11.70 3.70  
6  SIDE STREET DAVE 5 3 21 21   52¼ 53¼ (sanderson)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 5.10  
10  DEVIL'S TEETH 9 2 62½ 62½   62¾ 63½ (lavanway da)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10 2.00  
3  GO ADMIRAL GO 2 9 83½ 75   74¾ 76 (silva pabl)LEON A 124 10.00 5.10  
5  FLY BUDDY FLY 4 8 95 98   811¾ 814¾ (torres-casas alex )GARCIA F 124 20.00 39.30  
9  TEXAS LONHRO 8 1 52 85½   914¼ 918 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 12.00 70.20  
SCR  DON'TTEASETHETIGER               (oberholtzer)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 12.00 6% 15.70    
 
TUP-8   02/26/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:33
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:244   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  RED VENUS 2 2 21½ 2½ 11 11 1¾ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 52% 0.90 1.80 W
7  PRANCE 6 4 32½ 32 21 21 2¾ (hernandez m)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.00 7% 12.60 0.90 P
1  GOLD INCLUDED 1 3 56 54½ 57 57½ 311¾ (caraman micha)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 8.90  
4  LEXOPHILIA 4 6 43 42½ 45 37 412½ (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 4.50 8% 11.60 12.70  
3  SASSY CAT 3 1 11½ 1½ 32½ 47 518½ (ax)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 5.90  
6  ALL NATIVE 5 5 66 67 69½ 610½ 619¾ (eidschun gregory)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 ★ 11.40  
SCR  CLUBHOUSE SAINT               (christian b)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 5.00 9% 10.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.